Trying To Reason With The Hurricane Season–2023

It is that time of the year…..we who live on the Gulf Coast dread 01 June for it is the start of the hurricane season.

If you do not live in Hurricane Alley then this post will not be of interest to you….but I would be remiss as an FYI blogger if I let it go without a post.

It’s time for residents along the southeastern US coastlines to make sure their storm plans are in place: The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season formally got underway Thursday, and the AP rounds up some things to know:

  • Predictions: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted in late May a 40% chance of 2023 being a near-normal hurricane season, a 30% chance of an above-average season, which has more storms than usual, and a 30% chance of a below-normal season, which has fewer.
  • Specifics: “We’re expecting a busy season with 12 to 17 named storms,” said Mike Brennan, the new director at the National Hurricane Center in Miami, adding that five to nine of those storms could become hurricanes, with one to four growing into major hurricanes.
  • Meet Arlene: Already, the first named storm of the season formed on Friday in the Gulf of Mexico. Forecasters say Tropical Storm Arlene is heading due south toward the western tip of Cuba, and could fall apart before reaching any land.
  • What’s new: This year, the hurricane center is rolling out a new storm surge model that Brennan said “helps push real-time storm surge prediction out to 72 hours in advance of the storm” in hopes of getting life-saving information to emergency managers regarding evacuation orders. In addition, tropical weather outlooks have been extended from five days out to seven days, providing “an additional heads up” for residents to make decisions about whether to evacuate in advance of a storm, Brennan said.
  • El Nino: The term refers to a natural temporary warming of the Pacific Ocean that occurs every few years, including this one. Generally, the Atlantic is quieter and has fewer storms during El Nino years, though Brennan noted there are other factors at play, including warm sea surface temperatures, weaker low-level easterly flows, and a more active African monsoon season. “So these forces are going to kind of fight it out over the course of this hurricane season,” he said. “We don’t know how this season’s going to play out.”

I pots every year to let my regulars know that if I disappear between June and December it could be because of a storm has hit and we are without power or internet.

AS my tradition I will sign off with a tune of the season from Jimmy Buffet….

Enjoy your weekend…..be well….

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

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IST Saturday News Dump–03Jun23

Another weekend begins and as usual IST brings to its readers all the news that was unfit for the headlines.

Florida has its  problems and not all of them are DeSantis….there are alligators…..

For a guy who just lost part of his arm to an alligator, Jordan Rivera has a remarkably good attitude. The 23-year-old was at Banditos Bar in Port Charlotte, Florida, early Sunday when he had to use the bathroom, per WBBH. The lines for the restroom were long, however, so Rivera tells the station he decided to heed the call of nature in a pond behind the drinking establishment. “I either tripped or the ground below me kinda just went down,” Rivera says. “I ended up in the water. And that’s literally the last thing I remember.”

When he woke up, a disoriented Rivera was in the hospital. “I looked over and I saw my arm the way it was and I was like, ‘Whoa,'” he tells WBBH. “It kind of feels like my arm is just there, but not there.” Although he says what happened to him is “almost out of a movie,” he’s grateful to be alive and taking the partial loss of his limb in good stride. “I didn’t lose my life, I lost an arm,” he says. “They got my elbow. So, I don’t have an elbow. … It’s not the end of the world.” The FWC is continuing to investigate the incident, reports ABC News.

Moral of the story is….never pee outside in Florida.

I you have ever had a roommate then you know the frustration of having eat your last piece of pizza or donut….but the guy in Kentucky goes a bit far……

It’s that rarest of crimes: a Hot Pockets shooting. Police in Louisville, Kentucky, say a 64-year-old man shot his roommate in the derriere for eating the last one, reports WLKY. Clifton Williams allegedly got torqued and started “throwing tiles” at his male roommate when he discovered all the Hot Pockets were gone, according to the police report, per WAVE3. The roommate says he fought back and was trying to leave when Williams retrieved a gun from the house and shot him in the buttocks, say police.

Williams has pleaded not guilty to charges of second-degree assault. His presumably former roommate managed to walk a few blocks for help before being to taken to a local hospital for treatment. Williams appears to be wearing a slight smile in his booking mug shot, though he faces 5 to 10 years in prison if convicted, notes NBC News. He is due back in court next week.

Moral of this story is….Hot Pockets can be hazardous to your health.

A giant story in the science world would make for numerous SciFi horror flicks…..

According to a report published in Nature, Professor Katsuhiko Hayashi, a Japanese scientist at Kyushu University, has engineered a method of turning male mice skin cells into pluripotent stem cells, which can potentially develop into various types of cells or tissues.

Professor Hayashi and his team then grew these cells with a drug that converted the male rodent stem cells into female cells, which produced viable egg cells.

These eggs were then fertilized, which produced newborn male mice.

“This is the first case of making robust mammal oocytes from male cells,” Dr Hayashi said of the study.

And, given this recent breakthrough, he said he could emulate this process in humans in the near future, predicting it would take around five years.

As the scientists could produce egg-like cells from two male mice, it also raises the possibilities of same-sex couples and their fertility options.

“It’s a very clever strategy,” said Diana Laird, a stem cell and reproductive expert at the University of California, San Francisco, who was not involved in the research, as per New York Post.

“It’s an important step in both stem cell and reproductive biology.”

https://www.unilad.com/technology/scientists-believe-labgrown-babies-could-be-a-possibility-in-5-years-734548-20230526

Can you see any way this could be abused?  I do!

Nanobots are coming!

A nanoscale robotic hand with four bendable fingers can grasp objects like gold nanoparticles or viruses.

Xing Wang at the University of Illinois and his colleagues constructed the nanohand using a method called DNA origami, in which a long, single strand of DNA is “stapled” together by shorter DNA pieces that pair with specific sequences on the longer strand. This method can be used to create complex shapes, from maps of the Americas to spinning nanoturbines.

The four fingers of the nanohand are joined to a “palm” to form a cross shape when the hand is open. Each finger is just 71 nanometres long (a nanometre is a billionth of a metre) and has three joints, like a human finger.

The researchers did a series of experiments to show what the hands could be used for. To demonstrate the grasping ability, they added strips of complementary DNA to particles of gold between 50 and 100 nanometres across and the fingers could grasp them.

In another test, they took the fingers and added extra bits of DNA that bind to the spike protein of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. The nanohands could then “grab” viruses and those that had been grabbed were unable to infect cells growing in a culture.

https://www.newscientist.com/article/2375054-nanoscale-robotic-hand-made-of-dna-could-be-used-to-detect-viruses/

Maybe this will give my readers something to think about….if not all I can say is I tried.

Have a wonderful Saturday.

Be well and be safe….

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

The Beacon Of Democracy

For decades the US has sold itself as the ‘beacon of democracy’ fighting the autocrats for a freer and democratic world…..promoting democracy as an export from our shores.

Well all that patriotic claptrap is just plain bullsh*t.

The US is npe selling weapons to the world’s autocrats…..

President Joe Biden claims that the United States is leading “democracies” in a fight against “autocracies” to establish a peaceful international order, but his administration approved weapons sales to nearly three-fifths of the world’s authoritarian countries in 2022.

That’s according to a new analysis conducted by Security Policy Reform Institute co-founder Stephen Semler and published Thursday in The Intercept.

The U.S. has been the world’s largest arms dealer since the end of the Cold War. Data released in March showed that the U.S. accounted for 40% of global weapons exports from 2018 to 2022.

As Semler explained:

In general, these exports are funded through grants or sales. There are two pathways for the latter category: foreign military sales and direct commercial sales.

The U.S. government acts as an intermediary for FMS acquisitions: It buys the materiel from a company first and then delivers the goods to the foreign recipient. DCS acquisitions are more straightforward: They’re the result of an agreement between a U.S. company and a foreign government. Both categories of sales require the government’s approval.

Country-level data for last year’s DCS authorizations was released in late April through the State Department’s Directorate of Defense Trade Controls. FMS figures for fiscal year 2022 were released earlier this year through the Pentagon’s Defense Security Cooperation Agency. According to their data, a total of 142 countries and territories bought weapons from the U.S. in 2022, for a total of $85 billion in bilateral sales.

To determine how many of those governments were democratic and how many were autocratic, Semler relied on data from the Varieties of Democracy project at the University of Gothenburg in Sweden, which uses a classification system called Regimes of the World.

“Of the 84 countries codified as autocracies under the Regimes of the World system in 2022, the United States sold weapons to at least 48, or 57%, of them,” Semler wrote. “The ‘at least’ qualifier is necessary because several factors frustrate the accurate tracking of U.S. weapons sales. The State Department’s report of commercial arms sales during the fiscal year makes prodigious use of ‘various’ in its recipients category; as a result, the specific recipients for nearly $11 billion in weapons sales are not disclosed.”

https://www.commondreams.org/news/us-sells-weapons-to-majority-of-authoritarian-countries

So Biden’s chest thumping about “battle between democracies and autocracies” is so much bovine fecal matter.

It looks like playing both sides from the middle…..again cash always takes precedent over morality.

It’s always the lies.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

War Department Makes It Big!

I know some think I spend too much time writing about the War Department and its stranglehold on the Congress and budget…..maybe so but how else will readers learn what is being done with their money.  (Apparently too many could care less)

After weeks of negotiations the House and Biden come to a deal….the shit show went on and on…..and yet there is NO negotiations on the budget for the War Department. Why?

The debt ceiling agreement reached between the White House and House Republicans that was announced Sunday caps military spending at $886 billion for 2024, matching President Biden’s requested budget.

Republicans negotiating the debt ceiling deal only sought non-military spending cuts. The $886 billion cap for military spending represents about a 3.3% increase from 2023.

The White House and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) still need to get the debt ceiling agreement passed through Congress. Many hawkish Republicans will likely oppose the deal as they previously blasted Biden’s massive $886 billion request as “inadequate.”

Hawks in Congress have gotten their way over the past two years as they approved significantly more military spending than what President Biden requested for 2022 and 2023. For 2023, President Biden asked for $813 billion in military spending, but Congress added $45 billion, bringing the finalized National Defense Authorization Act to $858 billion.

A similar increase for 2024 could bring the NDAA close to $1 trillion. The US also authorizes other national security spending that is not included in the NDAA. According to analyst Winslow Wheeler, factoring in other types of expenditures on the national security state, including interest on debt and the Veteran Affairs budget, would bring the total defense budget for 2024 to around $1.5 trillion.

(antiwar.com)

Why is this framed as the price for freedom?

Why are poor and retired Americans having to foot the bill for the debt….war has added more to the debt than anything else and yet it is sacred and cannot be altered.

Why?

Then there is this Ukraine thing….

Dems are proving to be more pro war than the GOP (a scary thought)…..

Several members of the Democrat Party in Congress are urging the White House to provide Kiev with significantly more military support. One representative wants the Joe Biden administration to place “non-combatant observers” on the ground in Ukraine. 

Rep. Jason Crow (D-CO) called for long-term investment in modernizing Ukraine’s military. He believes the upgraded weapons will turn the country into a “porcupine that can’t be swallowed.” 

One suggestion Crow made was sending non-combatant observers to the battlefield to learn “through direct observation and communication with Ukrainian forces.” Crow did not specify if the personnel would come from the CIA, Pentagon or another agency. However, deploying any Americans on the battlefield risks them being killed by Russian soldiers. 

Sen. Jack Reed (D-RI), chair of the Senate Armed Services Committee, along with Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) and Richard Blumenthal (D-CN), are backing a plan that would send ATACM missiles to Ukraine.

https://libertarianinstitute.org/news/democrats-in-congress-demand-more-aggressive-ukraine-policy/

The blood money paid to Congress by the industry ensures that they continue to make war and make money….

The debt ceiling agreement reached between the White House and House Republicans places no constraints on spending on the war in Ukraine, a White House official told Bloomberg.

The $113 billion that has been authorized to spend on the war in Ukraine so far was passed as supplemental emergency funds, which is exempt from the spending caps that are part of the debt ceiling deal.

According to the Congressional Budget Office, funding “designated as an emergency requirement or for overseas contingency operations would not be constrained, and certain other funding would not be subject to the caps.” The deal suspends the nation’s debt limit through January 1, 2025.

Hawks in Congress are looking to use emergency spending to increase the $886 billion military budget that was agreed to as part of the deal. The emergency funds could go beyond Ukraine and might be used to send weapons to Taiwan or for other spending that hawks favor as part of their strategy against China.

(antiwar.com)

….all the while the poor and those in need will have to suffer to keep the war drums beating and profitable.

And as always I ask the same question….what does the US hope to gain from our massive investment in Ukraine?  (Not to worry it will go unanswered)

This whole debt thing is just goddamn pathetic.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

Whack-A-Doodles Across The Pond

The world knows we here in the US have some crazies….those that try to drive through road blocs and attack the White House or those that shoot kids playing hide and seek or those that cannot remember that they have kids in the car and leave them to die in a hot car…..some times we feel we are alone with the crazies…..but we are not…..even our friends in the UK are dealing with these morons….

Actor Benedict Cumberbatch, his wife Sophie Hunter, and their three young children were inside their north London home when a man kicked through the iron garden gate, threw a plant at the garden wall, and took a knife to the property’s intercom system. “I know you’ve moved here, I hope it burns down,” the 34-year-old suspect shouted before fleeing, the Guardian reports, citing court records. He was identified as Jack Bissell, a former chef at the five-star Beaumont Hotel, based on DNA taken from spit spewed at the intercom, per court documents. It’s unclear when exactly the attack occurred. Details of the case were concealed until a successful challenge to the restrictions, per the BBC.

Shortly before the attack, Bissell had told a shopkeeper that he planned to break in to Cumberbatch’s house and burn it down, prosecutors said. He reportedly offered no defense for his actions. He pleaded guilty to criminal damage on May 10 and was fined roughly $310. Bissell—described by some outlets as the actor’s former chef—was also handed a three-year restraining order that will require him to stay away from the family and the area in which they live. “Naturally all of the family were absolutely terrified and thought this guy was going to get in and hurt them,” a source tells the Daily Mail, per the BBC. “Benedict and Sophie have had many sleepless nights since worrying that they may be targeted again.”

What did Cumberbatch do to this guy?

He was absolutely evil as Khan in Into Darkness….but did that deserve this type of crazy?

What did Cumberbatch and his wife do?

Please any UK readers that have more info pass it on…..

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

The Nightmare Scenario

This is a scary look at what would be the possibilities if for some unknown reason Donald the Orange wins in 2024 and a look at what this country can expect from his heavy handed BS.

Vox gives us a look at that ‘nightmare scenario’….

At Donald Trump’s CNN town hall on Wednesday, the former president took a series of policy positions that felt extreme even by contemporary Republican standards.

“In little over an hour, Donald J. Trump suggested the United States should default on its debts for the first time in history, injected doubt over the country’s commitment to defending Ukraine from Russia’s invasion, dangled pardons for most of the Capitol rioters convicted of crimes, and refused to say he would abide by the results of the next presidential election,” the New York Times wrote in a fair summary of the evening.

There is every reason to think that this kind of talk reflects what a second Trump administration would be like. As the Times notes, there has been a concerted behind-the-scenes effort in MAGA world to ensure that Trump will face fewer roadblocks in enacting his agenda in 2025 than he did in 2017 — starting with gutting the federal bureaucracy and replacing thousands of nonpartisan employees with Trumpists.

“These proposals have been incubating for more than two years within a network of well-funded and Trump-connected outside groups,” the Times reports.

In 2016, Trump put absolutely zero effort into preparing for the possibility that he might actually govern after the election. The result is that he took office with a staff heavily drawn from the ranks of the GOP establishment, some of whom worked to curb his most disruptive impulses.

This time around, we can expect no such discordance — meaning that we’re likely to get Trump unleashed from day one.

Moreover, experience with politicians like Trump abroad suggests that Trump’s agenda will be every bit as radical as the town hall suggests — with a focus on dismantling constraints on Trump’s authority and undermining the fairness of the political system.

(There is so much more to his agenda)

https://www.vox.com/2023/5/13/23708595/trump-second-term-cnn-town-hall

But keep in mind that there is another slug in the running, DeSantis…..and Scott and Christie and Pence is waiting in the wings…..please do into forget Haley….so far I see nothing to get excited about in the GOP.

It is early and so many things can change by next year…..keep reading and I will give you more take on the 2024 election.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

Truth And Lies

That seems to be the way of things these days…..we have truth and we have lies and it is up to the individual to ascertain which is which…..and there in lies the problem…..thanx to social media and the media itself have blurred the lines…..

This first story was written in 2020…..but it still helps the understanding….

Many of us are familiar with the quotation, “Repeat a lie often enough and people will eventually come to believe it.”

Not ironically, the adage — often attributed to the infamous Nazi Joseph Goebbels — is true and has been validated by decades of research on what psychology calls the “illusory truth effect.” First described in a 1977 study by Temple University psychologist Dr. Lynn Hasher and her colleagues, the illusory truth effect occurs when repeating a statement increases the belief that it’s true even when the statement is actually false.[1]

Subsequent research has expanded what we know about the illusory truth effect. For example, the effect doesn’t only occur through repetition but can happen through any process that increases familiarity with a statement or the ease by which it’s processed by the brain (what psychologists in this context refer to as a statement’s “fluency”). For example, the perceived truth of written statements can be increased by presenting them in bold, high-contrast fonts[2] or when aphorisms are expressed as a rhyme.[3]

According to a 2010 meta-analytic review of the truth effect (which applies to both true and false statements),[4] while the perceived credibility of a statement’s source increases perceptions of truth as we might expect, the truth effect persists even when sources are thought to be unreliable and especially when the source of the statement is unclear. In other words, while we typically evaluate a statement’s truth based on the trustworthiness of the source, repeated exposure to both information and misinformation increases the sense that it’s true, regardless of the source’s credibility.

The illusory truth effect tends to be strongest when statements are related to a subject about which we believe ourselves to be knowledgeable,[5] and when statements are ambiguous such that they aren’t obviously true or false at first glance.[4] It can also occur with statements (and newspaper headlines) that are framed as questions (e.g. “Is President Obama a Muslim?”), something called the “innuendo effect.”[6]

View at Medium.com

Now this report on the mass media and its part at spreading the manure….

A recent case rightly illustrates the confounding way truth and lies spread in mass media. On June 15, 2017, The New York Post published this headline: “Breatharian Couple Survives on the Universe’s Energy Instead of Food.” Now, The New York Post is a big paper—the sixth largest, by circulation, in the United States—and it’s an old paper, established in 1801 by Alexander Hamilton. But headlines like this show that even the mainstream media can sometimes stretch the truth, or just ignore it completely.

In skimming the New York Post article, it’s not just the headline, but the whole article is silly. And this was not an April Fool’s joke. The article says “Husband and wife Akahi Ricardo and Camila Castello believe that food and water aren’t necessary and humans can be sustained solely by the energy of the universe.” They’ve eaten, we’re told, just three times a week since 2008, and even then only a piece of fruit or vegetable broth. Furthermore, the couple didn’t eat a single thing for three years. Ms. Castello didn’t eat during her first pregnancy, either, because as she declared, “I knew my son would be nourished enough by my love.” 

For the record, people can’t survive without nourishment, and we are required to get our nourishment from food. These facts should not be controversial. But the New York Post article presented the story of this so-called Breatharian couple as fact. There wasn’t a word of skepticism, or an iota of fact-checking, or even a hint that this story wasn’t literally true.

Truth and Lies in Mass Media

On a side note….did the AP strike a deal with Nazi Germany for propaganda purposes…..you knew that eventually I was going to interject some history….

Even the Associated Press has its secrets.

A recent report, declassified by the AP itself, discloses information about the news outlet’s coverage of WWII, and the role that Nazi soldiers may have had in it. According to the internal report released Wednesday, the AP made a deal to exchange photos with Nazi soldiers. The photos were run in American newspapers, without crediting their origins. In turn, AP photos were used by Nazi soldiers for Nazi propaganda.

An investigation was open into the long-secret arrangement after German historian Harriet Scharnberg published an article in March of 2016 accusing the AP of Nazi cooperation. Scharnberg’s research pointed out that pictures supplied by the AP were being published in propaganda publications, such as “Der Untermensch” (The Subhuman). Scharnberg also stated that by submitting to “Schriftleitergesetz or editors law, the AP relinquished control of the content that they released to German publications. Therefore, the AP’s content fell under instruction not to print any material “calculated to weaken the strength of the Reich abroad or at home.”

https://www.salon.com/2017/05/11/the-associated-press-reveals-secret-propaganda-deal-with-nazis/

Media spreading manure goes back a ways…..

Who do you trust?

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

Rein In The War Department

As long as budgets and debt is on everyone’s mind let us look at a major part of our problem, IMO….

In case you have been remiss and avoided reading IST then you do not know that I have little faith in the War Department and its contractors (read someplace there are about 50,000 of them)…..if you have read my posts then I need explain nothing (and thank you for reading).

Since Reagan more and more of the responsibilities of the Pentagon have been outsourced.

This is a report, granted an old one, that explores the growth of so-called ‘contractors’ for the Pentagon it was published by the Center for Public Integrity in 2004…..and its findings….

The Center examined more than 2.2 million contract actions totaling $900 billion in authorized expenditures over the six-year period from fiscal year 1998 through fiscal 2003 (Oct. 1, 1997-Sept. 30, 2003). Most of the research was focused on the biggest contractors, those that won at least $100 million in prime contracts over the period studied. Some 737 prime contractors, mainly but not exclusively for-profit corporations, fit that criteria, along with several thousand of their subsidiaries and affiliates.

Half of all the Defense Department’s budget goes out the door of the Pentagon to private contractors. This percentage has stayed virtually constant over the past six years; as the Pentagon’s budget has expanded with the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, so have the dollars going to contractors.

The Pentagon’s contracting force is top-heavy, and growing more so. Out of a total universe numbering tens of thousands of contractors, the biggest 737 collected nearly 80 percent of the Defense Department’s procurement dollars. The 50 biggest contractors got more than half of all the money; the top 10 got 38 percent.

If you want more info (which I doubt will be used)…..

The Biggest Contractors
Competition
Cost-Plus Contracts
Joint Ventures
Foreign Contractors
Political Influence I: Campaign Contributions
Political Influence II: Lobbying
Small Business: Bigger Than You Think
What the Pentagon Buys
The Rise in Service Contracts
Accuracy in Pentagon Reporting

Like I stated it is an old report and since then the budget for the War Department grows and grows and like most government stuff the holes and the problems were given a band-aid so the money continues to flow.

Let’s look at the most recent ‘deal’….

The agreement between President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) to raise the debt limit for two years, if approved by the House and Senate, will avert a potential economic catastrophe. Biden started off demanding a “clean” debt limit increase with no extraneous provisions. McCarthy sought deep cuts in domestic discretionary spending and large increases in military spending in exchange for raising the debt limit. 

The compromise, reached Sunday, includes a small decrease in domestic discretionary spending and a record $886 billion for defense, a 3.3% increase over the current year. The money allocated for the defense budget is exactly what Biden requested in the 2024 budget. Notably, about half of that money will go to defense contractors. 

In 2015, the United States spent $585 billion on its military. The United States has added more than $300 billion in military spending in less than a decade. (Had military spending kept pace with inflation, military spending would still be less than $700 billion annually.) Biden has added nearly $150 billion to the military budget since 2021, the last budget approved by President Trump. The budget of the Pentagon now exceeds “the budgets for the next ten largest cabinet agencies combined.”  In 2020, Lockheed Martin received $75 billion in government contracts, more than 1.5 times the budget of the entire State Department. 

Last year, the United States spent more on its military than the next 10 highest-spending countries combined…

https://popular.info/p/there-is-always-more-money-for-defense

While most domestic programs are cut to the bone…..the War Department is rolling in cash….now you tell me where the problem is now that you have read this post.  (Of course that will depend on the capability to read)

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

Debt Ceiling–In Case You Want To Know

A deal has been made between Biden and the House GOP….I would like for the people, my readers, that would like to know more beyond the god awful deal that was finally settled upon….

Here is the takeaways and the answers to most questions…..

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/key-questions-takeaways-debt-ceiling-deal/story

Personally this article is just the MSM trying to turn chicken manure into sirloin…..

If you do not like ABC then maybe this will be more favorable to your thinking…..

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/whats-in-and-whats-out-of-the-debt-ceiling-deal-between-biden-and-mccarthy

I still do not see where the American people made out in this deal…..basically it is to protect the markets and give cover for their re-election……

An agreement has been reached, at least in principle, by President Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy on raising the nation’s debt limit, and now the final OK is in Congress’ hands. Both progressive Democrats and ultra-conservatives are already pushing back on the deal, and if Biden and McCarthy can’t convince members of their own parties to vote for it by a June 5 deadline, a default looms. Negotiators are scrambling to finalize the bill’s details, and the takes are starting to trickle in. Some thoughts on what this agreement could mean:

  • View on proposed spending cuts: Economists tell the New York Times they don’t think those “modest” cuts will seriously shake up a “well-positioned” economy that should be able to absorb them. “The most important impact is the stability that comes with having a deal,” Ben Harris, a former deputy Treasury secretary, tells the paper. “Markets can function knowing that we don’t have a cataclysmic debt ceiling crisis looming.”
  • A Balanced deal, but…: The editorial board at the Washington Post notes that both the GOP and Dems got “some of what they wanted,” and that “most Americans will probably approve” of the “sensible” basics of the deal. The panel argues, however, that the agreement sets a “dangerous precedent,” as “House Republicans have now used the debt limit twice to create a hostage-like situation that brings the nation close to an unthinkable default.” The board’s recommendation: “The debt limit itself needs to be scrapped,” as it “no longer makes any sense.”
  • “Wrinkles and curveballs”: Politico outlines the details that make “even more clear what kinds of trade-offs [Biden] and McCarthy had to accept in ways that are already angering members of the parties’ bases”—including a thumbs-up for an Appalachian gas pipeline promoted by Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin.
  • Cautious optimism from investors: They note the debt deal could “boost overall appetite for risk” in the stock market, while also boosting some of the “unloved corners,” including cyclical stocks, defense stocks, and energy stocks, per Reuters. “The hope is that the approval of this tentative deal will help underpin the broader market and not just the handful of big tech names that have kept the market well in positive territory,” Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist at LPL Financial, says.
  • Temporary relief? A second piece in Reuters takes the stance that any market relief that emerges out of the deal will only be a “short-lived sugar high.” The outlet notes that’s because once the agreement is struck, it’s believed the US Treasury will rapidly issue nearly $1.1 trillion in Treasury bills—a move that would “effectively suck a bunch of liquidity out of the marketplace” and create “an environment where markets are crash prone,” experts say.
  • “Fiscal hangover”: Investors.com similarly warns that “a fiscal hangover is just beginning,” and that “we’re about to get Fed quantitative tightening on steroids,” with a possible stock market dip and recession around the corner.
  • The art of compromise: Writing for CNN, Dean Obeidallah notes that making concessions is part of the game, and for fellow Democrats who don’t like the agreement, he has some advice. “There is an easy fix: Win back control of the House in 2024—while retaining the Senate and White House—and they can roll back any parts of the deal they find objectionable,” he writes.

Not to worry we will play this same game in a couple of years….just another way to do nothing while appearing to do something.

All this is just so much theater of the absurd…..and it is pathetic.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

More On The Mini Dictator, DeSantis

I hope that everyone had a good holiday weekend but it is time to return to the surrealistic world of American politics.

Since he announced that he would seek the GOP nomination there has been a wealth of criticism about him as a candidate…..me included but not everyone thinks it is a big deal that so many have turned this story into….

An articled that appeared in the “National Review’….

Ron DeSantis launched his 2024 campaign Wednesday night and, as you may have heard, it did not go exceedingly well. “DeSaster” was trending as a hashtag after the glitchy announcement event on Twitter. Calling attention to the many, many headlines describing it “horrendous” or words to that effect, Elon Musk himself put a different spin on things: “I call it ‘massive attention,'” he tweeted. “Top story on Earth today.” So which is it: An embarrassing failure, or did Twitter essentially crash because of legit interest in the Florida governor’s campaign? “As usual, the truth is somewhere in the middle,” writes Jim Geraghty at the National Review.

Geraghty finds the sentiment that this was an unprecedented political gaffe to be “spectacularly inaccurate,” one that “reflects an ignorance of recent American political history that is best explained by severe amnesia.” He argues that the rollout will be remembered as a minor blip as DeSantis’ campaign advances. “I still believe that the key moment in the 2024 GOP presidential primary will be the first time DeSantis and Donald Trump are on the same debate stage, and the first time DeSantis challenges Trump to his face, and how that exchange plays for the two men.” Until then, nobody should get too worked up. (Read the full op-ed.)

Overreaction?

Then explain the early days DeSantis raised millions…..

Ron DeSantis took a lot of grief over his glitchy campaign launch on Twitter. But the Florida governor now has $8.2 million worth of comebacks for his critics. That’s how much his campaign raised in the first 24 hours after the launch, an amount described variously as “massive” by Axios, “blockbuster” by Fox News, and “huge” by the New York Times. As the Times notes, it far outpaces former President Trump’s campaign, which reported raising $9.5 million in the first six weeks of his launch. Another notable contrast: When he became a candidate in 2019, Joe Biden raised $6.3 million in his first 24 hours.

In the view of Axios, the fundraising haul clearly cements DeSantis as the prime challenger to Trump. “$8.2 million in the first 24 hours,” tweeted DeSantis spokesman Bryan Griffin. “Our Great American Comeback!” So what about those Twitter glitches? Criticism and mockery may have been all over the media, but Politico took the pulse of Iowa residents who turned out late Wednesday night to hear another 2024 candidate, Sen. Tim Scott. The upshot is that most people couldn’t have cared less about the governor’s Twitter fiasco.

This scares me as he should every other thinking person.

Then I read a post about his Florida bill, HB 1285…that would create a state army (WTF?)…

Read the post for yourself….

DeSantis Signs Bill Creating $100 Million State Military

This smacks of Germany of the 1920s

If there are any Floridians reading please let us know it this is a true thing or some sort of satire….

But not to fret Donald the Orange is on the spot to give us a thrill…..

“HAPPY MEMORIAL DAY TO ALL, BUT ESPECIALLY TO THOSE WHO GAVE THE ULTIMATE SACRIFICE FOR THE COUNTRY THEY LOVE, AND TO THOSE IN LINE OF A VERY DIFFERENT, BUT EQUALLY DANGEROUS FIRE, STOPPING THE THREATS OF THE TERRORISTS, MISFITS AND LUNATIC THUGS WHO ARE WORKING FEVERISHLY FROM WITHIN TO OVERTURN AND DESTROY OUR ONCE GREAT COUNTRY, WHICH HAS NEVER BEEN IN GREATER PERIL THAN IT IS RIGHT NOW,” Trump wrote. “WE MUST STOP THE COMMUNISTS, MARXISTS AND FASCIST “PIGS” AT EVERY TURN AND, MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!”

And his loyal will believe this crap…..there should be nothing happy about remembering our war dead…..but that is just me.

Are you paying attention?

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”