Tag: Predictions

Climate Change For 2020

Closing Thought–02Jan20

There are a lot of things that will change in 2020….but the one thing that will stay constant is that the climate is changing and not for the better….but let’s look at a few predictions for 2020….

When it comes to climate change, did we accurately predict in 2000 what would be happening now? 

“What the models correctly told us 20 years ago is that if we continued to add fossil fuels at an increasing rate to the atmosphere, we’d see an increasing range of consequences, including a decline in Arctic sea ice, a rise in sea levels and shifts in precipitation patterns,” Weather Underground meteorologist Robert Henson told USA TODAY.

Overall, we’re running quite close to the projections made in 2000 for carbon dioxide concentration, global temperature and sea level, Henson said.

Here’s a look at climate change indicators for 2020:

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2019/12/24/climate-change-predictions-2020-carbon-dioxide-weather-disasters/2622212001/

Not to worry these predictions will be disputed/

I Read, I Wrote, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

2020–Doom And Gloom

We have an election quickly coming to the horizon and we have those wise sages that are predicting all sorts of ‘doom and gloom’…..like Trump will be re-elected or the Dems will implode and go down as the worse defeat in history, or ….well I am sure you have heard some of the predictions….believe them or not…..it will be a historic election for so many reasons….too many to write about and besides this post is about the possibility of the parties imploded during this election…..or after….

I have read that the Democratic Party will not survive and I have also read that the GOP may not survive……which is it?

First the Dems……

Long, long ago, on Monday, when a Hillary Clinton victory seemed likely, the forecast for the Democratic Party looked grim. The party was confident that its aging candidate, the spouse of another former Democratic president, could win, and it was optimistic about winning control of the Senate. Clinton might serve (to borrow a phrase) as a bridge to the 2010s, but the next two elections would be much tougher: Democrats would be defending a lot of difficult Senate seats in 2018, and simple structural forces made it unlikely a President Clinton could hold the White House for two terms. Who would lead the party then?

Instead, the nightmare has arrived early. All of those dangers still beset the party, but now without the bridge of a Clinton presidency to ease the blow. Donald Trump will enter the White House with a Republican Senate and a Republican House. Because President Obama was unable to get the Senate to vote on his appointee for an open Supreme Court seat, Trump will immediately have the chance to appoint a ninth member to the Court, breaking a 4-4 tie. At the state level, Republicans now control at least 34 governorships, the most since 1922, and ran up their advantage in state legislatures.

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/11/can-the-democratic-party-survive/507116/

More on the opinion that the Dems may not survive 2020…….

The last political party to dissolve was about 163 years ago when the Whig’s morphed into the newly formed Republican Party who unsuccessfully ran John C. Fremont in the 3 way contest of 1856.

It is quite possible that voters are now seeing the beginning of the end of the Democratic Party by virtue of internal dissatisfaction and divisiveness.

Can such a fractured party come together to mount a serious challenge to a flawed but productive Republican president?

https://patch.com/georgia/canton-ga/will-democrat-party-survive

Will they or won’t they?

Not to worry….there are predictions that the GOP could face problems because of this election…..especially since the party has been whittled down of basically old white guys and they are dying….

Outgoing Rep. Will Hurd (R-Texas), the only black Republican in the House, warned in a new interview that the GOP needs to adapt and start looking like the rest of America or “there won’t be a Republican Party in this country.”

In an interview with Axios that aired Sunday, Hurd said that “we know where the trends are going” regarding demographics in America and that Republicans “know what we need to do.”

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/468782-gop-lawmaker-if-the-party-doesnt-adapt-to-changing-demographics-there-wont-be

Or maybe this will interest you…..

The Republican Party and American democracy are having a bit of a falling out.

A half-century ago, conservatives claimed to speak for a silent majority of the electorate; now they brag about representing the (even quieter) majority of American dirt and grass. The dispersion of Republican voters across the U.S. landmass can still paint electoral maps red, but the GOP’s standard-bearer has lost the popular vote in six of the past seven presidential elections. Last year, with voter turnout historically high, the party’s House candidates lost the nationwide vote by 8.6 percent. As of 2018, there were 12 million more registered Democrats than Republicans on America’s voting rolls.

http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/09/2020-republicans-doomed.html

These parties will survive but in what shape?

Thoughts?

Be Smart!

Learn Stuff!

VOTE!

I Read, I Wrote, You Know

“Lego Ergo Scribo”

The Future Awaits….But It’s Flat!

It is Sunday and I could be doing some futuristic clap trap about how the world will look in the future if we do not change our ‘evil’ ways……(whatever the means)…….

Instead I found a guy who has visited the future as far ahead as the year 2300 and returned to let us know just what to expect in our future…

His name is Gerard Gardner…..and hear is his tale……

Gardner – if that is (it isn’t) his real name – claims to be an English governmental employee taken onto a secret programme in 1988.

Of the project to send him to the future, he said: “If they could do this, they would have great power over our society, and they knew they must perfect this technology before any other country does.”

Well, that makes total sense.

He went on to say that the floating cities are useful because it helps them to move around and they cause less pollution

https://www.ladbible.com/news/weird-time-traveller-sheds-light-on-what-life-is-like-in-2300-20190918

Please tell me what you think of this guy.

Is he looking for his 15 minutes of fame?

That is my guess……and that is me being polite….I put him in the same category as those die hard ancient alien people……

And then there are the “flat earthers”……

But, unfortunately, the Earth is not flat.

And yet, contrary to all scientific evidence, there are people who believe the Earth is flat. They even have their own club, the Flat Earth Society. And its support is growing and counts NBA stars and reality show celebrities among its followers.

In the 1990s, the Flat Earth Society was bankrupt and all but dead. Then the internet happened, and it made people want to believe in a flat Earth again.

View this collection on Medium.com

All I can say about social media is…..that is how lies get started.

My small attempt at FYI….hope I have helped my readers in some small way……

Stay tuned more to come….

Be Smart!

Learn Stuff!

“Lego Ergo Scribo”

AI Is Coming For Your Job

Saturday cooler temps and a MoMo that is ready to go outside and chase something…matter not what….

Many people have been showing how AI will effect our society in the future……the one that most concerns me is the loss of jobs….

To begin with the prediction that half of all jobs will to lost in the future….

Almost half of all current jobs will become obsolete in just 15 years, according to one of China’s leading experts in artificial intelligence (AI).

Kai-Fu Lee, a writer, venture capitalist and technology executive who has over 30 years’ experience in AI, claims the world of employment is facing a crisis. He’ll appear on CBS 60 Minutes on Sunday to spread the word and warn those most at risk so they can start retraining for the new world. Lee also warns that education will need to adapt to prepare younger generations for the new landscape.

AI may be the future, but it can’t do everything, claims Lee, who says certain professions are safe from the revolution. Especially those that involve empathy or human to human interaction like therapists, nurses, teachers or doctors. Innovative and creative professions are also safe because AI generally struggles to do the work of scientists or to deal with the unknown.

https://www.rt.com/news/448524-ai-jobs-future-robot/

That is worldwide…but what will the predicted impact of AI will have on US jobs?

Robots aren’t replacing everyone, but a quarter of U.S. jobs will be severely disrupted as artificial intelligence accelerates the automation of existing work, according to a new Brookings Institution report.

The report, published Thursday, says roughly 36 million Americans hold jobs with “high exposure” to automation — meaning at least 70 percent of their tasks could soon be performed by machines using current technology. Among those most likely to be affected are cooks, waiters and others in food services; short-haul truck drivers; and clerical office workers.

“That population is going to need to upskill, reskill or change jobs fast,” said Mark Muro, a senior fellow at Brookings and lead author of the report.

Muro said the timeline for the changes could be “a few years or it could be two decades.” But it’s likely that automation will happen more swiftly during the next economic downturn. Businesses are typically eager to implement cost-cutting technology as they lay off workers.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/ai-is-set-to-replace-36-million-us-workers-2019-01-24

30 million jobs….that is about 30 times as bad as the government shutdown has become.

Sorry to be a downer on this weekend but everyone needs to plan for the possibility of this loss.

Time for me to try and get some pruning of the fruit trees in….that will give MoMo something to play with…..

What Did Asimov Say?

2019 is just a day away……and pundits are all over the tube predicting the next 6 to 12 months…..but 35 years ago SciFi writer Issac Asimov predicted year 2019…..

lf we look into the world as it may be at the end of another generation, let’s say 2019 — that’s 35 years from now, the same number of years since 1949 when George Orwell’s 1984 was first published — three considerations must dominate our thoughts:

1. Nuclear war. 2. Computerization. 3. Space utilization.

If the United States and the Soviet Union flail away at each other at any time between now and 2019, there is absolutely no use to discussing what life will be like in that year. Too few of us, or of our children and grand· children, will be alive then for there to be any point in describing the precise condition of global misery at that time.

https://www.thestar.com/news/world/2018/12/27/35-years-ago-isaac-asimov-was-asked-by-the-star-to-predict-the-world-of-2019-here-is-what-he-wrote.html

Does anyone want to look that far into the future?  If so then let the predictions fly.

Another short posting day….everyone please be well, be safe…..chuq

Saturday–27Oct18

Cooler weather for awhile…..garden is slowly showing the signs of approaching winter….Mo is ripping around the back yard and I am enjoying my beer….all in all a good day….this was the planter I was going to use for my radishes…..

I remember years ago when the Large Hadron Collider was in the process of being turned on and all the doom and gloom coming from some quarters.

We were told that once it was up and functioning then a massive black hole would be created and the destruction of our planet would be eminent….remember all those warnings?

Guess what.  The predictions have returned!

Martin Rees, a well-respected British cosmologist, has a warning about particle accelerators. There is a small, but very real possibility of disaster. Rees claims Earth could be crushed to the size of a soccer field by particle accelerators.

The Large Hadron Collider, which is a particle accelerator, shoots particles at incredibly high speeds, smashes them together, and scientists observe the fallout. According toScience Alert, these high-speed collisions have helped us discover a lot of new particles, but according to Rees, these discoveries come with several risks to humanity. In a new book, called On The Future: Prospects for Humanity, he gives some pretty dire possible outcomes of this type of advancement in science.

Maybe a black hole could form, and then suck in everything around it,” he writes, as Sarah Knapton reported over at the Telegraph.

“The second scary possibility is that the quarks would reassemble themselves into compressed objects called strangelets. That in itself would be harmless. However, under some hypotheses, a strangelet could, by contagion, convert anything else it encounters into a new form of matter, transforming the entire earth in a hyperdense sphere about one hundred meters across.”

 That’s about the length of one soccer field or 330 feet.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-02/renowned-cosmologist-warns-earth-could-be-crushed-particle-accelerator

Should we worry?

Time to sit and think……

Sunday–16Sep18

Several years ago there was a show on SyFy about the coming end of days….I believe the show was called “Dig”….the location was modern day Israel……there seems to be something about the birth of a red calf….it is magical and telling.

Well life does imitate art…..

An Israeli Jewish fundamentalist group that received donations from the country’s defence minister has said that an end of times prophecy ushering Armageddon has been fulfilled following the birth of a “flawless” red heifer.

The Temple Institute, which promotes the construction of a third temple on the ruins of Al-Aqsa Mosque, has announced the birth of the first red calf in Israel for 2,000 year. They believe that a biblical prophecy predicting the end of days has come true. The temple institute in Jerusalem announced the calf’s birth, saying it would undergo extensive examinations to determine if it is red all over.

The Jewish fundamentalist group believes that if the female baby calf is found to be “blemish free” and completely red, the institute will declare that the calf will bring the promise of reinstating biblical purity to the world.

Not to worry there have been countless predictions of the “End of Days” and we are still here….so this one is just FYI

Go now and enjoy your day….chuq