It’s That Time Again! #5

Just when you thought things could not get any sillier…….Tonight is the big night…..the 5th in the series of GOP debates….So if you have nothing better to do than waste a couple of hours of your life stop by and join the fun……… I expect that since the front runner Trump made his Muslim statement that this debate will be more about that and terrorism than anything else….after all this subject has sucked all the oxygen out of every other issue…..

But the biggest question is…..who or how many go for the cajones of Trump?

Tuesday night brings the last debate of the year for Republicans, and one common theme in previews is that in a year of relatively lively debates, this one might be the liveliest yet. Some things to watch:

  • Will anyone hit Trump?: “Easily the biggest question” of the night is who, if anyone, will go after Donald Trump in “a long-awaited have-you-no-decency-sir moment,” says Politico. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio will likely pass, but keep an eye on Chris Christie or perhaps Jeb Bush or Carly Fiorina.
  • But which Trump?CNN notes that Trump has been content in some debates to “fade into the background,” but he also knows that millions will be tuning in to watch him defend his plan to keep Muslims out of the country. Does he “play it safe and lock in his front-runner status?”
  • Cruz vs. Rubio: Now that he’s near the top of the polls, Cruz is “likely to come under sharp attack,” says the New York Times. Look for Rubio in particular to go after him on immigration and national security, particularly over Cruz’s support of guest-worker visas and and curbing domestic surveillance. Rubio himself, though, is vulnerable over his 2013 work on providing immigrants a path to citizenship, a topic that has yet to surface in the debates.
  • Christie emerging: One of Slate’s key questions is “What Will Chris Christie Do?” He’s rising in the polls, especially in New Hampshire, and given Bush’s lackluster debate performances, the New Jersey governor is the “establishment man best suited to try to shake things up.”
  • Scary times: A big topic is expected to be foreign policy and the fight against ISIS because of the attacks on Paris and San Bernardino, notes Time. “The more serious tone will likely reward candidates who adapt their messages to fit the new dynamic of the race, and may pose a problem for those who struggle on the substance.”
  • Details: The main debate airs at 8:30 Eastern on CNN. The undercard (Mike Huckabee, Lindsey Graham, George Pataki, and Rick Santorum) begins at 6.

This will be the last debate……of 2015….but never fear there will be more…..

May your evening be as joyous as you like…..see ya!

“The Force Awakens”!

NO!Ā  This is not a review of the new Star Wars movie (sorry I could not resist)…..I wrote a piece yesterday about the question of just who will be the force to take on ISIS head to head…..(in case you missed it)…..

Source: Who Will Fight the Islamic State? | In Saner Thought

Since I posted that my question has been answered……(sort of)…….

Saudi Arabia said Tuesday that 34 nations have agreed to form a new “Islamic military alliance” to fight terrorism with a joint operations center based in the kingdom’s capital, Riyadh. The announcement published by the state-run Saudi Press Agency said the alliance will be Saudi-led and is being established because terrorism “should be fought by all means and collaboration should be made to eliminate it.” The statement said Islam forbids “corruption and destruction in the world” and that terrorism constitutes “a serious violation of human dignity and rights, especially the right to life and the right to security.”

At a news conference, Defense Minister Mohammed bin Salman said the new Islamic military coalition will develop mechanisms for working with other countries and international bodies to support counterterrorism efforts. He said their efforts would not be limited to countering ISIS alone. “Currently, every Muslim country is fighting terrorism individually … so coordinating efforts is very important,” he said. The new counterterrorism coalition includes nations with large and established armies such as Pakistan, Turkey, and Egypt, as well as war-torn countries with embattled militaries such as Libya and Yemen. Saudi Arabia’s Shiite regional rival, Iran, and its allies Iraq and Syria are not part of the new coalition.

Okay….we all can relax…..we force a commitment for a fighting force from the conflicted region…..right?

Then why am I not more excited about the news?

Is this the answer the world has been looking for……or is it a gimmick?Ā  We have been fooled in the past by these same groups….could they possibly be serious this time?

Open The (Overton) Window….We Need Fresh Air

By now the whole world is reeling at the comments of GOP front runner Donald Trump……although he has made many similar comments his newest has everyone (those that worship at the feet of the messiah) having to either justify the comment or condemn…..

About 5 years ago here on IST I offered up some philosophical techniques used in politics…..nowadays politics is full of innuendo and in some cases out right lies…….but this does have a practical side…..

Source: Argumentum ad populumā€“Revisited | In Saner Thought

Source: Argumentum Ad Hominem | In Saner Thought

It is nothing new….Trump likes to drive the conversation and will say whatever it takes from him to be the center of media attention…..just remember the statements he has made in the past 6 months or so…..since the beginning of his candidacy he has been the dominant voice in the coverage and the conversation……just read about his technique…….

Source: How does Trump do it? Understanding the psychology of a demagogueā€™s rally

Are there any PoliSci majors out there?Ā  If there are then the traditional ideas of an election are flying in the face of everything you have been thought up to this point…..especially on the Right side of the spectrum.

The reason I ask is there is a theory in PoliSci first proposed by Joseph Overton…..it is called the Overton Window.

Ā A political theory invented by arch-conservative Joseph Overton, VP of the anti-tax Mackinac Center for Public Policy in Midland, Michigan.
In theory, the Overton Window represents the boundaries of “acceptable” public policy and discourse — what a politician can support without seeming too “extreme.” Opposing forces try to broaden this window (or shift it to one side) to make formerly “radical” ideas seem more “mainstream.”
Overton’s theory has a decidedly pro-business, anti-regulation slant. Something is either “more free” or “less free” in his view. He never mentions “more just” or “more fair” or “more practical.” In fact, the entire theory tailor made for paranoid people and right-wing lunatics who think Obama is a totalitarian Marxist dictator bent on world domination.
Trump is showing the classic signs of the Overton Window and his rival is doing exactly what was predicted…..He, Cruz, is not saying Trump is wrong but he is positioning himself as an ally so if Trump crashes then he can step in to the candidate’s donors and supporters.Ā  Cruz will wait for an opening before he makes his move….that weakness will be first in poll numbers….

The Decline and Fall of the ā€˜Mainstreamā€™ Media

Let’s be truthful…..I think the MSM is a bunch of overpaid hacks.Ā  I dislike any group that keeps real information from the public ….instead they give us sensationalism and crap.

But as much as I dislike the media the hype they GOP candidates try to pass off is worse lies and misinformation than the people they pretend to hate.

But I do believe that the MSM has about run its course and Mr. Raimondo has written a pretty good piece on the subject……

The ā€œmainstreamā€ media is a potent issue this election year, and Donald Trump has surely turned the publicā€™s distrust of the Fourth Estate into electoral gold. Regardless of what one thinks of Trump himself, his ability to turn a media pile-on into an asset has got to make one wonder what is it about the [ā€¦]

Source: The Decline and Fall of the ā€˜Mainstreamā€™Ā Media – Antiwar.com Original by — Antiwar.com