Iran Action Group

Looks like the Neocons have truly taken the policy….just as in the days prior to the invasion and then the occupation of Iraq in 2003….the State Department has put together a group to use all tools at its disposal to make some sort of war on Iran…..

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced on Thursday the establishment of the Iran Action Group, a task-force to coordinate all of President Donald Trump’s efforts against Iran.

The group will be led by Brian Hook, a State Department official who served as an adviser to John Bolton in 2006, when the Iran hawk was US ambassador to the United Nations.

“The Iran Action Group will be responsible for directing, reviewing and coordinating all aspects of the State Department’s Iran-related activity, and will report directly to me,” Pompeo said at a news conference.

https://theantimedia.com/iran-action-group/

This smells like a deja vu moment.

Something to consider….the media will be used to help start a war if a war is in the cards……they have always been a great propaganda tool….

Donald Trump has again stirred the wrath of his critics by charging that the media can cause wars. His opponents immediately howled that he’d launched another salvo in his ongoing campaign to vilify journalists as the “enemy of the people.” They also ridiculed his contention as factually absurd. Fox News reporter Chris Wallace bluntly asked National Security Advisor John Bolton: “What wars have we caused?” Princeton University historian and CNN analyst Julian E. Zelizer epitomized the view that Trump’s charge is unfounded with a piece in The Atlantic titled, “The Press Doesn’t Cause Wars—Presidents Do.”

Zelizer and similar critics are technically correct, of course. Media outlets have no power to launch attacks on foreign countries or order U.S. troops into combat. But that view is much too narrow. As Zelizer himself admits, the new media have considerable ability to influence public opinion. Such a capacity to shape the overall narrative is not a trivial power. An irresponsible press can, and has, whipped up public sentiment in favor of military actions that subsequent evidence indicated were unnecessary and even immoral.

https://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/yes-the-press-helps-start-wars/

Keep an eye on the rhetoric coming from the media….it will signal the path the US will embark on when dealing with Iran.

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Iran-Iraq Tensions Rise (Again?)

I could be writing about the war that Saddam started back in the 80’s with his neighbor, Iran.

In case you are still a thumb sucker let me help you out……

Those were the bad old days…..recently Iraq held an election an a Shia cleric won the position of Prime Minister……in doing so you would think that he would have a soft spot in his heart for Shia Iran and vice versa…..well maybe time to think again…..the now PM has stated that he will join in the sanctions on Iran…..

Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi said Aug. 7 that Iraq will abide by US sanctions on Iran to protect Iraq’s own interests. Abadi spokesman Saad al-Hadithi confirmed Aug. 13 that Iraq will not violate US sanctions on Iran and that “Iraq’s stance toward the US sanctions imposed on Iran stems from the general interest of Iraq, and was not impetuous or hasty, but was subjected to study, and was not affected by the positions of other states or political parties.”

After Iraq said it would abide by US sanctions, several Iranian officials raised their voices against Iraq, calling it traitorous and demanding the country pay compensation for damages caused in the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq War that took place under Iraqi President Saddam Hussein, who was executed in 2006.

Now with that said will the same insistence be held once the new PM takes the reigns of power?
Keep in mind that any hostilities could put the American troops in the middle of a conflict.  Something this country does not need…..we have enough wars being juggled by Pentagon and Our Dear Leader.

Iran And The Rest Of The Story

This post contains a lot of information but it is necessary to understand what the situation is all about…..a lot of reading….but worth the time.

Right now everybody’s attention is on this international situation or that and the one that will be getting more and more attention is Iran…..

First we need to think about all the years that the neocons fed by Israeli BS have wanted some sort of action against Iran..to include our Chief of Staff and the SecState……too many some sort of physical action but what would that accomplish?

The establishment of a military force to go abroad and overthrow governments does not appear anywhere in the Constitution of the United States, nor does calling for destruction of countries that do not themselves threaten America appear anywhere in Article 2, which describes the responsibilities of the President. Indeed, both Presidents George Washington and John Quincy Adams warned against the danger represented by foreign entanglements, with Adams specifically addressing what we now call democracy promotion, warning that the United States “should not go abroad to slay dragons.”

https://theantimedia.com/iran-war-destroy-united-states/

Our best shot at punishing Iran has been the sanctions…..their economy has suffered and protests have erupted…..but is the sanctions really the answer that the US is searching for?

President Trump’s escalation of anti-Iran rhetoric and increased US pressure against the Islamic Republic have been a boon to Iran’s noisy minority of hard-line, America-obsessed flag burners.

But the US campaign is doing more than strengthen the hard-liners. Amid a broader administration effort to deepen instability among Iranians torn by their own political and social divides, there are signs the Trump-led targeting of Iran may be backfiring, as Iranians coalesce against a foreign enemy.

https://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2018/0731/Has-US-misread-the-Iranian-street

As the possibility of an armed conflict grows more likely…some have stepped forward to let Our Dear Leader know that some decisions would not be in the best interest of the US……

MEMORANDUM FOR: The President
FROM: Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPs)
SUBJECT: Intelligence on Iran Fails the Smell Test

Mr. President:

https://original.antiwar.com/Veteran-Intelligence-Professionals-for-Sanity2/2018/08/01/intel-on-iran-could-be-catastrophic/

In conclusion……is all this effort truly the path that needs traveling?

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s provocative speech on 22 July that attacked Iran’s leadership and policies, and prompted a brief but hostile exchange between President Hassan Rouhani and President Donald Trump about the threat of war, has provided an opportunity for Rouhani to seize the initiative and sell himself and the Iranian government, domestically and internationally, as genuinely moderate and committed to reformist policies.

If Rouhani grasps the challenge, two credibility tests will apply: are those policies truly reformist and, if so, will he have the support of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and the military to implement them?

https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2018/07/30/us_provocations_present_opportunity_for_iran_113665.html

Iran is a thorn in the side of Israel and the US will do as they order…..and that includes armed conflict something this country does not need.

Watch this site…we will keep you reading….

NOTE:  News came out after the writing of this post….the US is re-instating the sanctions as of Tuesday at 1201 hrs….

The deadline is nearly here: At 12:01am Tuesday, the US will reimpose sanctions on Iran that had been lifted under the nuclear arms accord put into place by the Obama White House. President Trump backed out of that accord, though China, Russia, Germany, France, Britain, and the European Union are still on board, notes the Wall Street Journal. This first round of sanctions is relatively minor compared to a much tougher round due to take effect in November that would, among other things, attempt to cut off Iran’s oil exports. As the US penalties go into effect, the EU already has issued a “blocking statute” designed to protect member nations that continue to do business with Iran, reports the AP.

While Iran is generally considered to be adhering to the 2015 agreement, Trump viewed it as a “horrible” deal, and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo insists that Tehran must agree to tougher terms and change its behavior before sanctions are again lifted. “We’re hopeful that we can find a way to move forward, but it’s going to require enormous change on the part of the Iranian regime,” he said Sunday. “They’ve got to behave like a normal country. That’s the ask. It’s pretty simple.” Among other things, Pompeo says Iran continues to sponsor terror groups throughout the Middle East

European countries some of them our allies have said that they will stand by the conditions of the deal signed in the past…..

A joint statement offered by the various top-ranking foreign policy officials in the EU, the Foreign Ministers of the three P5+1 parties and the EU chief Federica Mogherini, says they will maintain effective financial channels for Iran and ensure that they can keep exporting oil and gas.

The statement further says that the preservation of the nuclear deal is both about respecting international agreement and is “a matter of international security.” The US is threatening ‘severe consequences’ for those who don’t abide by their sanctions.

https://theantimedia.com/european-union-iran-sanctions/

And of course Our Dear Leader will not just do something and let it sink in before he starts his dance among the policies……this time another threat to our allies…..

President Trump issued another warning in regard to Tehran on Tuesday, but this time it’s directed at nations outside Iran. “Anyone doing business with Iran will NOT be doing business with the United States,” Trump tweeted. “I am asking for WORLD PEACE, nothing less!” The message comes as the first round of US sanctions goes back into effect on Iran following Trump’s decision to withdraw from the 2015 nuclear arms accord. As the Guardian reports, the warning seems to be aimed mainly at the European Union, which opposes the sanctions. In fact, the EU has sought to protect member nations who continue to do “legitimate business” with Tehran. Trump calls the sanctions “the most biting” ever imposed and noted that they “ratchet up to yet another level” in November.

Iran’s president, meanwhile, tells CNN the US is engaging in “psychological warfare” to sow divisions within Iran, though Hassan Rouhani predicted the sanctions would end up isolating America, not Iran. In addition to EU states, Rouhani said China and Russia would similarly continue conducting business with Iran. However, Rouhani also said he is open to talks with Trump immediately, though he suggested that the sanctions must end first. “If somebody puts a knife in its opponent or enemy’s arm and says we want to negotiate, the answer is that they must first pull out the knife and then come to the negotiation table.”

I have heard of playing something by ear….but not foreign policy…..

This is not the end of the tale……just the rest of the story as of today….surely more to come……

So I Have Written!

Turn The Page!

Bomb Bomb Iran

This post is full of info for anyone interested in what the policy toward Iran is looking like…….

Does anyone remember this little ditty from the 2007 campaign trail?  I believe it was John McCain that sort of made it famous….but it was a common meme among Neocons…

I bring all this crap up because Our Dear Leader has in his employ the masters of the song…..Bolton and Pompeo….those two have been slobbering at the mouth for years and taking Israeli money to pressure the government to take action against Iran…..and now he has a willing leader….so what could the next move?

In this rather strange ABC News article that appeared on Friday, it is reported that “senior figures in the Turnbull government” claim that Washington could bomb targets in Iran as early as next month, and that Australia would assist in target identification.

It is hard to know where to start in critiquing this. Perhaps the best place is the 2007 U.S. presidential election.

McCain’s melodic rendition of “Bomb, bomb Iran” to the tune of the Beach Boys’ “Barbara Ann”.

Or maybe November 2012, when Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu was reportedly ready “within hours” to strike Iran to stop it acquiring nuclear weapons. Or in 2015, when John Bolton, now the current White House National Security Adviser, wrote a New York Times op-ed entitled “To stop Iran’s bomb, bomb Iran”.

https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2018/07/27/bomb_bomb_iran_113659.html

Many people see the danger of an attack on Iran…….what are the chances?

Under the guidance of secretary of State Mike Pompeo and his new national security advisor  John Bolton, Trump’s decision points in the direction of military escalation. 

Already in December 2017, reports pointed to a so-called “secret plan” to destroy and destabilize Iran, the first step of which would be a color revolution. In this regard, Trump said he would relaunch the economic sanctions regime in mid-May “unless the European powers join Washington in unilaterally rewriting the civil nuclear agreement between Tehran and the world’s great powers.”

This not so secret plan to wage war on Iran has been on the drawing board of the Pentagon since the mid-nineties as outlined in my 2010 article below, written eight months prior to the onslaught of the US-NATO led proxy war directed against Syria in March 2011. 

https://www.globalresearch.ca/preparing-for-world-war-iii-targeting-iran/20403

Could August be the deadline before action?

As the White House convenes a policy meeting on Iran Thursday involving senior Pentagon officials and cabinet advisers under national security adviser John Bolton, and after a week of intense saber-rattling by President Donald Trump and his Iranian counterpart Hassan Rouhani, a new bombshell report by Australia’s ABCsays the White House is drawing up plans to strike Iran’s alleged nuclear facilities as early as next month.”

“Senior figures in the Australia’s Turnbull government have told the ABC they believe the US is prepared to bomb Iran’s nuclear capability. The bombing could be as early as next month.”

Crucially, Australia is part of the so-called “Five Eyes” global intelligence partners which includes the US, UK, Australia, Canada and New Zealand, and plays in a key role in hosting top-secret facilities that guide American spy satellites.

https://theantimedia.com/us-bomb-iran-next-month/

Or maybe the US will use Saudi troops for this unthinkable adventure…….

Is the United States preparing to attack Iran? On Friday, Defense Secretary James Mattis dismissed this idea as “fiction,” back when the sources were in the Australian military. Yet other US officials have since been quoted as saying the attack is still being considered.

The pretext for this war appears to be the ongoing Yemen War. Last week, Saudi state media claimed that Yemen’s Houthi rebels attacked and slightly damaged a Saudi oil tanker. The Saudis have previously alleged the Houthis are tied to Iran, and US media is treating this as some sort of transference, and reporting that Iran attacked the Saudi oil tanker, even though no one alleged that ever happened.

(antiwar.com)

Personally I hope all this is just speculation….the one thing we do not need is another war to fight.

But this is why people get so damn confused……

In an off-camera briefing at the Pentagon, Defense Secretary James Mattis says that the US is not seeking regime change or collapse in Iran, adding that no policy is in place that has been instituted like that.

Mattis said the US goal was to get Iran to “change their behavior on a number of threats that they can pose with their military.” He did not elaborate on that point, or how the US plans to get there beyond threats and sanctions.

Mattis didn’t mention that, but did address a reported by Australian military sources who claimed that President Trump is prepared to attack Iran militarily, and that the bombing could begin in the next month. Mattis said there were no such plans, calling the reports “fiction.”

(antiwar.com)

Now you decide what you choose to believe about our Iran policy.

But the recent statement by the Dear Leader illustrates his foreign policy “style”……

President Trump has extended an olive branch to Iran’s leaders just days after a tweet he wrote appeared to say he was ready to use military force should they “ever threaten the United States.” Per CNN, the president was at a news conference at the White House with Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte when he told reporters he “would certainly meet with Iran if they wanted to meet.” The president said he believes Iranian leadership will eventually want to meet with him and added that he would set “no preconditions” for such a meeting. “Speaking to other people, especially when you are talking about potentials of war and death, and famine and lots of other things, you meet. There is nothing wrong with meeting,” the president said.

As the AP notes, Trump struck a decidedly different tone on Twitter when he issued an all caps threat to Iran a week earlier. “YOU WILL SUFFER CONSEQUENCES THE LIKES OF WHICH FEW THROUGHOUT HISTORY HAVE EVER SUFFERED BEFORE,” the president wrote in an apparent response to a recent warning from Iranian President Hassan Rouhani that a war with the country would be the “mother of all wars.” Rhetoric out of Iran has ratcheted up since Trump’s decision in May to withdraw the US from the nuclear accord and reinstate sanctions.

This is at least the 2nd time he has employed this technique……is this a look under the veil of the Trump “style”?

It is Iran (Again)

“NEVER, EVER THREATEN THE UNITED STATES AGAIN OR YOU WILL SUFFER CONSEQUENCES THE LIKES OF WHICH FEW THROUGHOUT HISTORY HAVE EVER SUFFERED BEFORE,” he wrote. “WE ARE NO LONGER A COUNTRY THAT WILL STAND FOR YOUR DEMENTED WORDS OF VIOLENCE & DEATH. BE CAUTIOUS!”

That Tweet was this past Sunday….apparently Our Dear Leader is using the technique he used with North Korea…..

After a virtual yelling tantrum aimed at Iran….Our Dear Leader found his calmer voice two days later……below was verbal not a thumb cramp for Twitter….possibly after a cold shower…..

During his speech in Kansas City on Tuesday, President Trump said he is “ready to make a real deal” with Iran, adding that “Iran is not the same country anymore.” He also said this new deal would not be like the “disaster” deal made by the Obama Administration.

The statement comes just two days after President Trump’s bellicose Tweet threatening Iran with “consequences the likes of which few throughout history have ever suffered before.” Speculation was that this was an attempt to replicate the US strategy in North Korea, where threats were followed with successful diplomacy.

Yet Iran and North Korea are clearly dramatically different situations, not the least of which because Iran doesn’t have nuclear weapons, or a nuclear arms program to dismantle. Willingness to negotiate at all with Iran is a substantial difference in Trump Administration position, however.

Trump’s position that Iran is “not the same country anymore” is also a significant one, even if he didn’t elaborate in this speech. In previous comments, Trump has suggested Iran shows the US more respect since he withdrew from the P5+1 nuclear deal.

This could be a significant long-term aspect of Trump’s position on Iran, if he feels that presenting Iran’s behavior as improving is important to defending his decision to withdraw from the nuclear deal. When the president feels that a deal would vindicate his past policies, he seems much more eager to make such deals.

(antiwar.com)

As a foreign policy wonk I am seeing a new style of international relations……this calmer and milder Trump is a break from the strong words of Pompeo, Pence and others…..confuse them with bovine fecal matter then anything after looks like genius….

Iran?

They were the subject of much lip service a few months ago and now we have  little that the MSM will use on air…..until Dear Leader takes to Twitter using all Caps……

After we pulled out of the nuke deal the Iran situation has taken backseat to North Korea and Helsinki……but FYI  Iran is still there and still going to become a problem eventually……

Our Dear Leader full expects Iran to come crawling to hum for a new deal…..

 In comments on Thursday, President Trump revealed that he believes that having withdrawn from the P5+1 nuclear deal and started imposing new sanctions means Iranians are “feeling a lot of pain right now.” He predicted they would have to call him and ask for a deal.

Trump withdrew from the deal in May, and claims now Iranians are “treating the US with a lot more respect.” Iran has mostly focused public efforts on continuing to keep its commerce flowing worldwide, since the US wasn’t honoring much of the deal in the first place. Iranian officials say the priority is to sell as much oil as possible.

Despite Trump making much of the moves being about forcing Iran to renegotiate the deal, he has been very vague on what he actually wants out of Iran that is different from the existing P5+1 deal.

https://theantimedia.com/trump-iran-call-new-deal/

Now that Trump has met with his better half could Iran be in the cross hairs now?

They were right to be worried. Within hours of arriving in Europe, Donald Trump was busy insulting America’s closest friends and threatening to dismember Nato. He publicly humiliated Theresa May and did his importunate best to force regime change in Westminster, before halfheartedly apologising. Now he takes his ugly brand of rogue-male politics to Helsinki for a meeting with his best buddy, prominent campaign supporter and fellow narcissist, Russia’s Vladimir Putin. This is an ominous, possibly watershed moment for Europe, full of fear and loathing.

All of which invites the question: how far will Trump be allowed to go before leaders of the western democracies finally draw the line? How long until they recognise him as an antagonist, not an ally, contemptuous of their countries’ values and interests – and act accordingly? Germany’s Angela Merkel tried firmness. May tried flattery. The EU has tried fulmination and retaliatory trade tariffs. Others, wishfully, dismiss Trumpism as an aberration, not a strategic shift. But nothing stops him as he rampages on, malignly flattening all in his path.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/jul/15/trump-and-putin-unholy-alliance-could-lead-to-war-with-iran

In response to some of the sanctions that is being applied Iran has hit back…

Iran has threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz if its oil sales are blocked because of the pressure from the US.

“The most transparent, complete and prompt response was given by Mr [Hassan] Rouhani, the Iranian president, in his last trip to Europe. The response was clear: if Iran cannot export oil through the Persian Gulf, no-one will do this,” Iranian Supreme Leader’s senior adviser for international affairs Ali Akbar Velayati said, speaking at the Valdai discussion club in Russia. “Either everyone will export, or no-one.”

Velayati’s remarks are a clear response to the repeated US attempts to cut off Iran’s oil exports after Washington had pulled out of the landmark nuclear agreement between Teheran and other powers.

The Strait of Hormuz is a vital artery for oil coming from the Middle East. Most of oil export from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait and Iraq passes through the strait

https://southfront.org/iran-threatens-to-close-strait-of-hormuz-if-its-oil-sales-are-blocked/

More info……

https://www.thecipherbrief.com/column/cipher-brief-expert-view/irans-dire-straits

There are some dire predictions about what effect the sanctions will have on the Iranian economy……

Turbulent developments in the past few months on the foreign exchange and gold markets in Iran and the government’s failure to manage runaway prices has compelled some economists to start using the term “bubble economy.”

The interrelationship among various markets within the country’s economy was explained in a June 14 Al-Monitor piece. In this article, however, we will focus on the root causes and complexities of behaviors by economic players. Regardless of whether these acts are driven by economic, psychological or political factors, they are damaging to the economy as a whole and compound the government’s challenges in managing the economy. At the same time, it is clear that a continuation of the current conditions will increase the likelihood of an economic crisis with unprecedented social and political consequences. The current wave of strikes and demonstrations by traders and other economic actors is an example of how the problem will be amplified if the authorities do not develop proper responses.

America may be trying hard to put the squeeze on Iran but its economy has a bit of a lifeline thanx to some of the EU members…..

Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said that international parties remaining in the Iran nuclear deal have kickstarted practical measures ensuring banking relations and the resumption of Iranian oil sales, two weeks ahead of the first phase of US sanctions.

The three European countries (Germany, Britain and France) may restore banking activities of the Central Bank of Iran in European banks to find a channel to preserve financial ties before the return of US sanctions, the Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday.

In a meeting with foreign diplomats and economic activists, Zarif said that the three European countries, China and Russia pledged to compensate Iran’s losses resulting from the US’ unilateral exit from the agreement.

https://aawsat.com/english/home/article/1335366/iran-announces-eu-banking-oil-sale-arrangements

After that bit of info…..does Dear Leader still think that Iran will come crawling?

And do not forget Iraq…that is Iraq with a “Q”…..why?

The aftermath of the Iraqi elections on 12 May confirmed the country’s troubled political cycle. Although the polls reflected the Iraqis’ desire for political change, the dire realities of Iraqi politics provided the usual set of obstacles to the fulfillment of this choice. On 3 July, a manual recounting of the votes began, while acts of sabotage toward the ballot boxes and the electoral machinery.

https://theantimedia.com/iran-will-continue-most-powerful-iraq/

But what of Iran in Syria?

There is so far no sign that Russia has begun to use its influence to restrain Iran from occupying certain areas of Syria close to Israel. Quite the contrary, Iranian and Russian forces are currently fighting side-by-side in southern Syria on al-Assad’s behalf. Nevertheless, Russia has called for foreign troops to leave Syria, and there have been recorded (though not in the Russian press) cases of friction between Russian and Iranian forces (Mid.ru, July 14). Russia’s demand that Iranian troops leave Syria after the war ends, together with rumors of a deal between Israel and the Sunni forces represented by Saudi Arabia and the UAE, has clearly rattled Iran, whose media has published numerous stories either decrying Russian infidelity or denying that there is a problem (PressTV, July 1314). At the same time, Russia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has walked back the call for non-Syrian forces to leave Syria, although that is the ultimate objective (Mid.ru, July 4).

A lot of info but well worth reading if one would like to know what could be the future of this situation.

History Repeats

I know there are those mental midgets that cannot see the need to keep up with our history….they try to justify their ignorance in some ham fisted philosophical BS to deny history….fortunately for the blogosphere I am NOT one of those  thumb suckers.

Someone once said that “if one ignores history then they are destined to repeat it”…that is a paraphrase so don’t get too excited.

Does anyone remember the bullsh*t that was told to the country to get our invasion and occupation of Iraq to become acceptable……they had WMDs (none were found)…they were in search of yellow cake uranium (was a lie manufactured by neocons)….and then there was the BS about the 9/11 attackers that was bullsh*t…Saddam never aided them in any way……

I bring up this because the war drums are starting to beat lead by the liar in chief at the UN, Amb. Haley……

 US UN envoy Nikki Haley slammed Iran Wednesday ahead of a UN Security Council meeting, Anadolu reports.

Haley criticized Tehran in a press release ahead of a session on UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres’ latest report on the implementation of sanctions against Iran mandated by Security Council Resolution 2231.

Guterres’ report “includes troubling, but not surprising, evidence that Iran has‎ and continues to violate UN Security Council resolutions by shipping weapons across the Middle East, blatantly defying travel bans and providing support to terrorist organizations destabilizing the region,” said the statement.

http://theantimedia.com/iran-violating-un-security-council-resolutions/

It appears that these toads cannot remember that the UN was where GW Bush started his lies of justification.  Trump minions will continue the lies until the shooting starts….just as GW’s boyz did for him…..damn Repubs have no imagination.

The Neocons and Bolton have started their choruses of regime change for Tehran….the same chorus they have used time and time again….but that seldom is a good thing.

These toads want a regime change in Tehran……again history is not on their side at all….we have aided several regimes change in Iran and none of it has gone well for us in the end.

Is it time for America to support regime change in Iran? A growing chorus inside the Beltway says “yes.” According to them, the arc of history bends toward freedom in Iran. Reuel Marc Gerecht and Ray Takeyh argue in The Wall Street Journal that “[d]evising a strategy to collapse the clerical regime isn’t difficult” because “the essential theme in modern Iranian history is a populace seeking to emancipate itself from tyranny.” They see the growing economic chaos in Iran as birth-pangs of emancipation and call for America to act as midwife.

Many intellectuals before Gerecht and Takeyh have advanced theories of unstoppable historical change, driven by forces the wise can interpret and accelerate. In the nineteenth century, Hegel thought history was rushing toward human freedom. Marx thought it drove toward the collapse of capitalism and the rise of socialism. More recently, some thought the end of communism foreshadowed an inevitable global shift toward liberal democracy—an “end of history.” Dictatorships elsewhere, they thought, were living on borrowed time. One small push and the tide of history would do the rest.

https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2018/06/27/history_shows_that_regime_change_in_iran_is_not_the_answer_113563.html

America really needs to re-think all their approaches to diplomacy for they are just doing the same things over and over and over….a never ending cycle.