Trying to Reason With The Hurricane Season–2021

Closing Thought–01Jun21

Today is 01 June….and the 2021hurricane season begins…..it actually got kicked off with a subtropical storm, Ana, in late May…..

This means little to anyone that does not live in Hurricane Alley….but since I do it is a big deal.

NOAA has made its predictions for 2021…..

Subtropical storm Ana formed in the Atlantic Ocean early Saturday, according to the National Hurricane Center. Ana was the first named storm in the Atlantic this year, though hurricane season doesn’t officially start until June 1, per the AP. Ana was located about 200 miles northeast of Bermuda, with maximum sustained winds of 45mph, the hurricane center said in a 5am advisory. The system was expected to continue its slow and erratic motion, then dissipate in a few days, forecasters said. CNN and the Weather Channel note this is the seventh year in a row that at least one named storm has formed before the official start of hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30.

This also isn’t the first hurricane season of late that’s kicked off with a subtropical storm: That happened in both 2018 and 2019, with Alberto and Andrea, respectively. The hurricane center said Ana is a subtropical storm because it is “entangled with an upper-level low,” but still has some “tropical characteristics.” A tropical storm watch was in effect for Bermuda. The storm isn’t set to hit the US. Meteorologists expect the 2021 season to be busy, but not as crazy as the record-breaking 2020 season.

Ana is a harbinger…..now for the predictions….

NOAA announced its initial outlook for the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season on Thursday.

It said an “above normal” season is most likely, at a 60% chance.

NOAA said it expects 13 to 20 named storms, six to 10 hurricanes, and three to five major hurricanes for the 2021 season.

The 2021 hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30.

NOAA said it does not anticipate the historic level of storm activity seen in 2020.

Forecasters with Colorado State University reported last month that they believe there could be as many as 17 named storms for the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. That would make it the sixth consecutive “above normal” season.

WE have set about getting our emergency supplies together……non-perishable food, drugs and especially batteries…..

Zeta hit us pretty hard last year….we are hoping that we get a small break…..

As usual I leave you with the tune of Jimmy Buffet….

Be Well….Be Safe….

I Read, I Write, You KNow

“lego ergo scribo”

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