The dumbest idea for picking a candidate (my opinion)……the big news, at least for the media, will be who emerges from Iowa the front runner…..a very smart dude, Nate Silver, has some thoughts for the GOP……

If you are a supporter of the GOP in this election then maybe you should watch the caucus….it is possible that it could be a telling tale…..

The Iowa caucuses are here and Nate Silver, who wasn’t expecting Donald Trump to still be leading the GOP field at this stage, still thinks he could be knocked off his perch. At FiveThirtyEight.com, the predictions whiz outlines four possible results in Iowa—and four ways the media is likely to spin them.

1. Marco Rubio as the GOP’s Savior. If Trump beats Ted Cruz and Rubio does well, expect the GOP elites to rally behind Rubio, Silver predicts, adding that in what was “possibly an idiotic strategy,” the GOP establishment may have had this outcome in mind when it launched recent attacks on Cruz.

2. A Trump Blowout. If Trump beats Cruz and Rubio flops, Monday “will be one of the most famous days in American political history,” according to Silver, who predicts that a blowout Trump win would make him the odds-on favorite for the nomination—and leave the GOP without a clear alternative.
3. Cruz in Control. If Cruz beats Trump and Rubio has a bad night, “Cruz will look Teflon” and it will be a nightmare for the GOP elites who opposed him, Silver writes. He predicts that a post-Iowa Cruz bounce could open up chances for Jeb Bush or John Kasich in New Hampshire.
4. A Trump Bust. If Cruz beats Trump and Rubio has a strong night, the story will be all about a Trump bust, whether or not his New Hampshire chances still look good, Silver predicts. He notes that a Trump collapse would leave the GOP primary looking relatively normal, which “might be the biggest surprise of all.”

Click for Silver’s full column.

Or to save yourself some aggravation…..maybe take a look at the Dems……just a thought……

But if you are a glutton for punishment then check out this……..

The eyes of the world are once again on Iowa for caucus day—and this time, they’re waiting to see whether all the Donald Trump hype translates into actual votes, and what will happen in the tightening Democratic race. Some coverage highlights:

• The Des Moines Register has a refresher on how the state’s caucus system actually works—and on the big difference between the Democratic and Republican procedures.
• For Trump and Bernie Sanders alike, the most important factors will be turnout, turnout, and turnout, the Wall Street Journal reports.
• AccuWeather is keeping an eye on a winter storm that could affect voting Monday evening, potentially changing the results.

• Hillary Clinton had Bill and Chelsea at her side as she made her final pitch to Iowans, the Washington Post reports in a look at last-minute campaigning.
• The Des Moines Register examines 10 questions the caucuses will answer, not including Trump’s “How stupid are the people of Iowa?”
• NBC News looks back at some weird moments from the Iowa caucuses of yesteryear, including the time a computer snafu gave George HW Bush a big lead over Ronald Reagan.
• The New York Times looks at the most-watched pre-caucus poll—and explains why it has been so accurate in previous years.

• Several other Election 2016 questions to be answered Monday include how either Trump or Ted Cruz handles losing, reports the Christian Science Monitor.
• CNN reports on how potential kingmaker Martin O’Malley “is the most important Democrat in Iowa.”
• O’Malley will probably stay in the race at least until New Hampshire, but Iowa could be the end of the road for several GOP candidates who are “running on fumes,” the Hill reports.
• The Des Moines Register has some tips on how to follow results live as they come in Monday night—and a look at how the candidates stand on 27 different issues.

And in the end….if you are not part of the lamestream media………who f*cking cares?