Trump In 2020

There is lots of talk about the polls showing Biden a big league in most contest in November…..but is it really that big of a lead?

Sorry voters but if you can think back to the Dark Ages, 2016, Clinton had a commanding lead in the polls and she had her ass handed to her…..so the moral of this story is do not believe the bullshit spread by the media.

Here is a couple of things about the upcoming election……

This article in the American Spectator (too conserv for my liking)……about Trump’s so-called Silent Majority…..

When President Trump insisted last month that his supporters included a substantial silent majority that isn’t represented in the polls, the Democrats and the corporate media devoted a surprisingly large amount of energy to “debunking” the claim. Indeed, their reaction was so shrill and ubiquitous that they seemed, to paraphrase Hamlet’s hapless mother, to be protesting too much. A new poll released Wednesday by the Cato Institute suggests a reason for this frantic reaction to Trump’s assertion. The survey of 2,000 Americans 18 years of age and older unambiguously indicates that the reluctance of moderates and conservatives to share their political views has increased significantly since 2017.

According to the poll, conducted on Cato’s behalf by YouGov, “The share of moderates who self‐​censor increased 7 points from 57% to 64%, and the share of conservatives rose from 70% to 77%, also a 7‐​point increase.” Perhaps more significantly, strong liberals constituted the only ideological cohort that indicated more freedom to express their political opinions. Only 42 percent indicate that they self-censor. A majority of committed liberals (58 percent) feel free to say what they think. This is why those with left-leaning political views seem to dominate the political discourse. They are doing most of the talking while moderates and conservatives keep their own counsel and wait patiently for Election Day.

More Evidence That Trump’s Silent Majority Is Real

Personally, I think that is “putting lipstick on a pig”…….

But Sen Mitt Romney has a few thoughts……

Mitt Romney is one of Donald Trump’s biggest Republican critics on Capitol Hill. He’s the only GOP senator who voted to convict the president for abuse of power earlier this year, and he regularly calls Trump out on policy and personal conduct.

Yet the Utah lawmaker, who was his party’s presidential standard-bearer in 2012, believes Trump is likely to win reelection this November.

Asked why he foresees that outcome, especially with most public polls showing Trump trailing badly behind presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden, Romney offered three reasons.

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/mitt-romney-trump-election-2020_n_5f19bdf6c5b6f2f6c9f31c6f

I cannot end on a note like that….so here is a thought of what Trump is doing to the GOP…….

Before beginning this assessment of Donald Trump’s campaign and the impact that it’s having on the Republican Party, it’s important to state that the only poll that matters is the one on Election Day. However, it cannot be ignored that the signs aren’t good for the President.

In 2016, at this stage of the campaign, polls showed that Hillary Clinton had a narrow lead, sometimes within the margin of error. Four years later, polls regularly show Joe Biden with a more substantial lead of 10% or more. This is supported by the state-by-state polls that give a greater insight into what’s happening on the ground in key battleground states, including places that Republicans once considered safe. The reality is that Donald Trump’s campaign is a sinking ship and he is taking the rest of the Republican Party with him.

Trump Is A Sinking Ship Taking The GOP With Him

Some are predicting the election of 2020 will be a major clusterf*ck…….

People often deploy the “perfect storm” metaphor incorrectly, using it to describe a surprise collision of events that catches its victims off guard. But that’s not how perfect storms really work: In Sebastian Junger’s book about a deadly Atlantic Ocean gale that popularized the term, the storm was a well-foreseen event, with serious warnings, that people saw coming and chose instead to ignore—until it was too late, and the waves overwhelmed them. That’s how this election is starting to look to experts.

What’s likely to go wrong, and is there any way to head it off?

Conversations with election specialists and security officials, plus analysis of recent government reports, make clear that there are eight distinct but connected challenges. At the technical end are the uncertain new voting technologies and processes put in place for the pandemic; on the geopolitical end, we face foreign adversaries energized by their success sowing confusion in 2016. And at the center is the unprecedented human factor: The dislocations and risks associated with voting in an uncontrolled viral outbreak.

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/07/24/2020-election-disaster-perfect-storm-372778

2020 will be something for political students to study for many many years to come.

Learn Stuff!

VOTE!

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

2 thoughts on “Trump In 2020

  1. You are right to remind everyone of 2016. Since then, I haven’t given any polls credit. It became obvious that the ‘silent voters’ are not those polled by anyone.
    Best wishes, Pete.

    1. Our news has poll after poll every day…..and people are writing about the coming “Blue Wave”…..I think they are creating their news not reporting. chuq

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