If you are a Dem candidate in a Red State then your chances are slim.
Some say that 2022 will be a disastrous election for the GOP (I do not agree….will explain later)……and I think that the governor’s election in Virginia is a precursor…..
Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Republican Glenn Youngkin were locked in a tight race for Virginia governor Tuesday night, the most closely watched contest in an off-year election that could prove a referendum on President Biden’s first year in office. The Washington Post and the AP called the race for Youngkin early Wednesday. Our previous rundown follows:
- The Biden lens: The initial results are a stark departure from 12 months ago, when Biden captured the state by 10 points. A loss in a state that has trended toward Democrats for more than a decade would deepen the sense of alarm inside the party heading into next year’s midterm elections, when control of Congress is at stake. But the AP reports Biden expressed optimism going into the evening while acknowledging that “the off-year is always unpredictable.”
- Inside the campaign: The bruising campaign centered on issues including Youngkin’s ties to former President Trump, abortion rights and culture war battles over schools. Youngkin, a former business executive, has never held public office. Voters saw the economy as the top issue, followed by the coronavirus pandemic, according to AP VoteCast, a survey of statewide voters.
(This Dem defeat also tells me that they voter is sick of Clintonian candidates)
This election means little to the average voter at this time….but it is never too early for us to start paying attention to the trends that are developing in our nation that will most likely influence the election results in 2022….
The site FiveThirtyEight looks at all the stats collected and has a pretty good track record at predicting elections outcome….but 2022 is a horse of a different color…..
… control of the House and Senate will once again be at stake in the November 2022 midterm elections, and one of the best tools we have for predicting those election results is polling of the generic congressional ballot. The generic congressional ballot question typically asks respondents which party they intend to vote for in the upcoming congressional election, without naming specific candidates1 — allowing the question to be asked nationally to gauge the overall political environment. And for several years now, we at FiveThirtyEight have been collecting these polls and calculating a weighted average for them, and we’re excited today to publish our generic ballot average for the 2022 election cycle.
Our Best Tool For Predicting Midterm Elections Doesn’t Show A Republican Wave — But History Is On The GOP’s Side
Voter rights will most likely be a major issue during the election…..and those white people that worship at the alter of the GOP insanity it will raise them (candidates) up…..
A jaw-dropping majority of White Republicans say the country has done enough to ensure that Black Americans are treated equally.
In an extensive Axios-Ipsos poll timed for the one-year anniversary of the murder of George Floyd at the hands of police, respondents were asked to choose between two statements: “Our country needs to continue making changes to give Black Americans equal rights with white Americans,” and “Our country has made the changes needed to give Black Americans equal rights with white Americans.”
Overall, 59 percent said that the country needs to continue making changes, versus 39 percent who said we’ve done enough. There were significant racial divides on the question, with 48 percent of whites saying we’ve done enough — still a minority — while 92 percent of Black respondents said the country needs to continue changing.
But an even more stark partisan racial divide exists, with a whopping 79 percent of white Republicans saying America has done enough to ensure equality, versus only 12 percent of white Democrats who said the same.
Respondents were also asked if they agree with the statement “America is not a racist country,” and white Republicans were twelve times more likely than white Democrats to agree. In fact, more than twice as many Black respondents — 9 percent — agreed that America is not a racist country than the 4 percent of white Democrats who said this.
Jaw-Dropping Number of White Republicans Say We’ve Done Enough to Ensure Equal Rights for Black Americans in New Poll
An even scarier poll umber is the Repubs believe BS……
Fifteen percent of Americans agree with the central false tenet of the QAnon conspiracy theory: that the government and other entities are controlled by Satan-worshipping pedophiles running a child sex trafficking ring, according to a new poll.
Among Republicans the survey, released Wednesday by the Public Religion Research Institute, found that 23 percent of respondents agreed with the statement that “the government, media and financial worlds in the U.S. are controlled by a group of Satan-worshipping pedophiles who run a global child sex trafficking operation.”
How disturbing is that?
Could this election splinter the GOP?
A splintering of the Republican Party has long been speculated, and while it’s hard to know whether this is, in fact, a turning point or an isolated incident that will soon recede from the headlines, these four scenarios are possible.
But will it?
Then there are the Dems…….
Dem candidates have a massive hill to climb on this issue with conserv white people….the Dems are the ones that will have a bad year election in 2022.
Why?
Regardless that they had two majorities in Congress they limped through 2021 with some archaic dead political belief in bi-partisanship…and that is what we get when Centrists control the party.
Instead of pushing through their agenda they wasted time and energy trying to sweet talk a bunch of do-nothing Repubs to seeing policy their way….was never gonna happen in a Trump-centric party yet they wasted months that progress could have been made.
I think the GOP will have a good election in 2022….and the country will suffer further degradation.
Why?
I think that misinformation and social media will play a huge roll in the 2022 election….and that smells bad for Dems.
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