2019 Dem Debates #2

Today and tomorrow CNN will hold the next round of Dem debates…..10 candidates per night for two nights…..I thought we would start losing candidates after the first round of debates and so far Rep. Swalwell is the only one to drop out of the race to the nomination.

This is my small preview of the debates….I shall hold my analysis until both nights have been in the can (as they say)…..

According to CNN on the debates……

The stakes at CNN’s Democratic debate in Detroit are high. New criteria will make it considerably harder to qualify for the next debate in September. And for much of the field of more than 20 candidates, the more difficult threshold will be impossible to clear, barring a game-changing moment.

“Maybe 12, 13 of these candidates, there’s not going to be another shot after this. To some extent, not qualifying for the next debate is a death sentence,” Robby Mook, who managed Hillary Clinton’s 2016 presidential campaign, told Borger.
Campaign veterans who spoke with CNN said their advice to the lower-polling candidates is this: Go in with a short list of clear goals, fight for speaking time and try to walk the fine line between differentiating and damaging yourself.
 
The guys and gals that are in the “lead”…so to speak….will have to have a good debate for they have everything to lose……(according to CNN)……
5. Pete Buttigieg: The mayor of South Bend, Indiana, has been the story of the race so far. But his spring surge has faded into a summer status quo. Buttigieg is now a second tier-candidate — although he’s at the front of that pack. His massive fundraising in the second quarter — $25 million raised — should help with that problem, but a strong debate performance Tuesday night could also go a long way to restarting the buzz machine for him.
Buttigieg was very, very solid in the first debate; he seemed intent on making sure no one thought he was too young and inexperienced to be president. He played it safe. Which is fine! But Buttigieg is likely to take more incoming in this debate than he did in the first one — which is an opportunity and a danger.
To date, Mayor Pete has outperformed expectations in every possible regard in the race. Can he do it in this debate, too?
 
4. Kirsten Gillibrand: The New York senator seems to have all the right traits — female, liberal, a powerful voice in the #MeToo movement — to make some noise in the wide Democratic field. It just hasn’t happened for her yet, and, man, time is running short.
Gillibrand, barring some sort of moment in this debate, will be in danger of missing the third debate — and that could be the end. Which means: Now is the time for her to start making her move.
What might be her play? She seemingly gave a hint this past week when she accused nameless “Democratic candidates running for president right now who do not believe necessarily that it’s a good idea that women work outside the home.” Hmmm … maybe name names?
 
3. Bernie Sanders: While former Vice President Joe Biden caught most of the flack for a less-than-stellar performance in the first debate, Sanders wasn’t all that much better. And since that first debate, the Vermont senator’s poll position has only grown more tenuous — with Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren continuing to eat into Sanders’ support among the most liberal voters in the party.
Sanders has the most debate experience other than Biden in this field. Which should accrue to his benefit. But, it feels like Sanders has only one gear — shouty and scoldy — and, at least in the first debate, that didn’t turn out so well. Can Sanders adjust? And is he willing — and able — to take on Warren, to try to win back some of the voters she has peeled off of him?
 
2. Beto O’Rourke: No candidate has underperformed expectations like the former Texas congressman. When he entered the race in March, he was seen as one of a handful of candidates with a real claim on the Democratic nomination. Today, he finds himself — still — in search of a message and momentum, hanging solidly in the middle of the second tier.
O’Rourke’s performance in the first debate did him no favors. He was too robotic and got beat, badly, in an exchange on immigration policy with former San Antonio Mayor Julián Castro. O’Rourke’s team is promising more fireworks this time around, with a particular eye on Buttigieg, who sort of stole O’Rourke’s mojo in the race.  
O’Rourke simply isn’t going to get all that many more chances to live up to his promise in this race. Tuesday night’s debate is a huge one.
 
1. Joe Biden: No one has more to lose (or possibly gain) than the former vice president. Biden was very mediocre in the first debate of the race last month — seemingly caught entirely flat-footed by Harris’ attack on his votes on school busing. It’s very unlikely that Biden will be that surprised again by an attack from one of his rivals — and he’ll have a chance to exact a bit of revenge, too, as he shares a stage with Harris on Wednesday night.  
But if Biden is bad — as in, if he looks, again, as though the speed of the game is too much for him, he is going to spend the next month (at least!) fighting off questions about his age (he’s 76) and whether the race has passed him by. All of that could cost him his frontrunner status.
I have said many times that I do not think these debates do little to move the electorate because one gets a enough time to flesh out their policies.
 
I will be watching for I want to see who the media (CNN in the case) will hype as the front runner.
 
And I will be watching my candidate (for now) Tulsi to see if she gets her time in the “light”…..
 
Be Smart!
 
Learn Stuff!
 
Then VOTE!
 
“Lego Ergo Scribo”
 
Advertisements

4 thoughts on “2019 Dem Debates #2

  1. These debates are early and selections made by polls and contributions.
    The real test is in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina when real people cast votes. Some candidates could come back to life in those votes.
    Polls so far show Biden is the only candidate consistently beating Trump. Not sure how this will all work out.
    My wife and I thought Beto really bad and out of his league during the first debate. He may not make the third.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.