Wrong! This is not about Boehner and his decision to cut and run…….
2016 is getting interesting instead of just plain pathetic…..the GOP field was expanded to 17 candidates in the beginning and now they are slowly but slowly fading away from the election….first Perry an early fave….then Walker also an early fave….what does that say about the front runners?
Anyway……we know that there can be only ONE….(great Highlander (a movie) reference)…..so of the remaining mind fuckers who will be the next to go?
Rick Perry and Scott Walker have already dropped out of the GOP presidential race; who will be the next to go? Politico takes a “bipartisan survey of the top activists, operatives, and strategists in Iowa and New Hampshire” each week, and the latest thinking among Republicans is that Bobby Jindal, George Pataki, and Rand Paul will drop out next. In Iowa, 25% of Republicans predicted Jindal (“He’s become desperate,” says one, “and has nothing going on here in Iowa”) while in New Hampshire, 27% predicted Pataki (“The Spice Girls were big in the 1990s, too, but no one wants to see them on a reunion tour”). In both states, Paul “won” the second-place slot of who is most likely to drop out.
So where would Democrats place their bets? 40% of Iowa Democrats predicted Paul will be next to drop out and 34% of New Hampshire Democrats predicted Jindal. Earlier this week, CNN was also predicting the next drop-outs, using the Political Prediction Market, a “game that factors polls and other elements and invites users to predict where the election will go.” The most recent one found that Lindsey Graham is the most likely to drop out, with 85% odds, followed by Rick Santorum with 83% and Jindal with 80%.
We have what insiders think…..now how about you?
Please if you have a prediction let it fly…..we are listening.
My prediction is that no matter what happens in elections or in Congress nothing will change —– the gridlock will go on —– the continuing impotence of government will go on —– It will take a major calamity to bring it back together again if ever that would be possible. That’s my prognostication. I think The Rubicon has been crossed.
I agree…..it will get a little worse if the Tea Party wins speaker position…..but basically nothing will change….
Let’s not rule out the top three contenders at the moment. Suppose any of them takes a serious hit right now and plummets in the ratings? I doubt they’d be able to recoup.
Thanx for the comment…..the one I am watching is Rubio……it looks like the establishment people in the GOP are leaning toward Rubio a way from Bush….that is interesting and I think he may have more leeway in gaffs than say Bush or one of the others…Carly is lying thru her teeth but the GOP faithful love her lies…..chuq
You’re not alone in noting Rubio.
I just heard on the news that Chuck Todd sees it that way also….sad….I do not much like Todd….LOL
Thanx for following….it is much appreciated…….chuq
As I’ve said countless times, this is utterly pointless speculation that (by design) takes attention away from things with a lot more meaning like…”Who will be Playboy’s Miss November 2016?” Or, “How much wood would a woodchuck chuck…if a woodchuck could chuck wood?” Or, more appropriately, “Why do elections cost so fucking much, take so fucking long, yet wind up producing virtually no meaningful result…other than “entertaining” the public for 2 years?”
But since you asked…
My prediction is that, 6 months from now, few will even remember who dropped out before Iowa. (Other than Trump because he’ll have his own TV show and will constantly remind us how he was “almost President” ) Candidates “destined for victory” in 2015 will be gone with -not just zero delegates- but zero votes! They’ll go from unstoppable “heroes” & “villains” that people endlessly prattled on about, to mere punchlines in a “Remember 6 months ago?” nostalgia joke. (For example, 999!)
Hell, the minute one candidate looks like he’s opened up a decent lead, even a statistically insignificant lead in terms of total Delegates, everyone will forget the remaining Primaries (and the voters voting in them). They’ll be concentrating on the next speculative circus, the Presidential finals, and all the trivial nonsense that will “change/settle everything” & ….Fuck, this is so meaningless, I can’t even bother to finish this paragraph…
But for a pre-Iowa “dropout prediction” experiment….
List 1) A list of candidates you predict will drop out before Iowa.
List 2) Assign a number to every candidate. Roll a dice and, if their number comes up, they’re out. Roll enough to eliminate the same number you have on List #1).
Compare them come Iowa and see how they stack up to each other and (what passes for) reality. And notice that both lists are probably as accurate as the “experts” who make a lucrative, full-time, “career” doing exactly that.
I enjoy watching what the media called a front runner in April is crashing and burning…..illustrates how full of shit these stupid polls are….but we will see them for another year…..
But yet the media pundits all walk away from their utterly pointless (and usually inaccurate) predictions as if they never happened. Because, in reality, they might as well not have. They were just the equivalent of running the old Test Pattern on the screen. (Running something just to say “Our station is still working, but has nothing of value to air right now.”)
And yet they are allowed to do it again & again & again, reputations perfectly intact. Why? Because none of it matters. All that matters is that the audience of losers betting on this horse-race gets entertained in the process. That’s their only mission. Informing voters? “Fuck dat shit!”
This is just a Reality TV show that, for the good of all humanity, desperately needs to get cancelled. And how do you get a show cancelled? By people refusing to watch it. As long as we watch, the terrorists win! Er, you get my point.
Reality TV….I like it! It is all so damn fascinating….watching the candidates talk until they find that applause line and then they run with it…..and pathetic at the same time….
I can’t wait for Huckabee to say goodbye. To paraphrase Trump’s quote, “I don’t like his face.” Next in line is Cruz. LIttle by little, they will fall. I love watching the polls, from seemingly minute to minute. Very exciting – all of it. Trump gave Erin Burnett a great interview today on CNN. Glad she’s back. All the pundits thought he is changing his tune somewhat – “toning it down.” They say he’s beginning to “get a little more political.” He is a shrewd cookie.
Huck needs to go…he is a worthless effort….Cruz will be harder to get rid of…..