Let’s begin with the peace part….well it is not an actual peace agreement but rather a ceasefire…..there are lots of optimistic predictions about this turn and on the other hand there is a bunch of pessimism…..and I am one that sees this deal falling on its face (check out my post from earlier today)……
One reason I see it failing is that the ceasefire does not include ISIS or al-Nusra……as long as there is still bang bang going on what part of the deal is a cease fire?
Now the war part of the post……
Is Turkey included in this ceasefire?
If so then ….Houston we have a problem…….
After months of railing against the gains by the Kurdish YPG in northern Syria, Turkish army forces began shelling YPG targets in earnest this weekend, and pretty quickly escalated their involvement to begin attacking the Syrian military in northern Aleppo Province as well.
Turkish officials are talking up the possibility of escalating their involvement to include ground troops, and the Syrian government says it believes the first Turkish troops may already have arrived, as around 100 gunmen crossed the border at Azaz, and they believe some are Turkish military forces.
The sudden Turkish attacks come just days ahead of the start of a ceasefire in Syria, and the US and some European nations are urging Turkey to knock it off, though PM Ahmet Davutoglu insists Turkish strikes will continue as a “necessary response” to the Kurdish gains.
The US, which has signed on to this ceasefire, what will be their position on these attacks?
As Turkish forces pounded both Syrian military targets and the Kurdish YPG, the US State Department has issued a statement calling for Turkey to de-escalate the situation and halt all future attacks, along with warning the Kurds not to seize any more territory.
And it’s unlikely to change any minds, with Turkish PM Ahmet Davutoglu telling German Chancellor Angela Merkel that the attacks are going to continue unconditionally, and that the attacks are a “necessary response” to the Kurdish aggression.
Davutoglu went on to insist that Turkey is launching the attacks in Syria for Europe’s sake, and that if the Kurds weren’t stopped hundreds of thousands of more refugees are going to be fleeing from the territory the Kurds are taking from ISIS and other Islamist groups.
Now think about this…..let’s say Syria takes exception to Turkey’s attacks and retaliates…….what would that do?
Turkey is an ally through NATO and the charter with NATO says the US will come to their defense….that would then mean that we have another war to fight.
This situation is becoming more and more volatile as the days go by…….and then the next question is….what will Russia do as an ally of Syria? Then ask will that bring the two powers into conflict….if so…..to what degree?
But that is nothing to worry about I am sure that the Swimsuit issue is far more important……or that Kayne is in debt……