I have several Trump-ites that visit and I would like to from time to time throw them a bone and say something positive abut their choice of people to support.
Recently I read a post by a loyal reader of IST….my friend Doug and his post…..https://findingpoliticalsanity.com/its-pretty-early-but-what-could-happen-the-day-after-trump-leaves-office/ he has an unique way of looking at the situation with Trump……
Is it possible that in 2020 Trump could win again and with the help of the Electoral College…again?
The Republican Party is set to win a large majority of all future close presidential elections, even contests in which they lose the popular vote, according to a recent study.
GOP candidates for president can expect to be victorious in 65 percent of future presidential elections and University of Texas at Austin researchers analyzed why “inversions” — where the popular vote winner loses the overall election — has happened twice since 2000.
The study authors found that the Electoral College’s winner-take-all approach favors Republicans and has pushed them to victories in 2000 and 2016.
The researchers concluded that inversions will occur more and more in 2020 and beyond unless a policy change completely dissolves, rather than reforms, the Electoral College.
Many of us think that it is time to put the EC in the “Dust Bin Of History”….I have been calling for the end for many years…..
https://lobotero.com/2016/12/09/its-time-to-end-the-electoral-college/
https://lobotero.com/2019/03/05/electoral-college-must-go/
As depressing as that info can be…there is other info that could be more depressing if accurate….
President Donald Trump looks likely to cruise to reelection next year under three different economic models Moody’s Analytics employed to gauge the 2020 race.
Barring anything unusual happening, the president’s Electoral College victory could easily surpass his 2016 win over Democrat Hillary Clinton, which came by a 304-227 count.
Moody’s based its projections on how consumers feel about their own financial situation, the gains the stock market has achieved during Trump’s tenure and the prospects for unemployment, which has fallen to a 50-year low. Should those variables hold up, the president looks set to get another four-year term.
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/15/moodys-trump-on-his-way-to-an-easy-2020-win-if-economy-holds-up.html
Like I said depressing on so many levels.
I Read, I Wrote, You Know
“Lego Ergo Scribo”
Predict Trump will win at least 4 more states this time which may give him popular vote too.
I’m not a betting man. But if I was, my money would be on Trump to win that second term.
Best wishes, Pete.
Looking very much like it will be chuq
The constitution was designed to make change in our structure of government very difficult. Jefferson saw that and his solution was not to change the constitution but that future generations would hold constitutional conventions and restructure government as social conditions change, that might. result in major upheavals. That is about the only way that changes will occur.
ERA proved how stupid that idea is…..in my opinion chuq
Joe Kennedy lll will be drafted after deadlock – with Harris as VP . will sweep like Landslide Lyndon 😎 did over Goldwater – lol – too early for any predictions – income economy election yesterday’s news. Emotion will decide next election – maybe Putin will run instead of puppy 😜
I think emotions will indeed decide 2020 chuq
Trump in 2020 will be better than all the archaics getting their social security and welfare checks cut under some Democrat.
Thanx for your opinion chuq
and by the way — in America, it is always “Emotions: that win the elections. Nobody on the street knows a damned thing about all the rest of the issues — and most could care less — because they are in their comfort zones and they don’t want to be disturbed with actually working on understanding how things work.
So ignorance wins elections….I will agree chuq