In The Year 2025

NO! It is not the hit tune from Zager and Evans…that was In The Year 2525…..sorry to be a bummer.

China thumps its chest….USA thumps its chest…..and unless all this macho bullshit ceases then there could be an accidental war by 2025….unless calmer heads prevail.

More than two decades after the fact, the reasons why the United States and the People’s Republic of China (PRC) avoided total war, let alone a nuclear exchange, during their armed conflict in the autumn of 2025 remain a source of dispute. What is clearer is why the Sino–American Littoral War broke out in the first place, and the course it took. Years of worsening U.S.–China relations, supercharged by the 2020 COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic that originated in Wuhan, China, and long fueled by endemic Chinese cyberattacks on American businesses and individuals, military jockeying in the South China Sea, and Beijing’s influence and propaganda campaigns, had created a deep reservoir of ill will and distrust of the other in each country.

https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/06/us-china-conflict-how-accidental-war-could-break-out-in-2025/

A “Littoral War”?

In military and naval warfare, littoral combat is operations in and around the littoral zone, within a certain distance of shore, including surveillance, mine-clearing and support for landing operations and other types of combat shifting from water to ground, and back.

We can ignore the elephant in the room……but that will not change a thing.

As tensions keep growing progressively worse, experts in US-China relations say that the risk of any specific incident escalating into a war is much greater than in years past, saying that intergovernmental communication needs to be shored up.

Every encounter, every US warship sent into the South China Sea, is another risk, and communications are getting worse and worse, leading a Chinese thinktank to  counsel efforts to keep chains of communication open, warning relations could get very childish without that.

Warnings about the state of the US-China relationship have been growing for months, with an ugly trade war, and recent threats by President Trump to totally decouple the US economy from China adding to the mounting risks.

The two major powers got into this situation through mutual acrimony, and it would take a lot of cooperation for the two of them to repair the relationship for the sake of avoiding a costly war. It’s clear no one would benefit from a war, but it’s not clear there is interest in repairing ties.

(antiwar.com)

Another situation to watch……the India-China clashes…..

China and India — the two most populous countries in the world, and both nuclear-armed — are now engaged in the most dangerous border crisis since they fought a war in 1962. For now, hopes that cooler heads would prevail in Beijing and New Delhi appear misplaced.

At issue is the western sector of the disputed border, between Indian-controlled Ladakh and Chinese-controlled Aksai Chin. The escalating troop deployment, tension, and death toll have pushed tensions to their highest levels in over 50 years. While both China and India have shown a clear interest in de-escalation and dialogue — demonstrated by their relatively calm and non-escalatory statements after the deadly skirmish on June 16 — the latest developments mark a new low in bilateral ties. Restoring a fraught peace now will be easier said than done.

China’s Strategic Assessment of the Ladakh Clash

Appears that China is the force that should be watched and eventually dealt with….but sanctions will do NOTHING to avoid a possible war.

But all indications are the the US is stumbling its way ingto a war with China……

With tensions between the US and China at an all-time high, experts warn the two powers are closer to a military confrontation than ever before. A war with China should be unthinkable in Washington since the conflict could be catastrophic to the entire world as the threat of it erupting into a full-blown nuclear war is very real. But with a deteriorating trade relationship, tension over the Covid-19 pandemic, increased US Navy activity in the Pacific, new sanctions aimed at Chinese officials, and hostile rhetoric coming from the Trump administration, the unthinkable is becoming more and more likely.

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced new sanctions on Friday aimed at “current and former” Chinese Communist Party (CCP) officials, accusing them of violating Hong Kong’s autonomy. Hong Kong has served as a stage for recent US meddling, with Washington openly supporting the protests that rocked the city since March 2019. The Trump administration accused Beijing of violating Hong Kong’s autonomy with a new national security law made for the city, a bill designed to quell protests.

Stumbling Towards Catastrophe: The New Cold War With China

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2 thoughts on “In The Year 2025

  1. A war with China is nonsensical. How could you possibly have a war with such a huge and populous country in any ‘conventional’ way? And threats or sanctions are hardly likely to scare such a powerful nation. This is something the Western Powers need to keep out of.
    Best wishes, Pete.

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