Trying To Season With The Hurricane Season–2020

Closing Though–01Jun20

Every year on 01 June, the start of the hurricane season I post info that will help others understand what and why we along Hurricane Alley look at religiously…..and the scary or worrisome thing is there have already been 2 named storms before the season begins.

Let me say here that hurricane preparedness has taught us living in Hurricane Alley how to deal with the pandemic…..we know prep.

Onto the new season…..

Looks like hurricanes have been changed……and not for the better…..

Are hurricanes getting worse? That’s what climate models have long predicted, and now there’s evidence: A new study finds that hurricanes have indeed grown more powerful in recent decades, LiveScience reports. “The trend is there and it is real,” lead study author James Kossin tells the New York Times. “There’s this remarkable building of this body of evidence that we’re making these storms more deleterious.” Worldwide satellite images between 1979 and 2017 show a roughly 15% increase in hurricanes hitting 100 knots, especially in the last 19 years of the time frame, per the study. The chance of a hurricane being Category 3 or worse has also risen about 8% every 10 years.

This echoes the notion that warmer water, which fuels hurricanes, is making them bigger and stronger. But greenhouse gases may not be the only cause. Scientists also point to changing sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic, perhaps due to natural variability or lower sulfur emissions in fossil-fuel burning. That said, Kossin mostly agrees with the climate-change angle: “Global warming has made hurricanes stronger, but our results don’t tell us precisely how much of the trends are caused by human activities and how much may be just natural variability,” he says in a press release.

Without further distractions…..

The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be more active than usual, according to an outlook released Thursday by The Weather Company, an IBM Business.

The outlook created by Dr. Todd Crawford, chief meteorologist at The Weather Company, calls for 18 named storms, nine hurricanes and four major hurricanes – one that is Category 3 or higher (115-plus-mph winds) on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

This forecast is significantly above the 30-year (1981-2010) normalized average of 13 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

A little historical perspective……https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2020-04-15-atlantic-hurricane-season-april-outlook-the-weather-company-ibm

In this year of the pandemic there is more to worry about than a few storms along the Gulf Coast…..with the pandemic and then a major storm on top of the virus we could be looking at stuff for the movies……

Pete Gaynor, who runs the Federal Emergency Management Agency, is drafting a document whose title sounds like the stuff of horror movies: “COVID-19 Pandemic Operational Guidance for the 2020 Hurricane Season.”

Driving the news: “We’re doing a lot of things that are not necessarily in any playbook that has existed,” Gaynor told me in an interview on Saturday. “In some cases, we write the playbook as we go.”

https://www.axios.com/fema-coronavirus-hurricane-season-ef660cda-f4b3-4002-b8ac-71438c8edebd.html

The local news reporting on the possible change in hurricane protocols during the pandemic….

The Red Cross and Mississippi Emergency Managament Agency are working together to tackle a huge problem: How do they staff and operate shelters in a post-COVID-19 world? With an active hurricane season being projected, the agencies are working fast to find solutions.

County emergency management agencies and MEMA determine when shelters in Mississippi open. However, it is the Red Cross that staffs the shelters and provides supplies, but COVID-19 could threaten the status quo.

“That’s the kink in it, is that, if a hurricane hit right now, we would not staff any shelters due to the COVID crisis,” said Executive Director John McFarland of the Red Cross’ Southeast Mississippi chapter. “If we were to open the shelter and put people in there and provide sufficient spacing, which would obviously mean putting fewer people in, one person shows symptoms and you have to quarantine the whole shelter and you just make matters worse.”

https://www.wdam.com/2020/05/27/hurricane-protocols-could-be-changing-post-covid-world/

As with the tradition of IST I would like to ring in the 2020 Hurricane Season with Jimmy Buffet…..

One final note….if I am out of touch for awhile then a storm took out our internet and please bear with me….I shall return as soon as I can.

What did the hurricane say to the coconut palm?

Hang on to your nuts for this is no ordinary blow job.

Please add this pdf to your preparedness…..

Click to access 39779_MEMA-Hurrican-Preparedness.pdf

Be well….Be safe…..

“lego ergo scribo”

Both Sides Of Floyd

I am sure that there is a wealth of opinions about these protests that have ignited across the global……my favorite was that George Floyd had been a porn star….now what the f*ck does that have to do with his death? To me it sounded like a white persons excuse.

All that aside…there is like I said a wealth of opinions and these are just a few of the published ones.

Did you see George Floyd’s death on TV and mutter “Oh, my God” in horror? To Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, that sounds pretty white. But “if you’re black, you probably leapt to your feet, cursed, maybe threw something (certainly wanted wanted to throw something), while shouting, ‘Not @#$%! again!'” he writes in the LA Times. Bottom line, he doesn’t want to see storefronts destroyed, “but African Americans have been living in a burning building for many years, choking on the smoke as the flames burn closer and closer.” Blacks have been pushed to the edge by murder upon murder of innocent people like Floyd and Ahmaud Arbery, so let’s try to empathize: “What I want to see is not a rush to judgment, but a rush to justice,” he writes. For more opinions:

  • Deroy Murdock: “What do smoke, scorched aluminum and shards of glass have to do with George Floyd’s needless, wasteful and hideous killing? Nothing,” writes the political commentator at Fox News. “Will this destruction help unify Americans in pursuit of justice for George Floyd? No.”
  • Christopher Mah: “The most important idea I learned from my students—many of whom have been personally affected by police violence—is that rioting is the language of grief,” the Minneapolis teacher writes at MinnPost. “There is anger, yes, but underneath it, people are grieving.”
  • Philip V. McHarris and Thenjiwe McHarris want funding redirected away from police to emergency response programs “that don’t kill” African Americans. “Now more than ever is the time to divest not only from police resources, but also the idea that the police keep us safe,” they write in the New York Times.
  • John Matisonn asks how rioting could happen in “liberal Minnesota.” But in the eight years after 1999, “Minneapolis paid $4.8 million in legal settlements related to 122 police misconduct incidents,” he writes at News24. “Police officers and county sheriffs were involved in 29 civilian deaths.” And former prosecutor Amy Klobuchar, now a senator, “chose not to criminally charge any fatalities involving law enforcement.”
  • Michelle Goldberg sees the protests as part of “a dystopian film about a nation come undone”—features nightmares like the pandemic, a frozen national economy, and armed lockdown protesters. “Some of the tropes are familiar, but we haven’t seen this movie before,” she writes at the Times.
  • Zaid Jilani wants people to “demand accountability for George Floyd’s death” without romanticizing rioters. At the National Review, he quotes Martin Luther King Jr: “I’m absolutely convinced that a riot merely intensifies the fears of the white community while relieving the guilt.”

MLK. Jr was right.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

Those Violent Protesters

AG Barr stepped up and blamed most of the violence in the streets on Antifa Movement….about now most Americans will be asking….what the Hell is Antifa?

I have your answer…..https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/articles/X56rQkDgd0qqB7R68t6t7C/seven-things-you-need-to-know-about-antifa

Or if that was not enough…..https://www.firstpost.com/world/antifa-explained-all-you-need-to-know-about-the-movement-donald-trump-wants-to-declare-a-terrorist-organisation-8432291.html

He as “Ball Boy” for Donald the Orange has stepped up to help make the protests political…..

As officials warned that extremist groups may have infiltrated the protests over George Floyd’s death, President Trump on Sunday asserted that the US would declare antifa a terrorist group. “The United States of America will be designating ANTIFA as a Terrorist Organization,” he tweeted, after days of tweets about “LAW & ORDER!” and “ANARCHISTS” and the need to use the “unlimited power of our Military.” The New York Times notes Trump has no clear authority to actually do that, seeing as antifa, which stands for anti-fascist, is not an organization but “a diffuse movement of left-wing protesters.” Even if it were an organization, there is no law granting the federal government authority to declare a domestic group a terrorist organization; it can only do so for foreign entities. (Politico has more on the ins and outs of this.) After Trump’s tweet, Attorney General William Barr said the FBI would partner with state and local police to identify domestic terrorists who are instigating riots.

The AP reports that federal officials and experts who track extremist groups have both warned that far-left and far-right groups appear to be at work “stoking violence” amid otherwise peaceful protests, and that foreign agents might be behind a disinformation campaign on social media aimed at increasing political tensions. One expert explains to the Washington Post that while the role of outside groups is likely being exaggerated by the administration, it is true that some people simply use situations like this as an excuse to loot stores while others infiltrate the protests in order to turn them violent and thus discredit them. That’s what some Minnesota officials think is happening, warning, per CNN, that white supremacist “agitators” appear to be attending protests in the state. But one expert says she sees evidence of groups hoping to start a second civil war: “They want to co-opt [the protests] in order to start their war. They see themselves as being on the side of protesters and that the protesters themselves are useful in causing anarchy.”

But you know how pathetic this action is…..why?

Department of Safety Commissioner John Harrington said they are contact-tracing the arrested and added that an investigation is underway about white nationalist groups posting online to encourage their members to use the protests as a cover to create chaos.

He said some of the 40 arrests made in the Twin Cities Friday night were of people linked to white supremacist groups and organized crime.

“The people that are doing this are not Minneapolis residents,” Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey said. “They are coming largely from outside the city outside the region to prey on everything we have built.”

Minnesota Officials Link Arrested Looters to ‘White Supremacist’ Groups

For more on this occurrence….

Far-Right Infiltrators and Agitators in George Floyd Protests: Indicators of White Supremacists

And another source…..

White Supremacist Groups Have Been Urging Members To Loot Businesses In Minnesota

Quick to blame anti-fascist while the Nazis in this country get a pass on blame…..why is that?

For those interesting in the Antifa Movement …….

Click to access Antifa,%20The%20Anti-Fascist%20Handbook.pdf

I know why….do you?

Be Informed…..Be Safe…..Be Careful…..

I Read, I Write, You Know

“Lego ergo scribo”

Protests–Week 2

The death of George Floyd has re-ignited the racial tensions that have been smoldering under the radar……and protests have broken out coast to coast……

Tense protests over the death of George Floyd and other police killings of black men grew Saturday from New York to Tulsa to Los Angeles, with police cars set ablaze and reports of injuries mounting on all sides during another night of unrest after months of coronavirus lockdowns. The protests, which began in Minneapolis following Floyd’s death Monday after a police officer pressed a knee on his neck for more than eight minutes, have left parts of the city a grid of broken windows, burned-out buildings, and ransacked stores, the AP reports. The unrest has since become a national phenomenon as protesters decry years of deaths at police hands. More:

  • In Philadelphia, at least 13 officers were injured when peaceful protests turned violent and at least four police vehicles were set on fire. Other fires were set throughout downtown.
  • In the Greenwood District of Tulsa, Oklahoma, the site of a 1921 massacre of black people that left as many as 300 dead and the city’s thriving black district in ruins, protesters blocked intersections and chanted the name of Terence Crutcher, a black man killed by a police officer in 2016.
  • In Tallahassee, Florida, a pickup truck drove through a crowd of protesters, sending some running and screaming as the vehicle stopped and started and at one point had a person on its hood, police said, but no serious injuries were reported. Police handcuffed the driver but did not release his name or say whether he would face charges.
  • In Los Angeles, protesters chanted “Black Lives Matter,” some within inches of the face shields of officers. Police used batons to move the crowd back and fired rubber bullets. One man used a skateboard to try to break a police SUV’s windshield. A spray-painted police car burned in the street.
  • In Washington, DC, growing crowds outside the White House chanted, taunted Secret Service agents and other law enforcement officers, and at times pushed against security barriers. President Trump, who spent much of Saturday in Florida for the SpaceX rocket launch, landed on the residence’s lawn in the presidential helicopter at dusk and went inside with speaking to journalists.
  • In New York City, video posted to social media showed officers using batons and shoving protesters down as they made arrests and cleared streets. Another video showed two NYPD cruisers driving into protesters who were pushing a barricade against a police car and pelting it with objects, knocking several to the ground.
  • In Minneapolis,state troopers and National Guard members moved in to break up protests after an 8pm curfew took effect, firing tear gas and rubber bullets to clear streets outside a police precinct and elsewhere. The show of force came after three days where police mostly declined to engage with protesters. It also came after the state poured in more than 4,000 National Guard members and said the number would soon rise to nearly 11,000.

Donald the Orange in true authoritarian fashion has issued warnings to the public……

Donald Trump has threatened people protesting the death of George Floyd with “vicious dogs” and “ominous weapons” if they had breached the fence outside the White House, where members of the US Secret Service are “waiting for action”.

In a Twitter thread posted after another night of protests and uprisings against police brutality across the US, the president suggested that US Secret Service members look forward to inflicting violence.

He also appeared to encourage counter protests, promoting “MAGA NIGHT AT THE WHITE HOUSE”.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-twitter-george-floyd-death-protests-white-house-dogs-guns-a9540216.html

Then Donald is just begging for another Kent State (look it up!)

President Donald Trump’s controversial statement suggesting looters in Minneapolis, Minnesota, will be shot by National Guard troops drew fire from critics, particularly from congressional leaders with previous battlefield experience.

https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-national-guard-troops-may-shoot-looters-2020-5

Then the Orange one goes to his sycophant in the DoD……

the AP reports that the Pentagon has taken the “rare step” of telling the US Army to deploy active-duty US military police units in Minneapolis. Sources say that includes soldiers from Fort Bragg in North Carolina, Fort Drum in New York, Fort Carson in Colorado, and Fort Riley in Kansas. The orders were given verbally Friday after President Trump sought military options from Defense Secretary Mark Esper to curb the protests in Minneapolis.

Seriously?

It gets more like the authoritarian regimes he, Donald, so admires…..

How long before another “accidental” death happens within these protests?

Finally as long as we are talking about this authoritarian regime in the White House…..

A new study, however, suggests that the main threat to our democracy may not be the hardening of political ideology, but rather the hardening of one particular political ideology. Political scientists Steven V. Miller of Clemson and Nicholas T. Davis of Texas A&M have released a working paper titled “White Outgroup Intolerance and Declining Support for American Democracy.” Their study finds a correlation between white American’s intolerance, and support for authoritarian rule. In other words, when intolerant white people fear democracy may benefit marginalized people, they abandon their commitment to democracy.

https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/trump-effect-new-study-connects-white-american-intolerance-support-authoritarianism-ncna877886

The future is anything but rosy……

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

Slow Death Of The State Department

After the military I worked for the DoD and the State Department…..I was proud of the work that most of us peons were doing promoting the US while promoting solutions for problems other than war.

But I have not been so proud of the department in the last couple of decades from Bush 1 forward……in fact I believe the State Department is slowly dying and being replaced by the DoD and endless wars…..at this rate the State Dept. will be gone by mid-century…..

The Department of State drifted through the past handful of administrations, an agency without agency, adequate personnel, or budget, virtually obsolete in the 21st Century. How did this happen?

Traditional diplomacy began as a necessary expedient. Nations had business with one another, but messages could take weeks to travel from one capital to another. Instead, ambassadors were sent out, empowered in the case of the U.S. as the President’s personal representative. Heady stuff. Over time communications improved to the point where world leaders can now text each other, but those ambassadors and embassies remain like vestigial limbs.

With exceptions (FDR stand outs), presidents did not conduct first-name diplomacy or tie themselves up with the details of foreign affairs. They had secretaries of state for that. Things shifted under Richard Nixon, whose interest in first-person diplomacy with China and ownership of the Vietnam War sent the State Department into a supporting role. Soon enough, events both internal and external to the U.S., its State Department, and the world, did their work.

The Long, Lingering Death of the U.S. State Department

The decades past has shown what these Neoliberal twats have done to foreign policy……

Ben Rhodes, who served as President Barack Obama’s deputy national security adviser, labeled the nation’s foreign policy elite as “the Blob.” Members of this well-educated, well-connected group disagree on peripherals but agree on essentials of foreign policy. Their almost unanimous bottom line is that the U.S. government must run the world.

The result over the last couple decades has been catastrophic. Thousands of dead Americans. Tens of thousands injured, many maimed horribly. Hundreds of thousands of dead civilians in the nations Washington was supposed to be liberating. Millions of people driven from their homes. Trillions of dollars wasted. Enemy nations empowered. Terrorists created. America’s reputation shattered.

The Foreign Policy Blob Strikes Back: We’re Just Fine, Proclaim Architects of Endless Wars

Allowing the DoD to set foreign policy is just plain wrong….they implement foreign policy not invent it.

I miss my work for State but I am glad that I got out when I could still hold my head up and say that the US was truly a world leader……since then it has gone downhill and at the bottom of the hill is Trump and his impotent minions.

The world order is gone along with US foreign policy….

The authors contend that world order “weakened after 9/11 and ended over the past decade, driven by a combination of great power ambition, American withdrawal, and transformational changes that left many nations unmoored from old certainties.”

“The fundamental strategic problem the United States faces with respect to world order is how it should respond to the breakdown in agreed arrangements between the major powers,” say Blackwill and Wright. For the United States to “preserve its national interests and its own notion of international order” in the wake of COVID-19, the authors argue that the United States should:

https://www.cfr.org/report/end-world-order-and-american-foreign-policy

This fall from prominence will take decades are longer to repair….if ever.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”