Closing Thought–15Sep20

Here comes Sally!

I apologize for the slack posts today but I must take time to make sure the house and property are secure…..

Usually the first thing to go is the internet…then the power…..so I try to get as much done on IST as I can before the fall.

The forecast is that the eye should come ashore between Biloxi and Destin…..Biloxi is about 10 miles East of my house…..so if true we will get rain and wind…..the forecast is about 8 inches of rain.

The one saving grace here is that as I write this post the storm seems to be weakening a bit…..but that is before landfall….so lots can happen between then and now….

I am far enough off the beach to avoid any storm surge….local flooding will be a problem.

If I disappear off WP for awhile it is because the storm has kicked our butts….but not to worry….I will return as soon as I can.

Be well….Be safe…..

“lego ergo scribo”

Killer Katrina

15 years ago today Hurricane Katrina roared ashore killing and destruction of all in its path…..My father and I rode the storm out in our house since he refused to leave his house I had no choice but to stay with him since he was in a wheelchair and make sure he was alright.

The storm lasted 13 hours and 43 minutes….you cannot imagine how long that felt.

August 29, 2005, Hurricane Katrina struck the Gulf Coast of the United States. When the storm made landfall, it had a Category 3 rating on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale–it brought sustained winds of 100–140 miles per hour–and stretched some 400 miles across.

https://www.history.com/topics/natural-disasters-and-environment/hurricane-katrina

Here are a few things that most people that were not effected by the storm know…..

Hurricane Katrina was the largest and 3rd strongest hurricane ever recorded to make landfall in the US.

In New Orleans, the levees were designed for Category 3, but Katrina peaked at a Category 5 hurricane, with winds up to 175 mph.

The final death toll was at 1,836, primarily from Louisiana (1,577) and Mississippi (238). More than half of these victims were senior citizens. Keep seniors safe and sound, and help them plan for hurricane season.

The storm surge from Katrina was 20-ft (six meters) high.

705 people are reported as still missing as a result of Hurricane Katrina.

Hurricane Katrina affected over 15 million people in different ways varying from having to evacuate their homes, rising gas prices, and the economy suffering.

An estimated 80% of New Orleans was under water, up to 20 ft deep in places.

Hurricane Katrina caused $81 billion in property damages, but it is estimated that the total economic impact in Louisiana and Mississippi may exceed $150 billion, earning the title of costliest hurricane ever in US history

Hurricane Katrina impacted about 90,000 square miles.

The region affected by the storm supported roughly 1 million non-farm jobs, and still, hundreds of thousands of local residents were left unemployed by the hurricane.

More than 70 countries pledged monetary donations or other assistance after the hurricane. Kuwait made the largest single pledge of $500 million, but Qatar, India, China, Pakistan and Bangladesh made very large donations as well.

My family has ridden out two of the most powerful storms in history…..Camille and Katrina…..for those too young to remember 1969….may I help you out?

August 17 in 1969, Hurricane Camille made landfall along the Mississippi Gulf Coast near Waveland, MS. Camille is one of only FOUR Category 5 hurricanes ever to make landfall in the continental United States (Atlantic Basin)

Camille ranks as the 2nd most intense hurricane to strike the continental US with 900 mb pressure and landfall intensity of 150 knots. Camille ranks just below the 1935 Labor Day Hurricane with 892 mb and 160 knots, while slightly stronger than Hurricane Andrew with 922 mb and 145 knots and Hurricane Michael with 919 mb and 140 knots. The actual maximum sustained winds of Hurricane Camille are not known as the hurricane destroyed all the wind-recording instruments in the landfall area. Re-analysis data found peak winds of 150 knots (roughly 175 mph) along the coast. A devastating storm tide of 24.6 feet occurred west of our area in Pass Christian, MS.

https://www.weather.gov/mob/camille

And now we have dodged a bullet this time…..but there is always another storm eyeing the Mississippi Gulf Coast…..

“lego ergo scribo”

Not One But Two!

CRAP!

One of the drawbacks of living on the Gulf Coast is that every year we watch the weather and hold our collective breath that the storms will miss us or better yet no storms form at all (wishful thinking)…..

Well this weekend there are not one but two storms aiming at the Coast and a third storm out in the Atlantic waiting to form into another storm….

Hurricane season is approaching its peak, with two tropical depressions expected to gain strength and affect the US coast—potentially at the same time. Tropical Depression 13 is moving west and is expected to become Tropical Storm Laura and could hit Florida Sunday or Monday. Tropical Depression 14, which is moving north, is forecast to become Tropical Storm Marco and could hit the Gulf Coast around the same time. “We could actually have Laura AND Marco sharing the Gulf of Mexico on Monday, and both making US landfalls on Monday,” says University of Miami meteorologist Brian McNoldy, per USA Today.

Tropical Depression 13, which will become a tropical storm and get a name when winds hit 39mph, has already caused storm watches to be posted for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, the Washington Post reports. Fox notes that this has already been an exceptionally active hurricane season, and Thursday marked the start of the Aug. 20 to Oct. 10 period that has historically seen two-thirds of hurricane activity. This year, Cristobal, Danielle, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine, and Kyle became the earliest named storms on record for their letters, and Laura is expected to continue the streak. The “current Atlantic record for earliest ‘L’ storm is Luis on August 29, 1995,” Colorado State University hurricane research scientist Phil Klotzbach tweeted Thursday.

two-systems-2.jpg

Image

Just to make the weekend a bit better…Jimmy Buffet….

Just a note if one hits…I may be off-line for awhile but never fear I shall return….thanx for understanding.

“lego ergo scribo”

Trying To Season With The Hurricane Season–2020

Closing Though–01Jun20

Every year on 01 June, the start of the hurricane season I post info that will help others understand what and why we along Hurricane Alley look at religiously…..and the scary or worrisome thing is there have already been 2 named storms before the season begins.

Let me say here that hurricane preparedness has taught us living in Hurricane Alley how to deal with the pandemic…..we know prep.

Onto the new season…..

Looks like hurricanes have been changed……and not for the better…..

Are hurricanes getting worse? That’s what climate models have long predicted, and now there’s evidence: A new study finds that hurricanes have indeed grown more powerful in recent decades, LiveScience reports. “The trend is there and it is real,” lead study author James Kossin tells the New York Times. “There’s this remarkable building of this body of evidence that we’re making these storms more deleterious.” Worldwide satellite images between 1979 and 2017 show a roughly 15% increase in hurricanes hitting 100 knots, especially in the last 19 years of the time frame, per the study. The chance of a hurricane being Category 3 or worse has also risen about 8% every 10 years.

This echoes the notion that warmer water, which fuels hurricanes, is making them bigger and stronger. But greenhouse gases may not be the only cause. Scientists also point to changing sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic, perhaps due to natural variability or lower sulfur emissions in fossil-fuel burning. That said, Kossin mostly agrees with the climate-change angle: “Global warming has made hurricanes stronger, but our results don’t tell us precisely how much of the trends are caused by human activities and how much may be just natural variability,” he says in a press release.

Without further distractions…..

The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be more active than usual, according to an outlook released Thursday by The Weather Company, an IBM Business.

The outlook created by Dr. Todd Crawford, chief meteorologist at The Weather Company, calls for 18 named storms, nine hurricanes and four major hurricanes – one that is Category 3 or higher (115-plus-mph winds) on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

This forecast is significantly above the 30-year (1981-2010) normalized average of 13 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

A little historical perspective……https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2020-04-15-atlantic-hurricane-season-april-outlook-the-weather-company-ibm

In this year of the pandemic there is more to worry about than a few storms along the Gulf Coast…..with the pandemic and then a major storm on top of the virus we could be looking at stuff for the movies……

Pete Gaynor, who runs the Federal Emergency Management Agency, is drafting a document whose title sounds like the stuff of horror movies: “COVID-19 Pandemic Operational Guidance for the 2020 Hurricane Season.”

Driving the news: “We’re doing a lot of things that are not necessarily in any playbook that has existed,” Gaynor told me in an interview on Saturday. “In some cases, we write the playbook as we go.”

https://www.axios.com/fema-coronavirus-hurricane-season-ef660cda-f4b3-4002-b8ac-71438c8edebd.html

The local news reporting on the possible change in hurricane protocols during the pandemic….

The Red Cross and Mississippi Emergency Managament Agency are working together to tackle a huge problem: How do they staff and operate shelters in a post-COVID-19 world? With an active hurricane season being projected, the agencies are working fast to find solutions.

County emergency management agencies and MEMA determine when shelters in Mississippi open. However, it is the Red Cross that staffs the shelters and provides supplies, but COVID-19 could threaten the status quo.

“That’s the kink in it, is that, if a hurricane hit right now, we would not staff any shelters due to the COVID crisis,” said Executive Director John McFarland of the Red Cross’ Southeast Mississippi chapter. “If we were to open the shelter and put people in there and provide sufficient spacing, which would obviously mean putting fewer people in, one person shows symptoms and you have to quarantine the whole shelter and you just make matters worse.”

https://www.wdam.com/2020/05/27/hurricane-protocols-could-be-changing-post-covid-world/

As with the tradition of IST I would like to ring in the 2020 Hurricane Season with Jimmy Buffet…..

One final note….if I am out of touch for awhile then a storm took out our internet and please bear with me….I shall return as soon as I can.

What did the hurricane say to the coconut palm?

Hang on to your nuts for this is no ordinary blow job.

Please add this pdf to your preparedness…..

Click to access 39779_MEMA-Hurrican-Preparedness.pdf

Be well….Be safe…..

“lego ergo scribo”

Covid-19 And Hurricanes

Every year on the first of June I post on the upcoming hurricane season….it is important to me for I live in Hurricane Alley….I use to say when sites asked my location…”Just north of a hurricane”….

This season could be a bit different from all others in my life…..the devastation of a hurricane combined with the lethality of the Covid-19 virus…….does not bode well for the Gulf Coast….

I was pleased to see that someone has tackled this dilemma that is approaching…..at least giving it a bit of lip service…..

Pete Gaynor, who runs the Federal Emergency Management Agency, is drafting a document whose title sounds like the stuff of horror movies: “COVID-19 Pandemic Operational Guidance for the 2020 Hurricane Season.”

Driving the news: “We’re doing a lot of things that are not necessarily in any playbook that has existed,” Gaynor told me in an interview on Saturday. “In some cases, we write the playbook as we go.”

Behind the scenes: In preparing for the June 1 start of the Atlantic hurricane season, Gaynor must consider challenges beyond what predecessors have faced:

  • How do you evacuate people from hurricane zones while maintaining 6 feet of social distancing?
  • How much extra shelter space will be needed to house people who can no longer safely crowd into schools, auditoriums and community centers?
  • How do you protect the most vulnerable people such as the elderly and those with underlying conditions?
  • Resources already are strained — and so are tensions between many governors and the Trump administration.

The big picture: It’s the first time ever that every U.S. state and territory has simultaneously declared a major disaster.

  • “This pandemic, it is historic, it is unprecedented in many ways for FEMA,” Gaynor said.

https://www.axios.com/fema-coronavirus-hurricane-season-ef660cda-f4b3-4002-b8ac-71438c8edebd.html

Not a pretty picture being painted here.

I will post my traditional post on the coming hurricane season on 01 June….look for it….

On yet another weather related front….people need to think about the devastation of Katrina and the chaos of Covid-19 and it makes for a horrific scenario that will be worse than a nightmare.

In the next 50 years the outlook is not so rosy…..

According to a new climate model, a fifth of the entire Earth could be as hot as the Sahara Desert by the year 2070.

That would force about three billion people to either flee their homes or try survive in hellish temperatures, Earther reports. It’s a particularly dire outlook for humanity — especially because it would render farmland incapable of growing the staple crops on which we rely.

https://futurism.com/the-byte/50-years-billions-people-face-sahara-heat

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

We Dodged A Bullet

Closing Thought–03Sep19

By “We” I mean the country…..looks like Hurricane Dorian will spare the US this time from a direct hit…….a grazing blow is far better than a direct hit….says a survivor of Katrina.

cone graphic

I wish I could say that the Bahamas were as fortunate as we…..

Then there is the coverage of this storm by the MSM…..we should get very little interaction with this storm and yet the MSM in their disappointment still reports that there is little wind, sparse on rain and storm surge is negligible….but that all should be prepared for the rush of water that will precede the storm….these “reporters” seem to be making up anything that could go wrong and then would make them the star of the show.

Those brave people for the weather channel…where were they when the Bahamas got hit?

But the most disturbing story so far is the one of the American president…..

In what President Trump’s critics are calling “Sharpie-gate” the president delivered a Hurricane Dorian update Wednesday in front of a map that had been doctored to back up his claim that the storm had been expected to hit Alabama. The NOAA forecast map from Aug. 29 had been altered with a Sharpie to include a loop around the state, the BBC reports. When Trump was asked about the change later Wednesday, he said “I don’t know” three times, adding: “I know Alabama was in the original forecast, they thought it would get a piece of it.” White House deputy press secretary J. Hogan Gidley confirmed in a tweet that the map had been altered with a marker, but slammed the media for going “ballistic” over it, the Washington Post reports. White House photos show that Trump was presented with the correct map on Aug. 29.

It’s not clear whether the president himself altered the map, but whoever is responsible may have broken a law against knowingly issuing or publishing “any counterfeit weather forecast or warning of weather conditions falsely representing such forecast or warning to have been issued or published by the Weather Bureau, United States Signal Service, or other branch of the Government service,”which is punishable by up to 90 days in jail, Politico reports. Trump’s warning Sunday that Alabama was in Dorian’s path was quickly denied by the National Weather Service, but he has continued to insist, incorrectly, that the storm was widely forecast to hit the state. On Wednesday night, he tweeted an Aug. 28 forecast map that showed a few possible paths including Alabama, saying: “As you can see, almost all models predicted it to go through Florida also hitting Georgia and Alabama. I accept the Fake News apologies!

This from a person that continuously bitches about fake news….and is the greatest spreader of said news.

“Lego Ergo Scribo”

Nuke The Bastard

Closing Thought–27Aug19

Most of my regulars know that I live in Hurricane Alley and every year at the start of the season I write a post to let my loyal know that if the worse happens I will be off line until we get service up and running.

So needlessly to say when there is an idea to help lessen the impact of hurricanes I am interested……well the clueless moron in the White House has an idea…..

The man in charge of the world’s most powerful nuclear arsenal has suggested using it to control the weather, according to an unconfirmed report. Sources tell Axios that President Trump has repeatedly told national security officials that they should look into bombing hurricanes to prevent them making landfall in the US. One source says that during a briefing, Trump said: “I got it. I got it. Why don’t we nuke them?” The source says that after Trump suggested dropping a nuclear bomb into the eye of the hurricane, he was told: “Sir, we’ll look into that.” Axios notes that the idea has been around since the Eisenhower administration and the NOAA has a page explaining that it might not affect the storm, and also “neglects the problem that the released radioactive fallout would fairly quickly move with the tradewinds to affect land areas and cause devastating environmental problems.”

“Needless to say, this is not a good idea,” the NOAA says. Another administration official defended Trump’s line of questioning, saying: “His objective is not bad.” “What people near the president do is they say ‘I love a president who asks questions like that, who’s willing to ask tough questions,'” the official says. “It takes strong people to respond to him in the right way when stuff like this comes up. For me, alarm bells weren’t going off when I heard about it, but I did think somebody is going to use this to feed into ‘the president is crazy’ narrative.” The White House declined to discuss the report, saying it doesn’t “comment on private discussions that the president may or may not have had with his national security team,” the Guardian reports.

Yes you read the right….Our Beloved Supreme Moron wants to consider nuking a hurricane…..

But as usual he had no original idea….

1959 and a Sandia Laboratory meteorologist named Jack Reed. National Geographic explains his idea for nuking a hurricane came out of research he did into “atmospheric effects” that resulted from our first hydrogen bomb detonation, “which had lifted a massive column of air more than 20 miles into the sky.” He suggested a submarine could be sent to the hurricane’s eye and launch the missiles there. The theory: The warm air there would be pushed into the stratosphere; the colder and denser air that took its place would slow the storm.

I expect the president of the US to have a little more brains than to even consider such bullshit…..but then he thinks General Tso’s Chicken is Chinese.

“Lego Ergo Scribo”

Be Thankful For The Dust

Every year I post a article about the coming Hurricane Season…usually I report on the predictions for the season and then write to my readers to not worry if I am off-line and that I shall return as soon as possible and then I post the video of Buffet’s “Trying To Reason With The Hurricane Season”

This year there seems to be some possible good news about our season as we enter into the time of most activity…….it may be calmer than normal and we have the Sahara to thank……a desert thousands of miles away…..

Dust from the Sahara Desert has surged into the Caribbean and may funnel its way toward the Gulf Coast of the United States this weekend, keeping the tropics at bay for the near future.

Known as the Saharan Air Layer (SAL), this dry dust plume commonly forms from late spring through early fall, moving out into the tropical Atlantic Ocean about every three to five days, according to NOAA’s Hurricane Research Division (HRD).

The HRD says the SAL is typically located between 5,000 and 20,000 feet above the Earth’s surface. It is transported westward by bursts of strong winds and tropical waves located in the central and western Atlantic Ocean at altitudes between 6,500 and 14,500 feet.

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2019-06-20-saharan-dust-caribbean-sea-atlantic-hurricane-season

Say what you may….personally I want to thank the desert for its help…..down here the calmer the better.

“Lego Ergo Scribo”

Storm Approaches

Here we go!

The first named storm for the Gulf…Barry.

New Orleans was bracing for a likely hurricane Thursday as Tropical Storm Barry formed over the Gulf, the second named storm of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. Barry is expected to make landfall along the Louisiana coast as a hurricane Friday night or early Saturday, AccuWeather reports; if it does reach hurricane status, it will be the first hurricane of the season. A state of emergency has been declared in the state and mandatory evacuations have been issued in some places. Winds are expected to be relatively weak, per the AP, but “our greatest concern is for torrential rain that would result in life-threatening flooding,” an AccuWeather hurricane expert says. Rainfall totals are expected to average 10 to 18 inches, and parts of Mississippi and Arkansas are also in danger of flooding.

The storm could be a test of the flood-control improvements made in New Orleans since Hurricane Katrina; on Wednesday, it had already caused flooding in the city due to a massive downpour. The Mississippi River is already high, and the expected storm surge could possibly send water over the levees and into New Orleans, though Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards said Thursday that is not expected to happen, per the AP. He said the high water forecasts for the river have gone down slightly since Wednesday, but noted that a change in the storm’s intensity or direction could renew the possibility of the levees being overtopped. This is expected to be the first time a hurricane makes landfall in the state when the river is already at flood stage. New Orleans Mayor LaToya Cantrell also warned that the slow-moving storm could dump water faster than the city’s pumping system can drain the streets.

Since I am on the East side of the storm massive rain is coming and some high gusts of winds….we may lose power…please bear with me for I will return as soon as it is possible.

MoMo has the right idea……

I leave you with the words and music of Jimmy Buffet…..

Maybe Randy Newman would be good…….as well…..

I shall return!

Have a good day and peace be with you.

It’s A Hurricane….But Nor Barry!

An apprehensive Saturday.

But the storm Barry is not the meat of this post…..

As we here on the Gulf Coast await the season’s first Hurricane/ T. Storm I read something in the news that caught my eye…..

It seems that some tin foil hat wearing expert thinks UFOs use hurricanes to enter into their secret underwater base…..

A UFO expert claimed that a satellite footage of a hurricane showed a fleet of alien vessels flying into its eye. According to the expert, the UFOs deliberately created the hurricane in order to secretly enter their underwater base.

The satellite footage of the storm was recorded and shared by YouTube user MRMB333. According to the user, the hurricane happened during the recent total solar eclipse on July 2.

In the video, strange dark orbs can be seen entering the hurricane and converging into its eye. According to the YouTube user, the dark circles could be the reflections of the shadow on Earth that was caused by the eclipse.

https://www.ibtimes.com/ufos-create-hurricane-enter-underwater-base-expert-claims-2805681

I am starting to see more and more of this type of silly story in the news…..it is troublesome that so many are starting to believe the manure spread by these babbling buffoons….that our ancestors were not intelligent enough to progress with the help of aliens (ET not Hispanics)….that is poppycock! (Excuse my language)

Back to the storm….looks like it will make land fall in the Louisiana lowlands….means we should get lots of rain and a bit of wind….but all should be fine for us….Louisiana may not fare as well.  Our thoughts are with those impacted by Barry.

MoMo is bummed!  And when she is bummed she watches the world go by waiting for the storm to pass.