Why Your Third-Party Vote Is Not Wasted

The key word in the title is N-O-T!

As I predicted I have been hit with a bit of a BS thing when people learn that I am leaning for an alternative candidate….in my case it is Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party.

I have been getting the usual cowardly predictions of doom and gloom if I vote that way….or that I am crazy for not following the sheep and voting for one of the worthless candidates we have this time.  I vote for issues and principles…I care NOTHING for rhetoric.

First let me say…BITE ME!  It is my vote and I will give it to whoever I want.  Plus I refuse to let some nose picking ass scratcher dictate to me when it comes to voting.

If Americans truly cared about their country then they would research what is best before voting….but they had rather let some mental midget like Alex Jones or a handful of MSM pundits tell them where to place their vote.

It was in George Washington’s Farewell Address that he warned political parties would be “potent engines, by which cunning, ambitious, and unprincipled men will be enabled to subvert the power of the people, and to usurp for themselves the reins of government.”

This is exactly what’s happened as both parties serve moneyed interests rather than the will and the common good of the American people.

According to Pew Research, in the 2000 Presidential election cycle, 29 percent of voters were Independent. Gallup’s most recent poll brings that percentage up to a stunning 42 percent, compared to 26 percent Republicans and 29 percent Democrats.

Source: Independents Decide 42% Of The Vote. Why Your Third-Party Vote Is Not Wasted – Collective Evolution

If the voter truly wanted to “Make America Great Again” then they would spend more time learning about the candidates and less time bending over for their masters.  They could see the flaws and see the weaknesses….but sadly they cannot see past some vague message that has nothing to do with their governing style.

For me issues are far more important than the platitudes I am giving by the major candidates….I do NOT fall for slogans……I want to see answers to the important questions of our time…..so far I got NOTHING from the 2 “biggies”…

You vote for the idiots….I will vote for solutions…..whether they win or not.

Advertisements

Why Washington Is Addicted to Perpetual War

I have over the years asked myself that same question….why is America addicted to perpetual war?

Make NO mistake it is an addiction…one that we cannot seem to shake…….it is a real shame that we cannot be addicted to education  with the same intensity….

Of course one argument is that war is extremely profitable….but with all the intellectuals there are in the field of conflict management there should be some sort of plan or policy that would prevent the US from jump from one war to another…..without end.

The last two administrations have followed a bipartisan policy of constant war. Unfortunately, the consequences have been ugly: every intervention has laid the groundwork for more conflict.

Yet the architects of this failure claim that all would be well if only Washington had acted more often and more decisively. In their view, the problem is not that America goes to war, but that it doesn’t go to war nearly enough.

This approach is based on the belief that Washington is capable of solving every international problem. If only unnamed bright people implemented theoretically brilliant strategies backed by unidentified resolute citizens, terrorism would be suppressed, ISIS would be defeated, Russia would be compliant, Iraq would be successful, Syria would be peaceful, Libya would be united and China would be respectful.

Source: Why Washington Is Addicted to Perpetual War | The National Interest Blog

Conflict management is the practice of being able to identify and handle conflicts sensibly, fairly, and efficiently……all qualities that the US does not possess….until we learn this then we will remain in a perpetual footing for war.

A Framework for Analysing International Conflict Management

If you are a math wiz…then maybe this will help……work it out for yourself with a pencil………….(calculator is allowed but please show work)……

To test for the effect of the history of the conflict within a broader context that can control for factors that have been linked to the outcome of mediation, we have specified two multivariate logit models of the conditions contributing to mediation successes. Success for these purposes was operationalized in terms of the outcome of mediation efforts in which at minimum a ceasefire was secured, or at the other end of the scale, a full or partial settlement of the dispute was achieved. We specify two models from which these tests are performed. The first accounts for the conditions associated with successful conflict management attempts; the second disaggregates a specific type of conflict management — mediation — into the different approaches adopted by mediators. The functional form of the models are as follows:

Y1= a + X1 + X2 + X3 + X4 + X5 + e

and

Y1= a + X1 + X2 + X3 + X4 + X6 + X7 + e

where

Y1 = Success of Management (0,1)

X1 = Enduring Rivalry (1 if part of enduring dyad; zero otherwise)

X2  = Power Disparity (absolute value of disparity between power of

      actor A minus power of actor B; range 0-34)

X3 = Tangibility of Issue (1 if tangible; zero otherwise)

X4 = Intensity of Conflict (fatalities/month)

X5 = Management Type (1=mediation; zero=negotiation)

X6 = Directive Strategy (dummy, 1 if directive; zero otherwise)

X7 = Procedural Strategy (dummy, 1 if procedural; zero otherwise)

These two models reflect concerns over the conditions most conducive to successful conflict management, with Model 1 emphasizing, inter alia, the effect of different approaches to conflict management and Model 2 the different strategies that are adopted by mediators.

I like to be thorough……you are welcome.

Like any addiction…it can be ended…but only if we want it to be…..

And right now….WE DO NOT!

The election of 2016 will do nothing to end this addiction….no matter which of the pathetic losers wins…..(and I bet neither one has a pencil with them)….

Another Clinton President–Bad Idea

We enter the home stretch of the 2016 election….people will now start to pay attention to the person that will solve problems….not generate more……

For the life of me I cannot understand the support that the American people have for Hillary Clinton or that matter why they look back on Bill’s presidency with nostalgia…..the first “black” president?  Seriously?  Must be the “crack” talking.

I mean come on….his presidency saw an huge increase in inmates, loss of manufacturing, the worse welfare gutting and overseas adventurism….oh there is more….and yet many look back a sigh heavily and dream of the glory days…..he and his buddies at the DLC, commonly known as “Blue Dog” Democrats, screwed this country royally….and now they are thinking of voting for his wife who has the same designs and desires and her hubby….what are you f*ckers smoking?

But hey….take a look at what her d/bag of a hubby did to this country…..

Bill Clinton remains one of America’s most popular presidents. A national poll last March by NBC and the Wall Street Journal found 56 percent of Americans had a clearly favorable view of Clinton. That’s long been true for African Americans—from novelist Toni Morrison famously calling him the “first black president” while in office, to books explaining his appeal after his presidency ended.

Clinton has used this popularity to build his enormously ambitious global foundation, collecting $2 billion in assets for many anti-poverty and health initiatives, as well as building a personal fortune from speechmaking estimated at $30 million or more. In recent years, most of the public has forgotten what Clinton did as president, even as he has steadily been in the news.

Source: 15 Ways Bill Clinton’s White House Failed America and the World | Alternet

The only people these politicians helped was themselves and yet you still consider voting for a repeat of the screwing we took with Bill…..

I realize that Americans have a very short attention span……… but really?  You guys really want to go down the Clinton road again?

You people are about to make a big mistake……

Count me OUT!

Trump and the Scapegoat Effect

This election has some strong emotional responses to both Clinton and Trump….I know why I dislike both candidates but I am not sure if others have the same reactions to them as I…….some people will vote for the person that they dislike the less….and these are the people that will tell me that my vote is wasted if I vote for a third party…..these are the same people that call others “sheep”…….

Trump for instance…..those people that drink from the hemlock cup of the Donald almost to a person thinks the country is dead if he is not elected…..but so far I have not heard one reason why I should believe this poison…..

While reading the American Conservative I found an article that tries to explain the hatred for Donald J. Trump…..

Donald Trump is the scapegoat supreme of our time.

Don’t kill the messenger. See, to have a scapegoat is to not know you have one. It is to unite in common cause with other actors in your community to purge a common monster to preserve peace and order. Trump, more than any other figure in our present culture, fits that bill. (Yes, Trump and his supporters scapegoat other groups as well.)

Having dedicated his life to the study of scapegoating as the origin of culture, the late anthropologist René Girard is someone who should join every conservative’s pantheon. He argues that human beings unconsciously stumbled upon a circuit breaker that kept violence from virally overwhelming our ancient communities: the common identification and expulsion of a common enemy. The catharsis and solidarity scapegoating provides led early people to mythologize their victims into gods.

Source: Trump and the Scapegoat Effect | The American Conservative

Now I am looking for a similar article to why the country hates Hilly Clinton….personally, I do not think one is needed…..most of us have known her most of our lives and nothing about her is appealing…..

Please read the press before attempting something clever….which usually is nothing like clever or for that matter….timely.  (I apologize if you took the time to read the press beyond the title)…….

What you guys think?

Could “Political Lightening” Strike Again?

We are entering into the stretch run for the presidency of the United States of America…..the rhetoric, the lies, the pure BS will intensify and then we must chose which liar will lead the country down this path we have chosen…..I pray for the country…..

What political party did the great Lincoln join first?  Republican is the wrong answer.  First he was a Whig then moved on to the Republicans.

What happened to the Whigs anyway?

The Whig party ran, for some years, mostly in strong second place to the Democrats. They elected William Henry Harrison, in the famous “Tippecanoe and Tyler Too” campaign of nonsense, copied from the Jackson Democrats, but Harrison (the hero of Tippecanoe) died just days into his presidency, and was succeded by Tyler, one of the anti-Jackson democrats, who showed himself to be basically a firm Democrat, and was “read out of the Whig party”. They also elected Zachary Taylor (another war hero and no politician) who was died fairly early in the term, making Millard Filmore president.

After the Jackson era, the Whig party drifted towards its strongest elements, the national improvements men. That tendency was strongest by far in the North; the South being in those days almost purely agrarian.

In the 1850s when the nation became increasingly divided over slavery, a new Republican party formed, primarily to keep slavery quarantined off in the South, while Southern sentiment was for their right to move, with their way of life, into any new territory. Their methods of agriculture and their best cash crops tended to deplete the soil, so that Southerners were among the most aggressive Western expansionists.

The Republican Party, while it also attracted many anti-slavery Democrats, drew off so many Whigs that they effectively killed the Whig party. The Whigs were also badly hurt by the short-lived Native American or Know-Nothing party, which was primarily anti-immigrant and anti-Catholic. This party was strong in urban areas, which had also been a Whig stronghold. The last year the Whigs had a presidential candidate was in 1856.

One of the main reason for the demise of the Whigs was their demonizing immigrants…..more specific….Catholics.

Although they received the votes of many small farmers, shopkeepers, clerks, and artisans, they appear to have appealed particularly to what some modern historians call distinctive ethnocultural groups: evangelical as opposed to liturgical Protestants; moralists and abstainers; persons unhappy with brutal treatment of blacks and Native Americans.  (starting to see a trend yet?)

More on the demise of the Whigs……

Source: How an Outsider President Killed a Political Party: Zachary Taylor & the Whig Party – POLITICO Magazine

Six years ago I wrote an op-ed about “recurrent cycles”………

Professor’s Classroom

Subject:  Political Theory/Political History

Paper #30

I believe that politics travels in circles…..and so did the Greeks…..wish I could remember which one of the ancient political philosophers came up with the theory….but I do recall he was a Greek dude…..

Okay, the theory of recurrent cycles runs something like this…….the Greeks thought that monarchies degenerated into tyranny, tyranny was overthrown by aristocrats which degenerated into oligarchies that exploited the population, which was overthrown by a democracy, which slid into the instability of mob rule, which brought about a strong individual that set himself up as a monarch…….and the whole process would begin again…

Source: The Theory Of Recurrent Cycles – In Saner Thought

In 2016, is the cycle coming back around for the GOP?  It began by the end of the Whigs…..could the election of 2016 be the cycle repeating itself only the GOP being the big loser this time?

Trump and his minions have done a perfect job at dividing the party…..quiet possibly beyond repair…..

But if you are one of the chosen few that may still have some faith in the American political system then maybe you should check into the “modern Whig Party”…….

http://www.modernwhig.org/

Me?  I am thinking Green!

Ain’t history grand?

Exploiting Disorder: al-Qaeda and the Islamic State

It looks like I am the only blogger watching ISIS and other groups…..that is other than the occasional hateful post about Muslims…..but someone has to keep an eye on the happenings beyond the elections of this country.

In my research into terrorism I have found many good papers that offer some insights into this act of barbarism….I spend about 3-4 hours a day reading papers on the subject and one of the better sources of information (there is the Right’s ugly word),I have found that the stuff published by the International Crisis Group is timely and well thought out…..

This paper points to many of the reasons that groups like ISIS and AQ are able to function and gain in their influence…..

The Islamic State (IS), al-Qaeda-linked groups, Boko Haram and other extremist movements are protagonists in today’s deadliest crises, complicating efforts to end them. They have exploited wars, state collapse and geopolitical upheaval in the Middle East, gained new footholds in Africa and pose an evolving threat elsewhere. Reversing their gains requires avoiding the mistakes that enabled their rise. This means distinguishing between groups with different goals; using force more judiciously; ousting militants only with a viable plan for what comes next; and looking to open lines of communication, even with hardliners. Vital, too, is to de-escalate the crises they feed off and prevent others erupting, by nudging leaders toward dialogue, inclusion and reform and reacting sensibly to terrorist attacks. Most important is that action against “violent extremism” not distract from or deepen graver threats, notably escalating major- and regional-power rivalries.

Source: Exploiting Disorder: al-Qaeda and the Islamic State | International Crisis Group

There are regions that are looking at an increase in instability….and when that happens we open the door for a rise in the extremism that we all fear.

The collapse of ISIS in Iraq and Syria could end up increasing the risk of terror attacks on the West, the country’s anti-terror prosecutor has warned.

ISIS has suffered a series of military setbacks after losing territory in Iraq in recent months while one of its most prominent leaders, Abu Muhammad al-Adnani, was killed in an air strike in Syria in August.

There is a wealth of research that says that the total destruction of ISIS could be problematic…..

Maybe a new approach should be found and maybe we could avoid some of this death and destruction….just a thought.