ISIS–The Sleeping Lion

ISIS that barbaric bunch that had their caliphate destroyed under their feet has been on the run for almost a year….I have been writing that this group is NOT defeated but merely napping….

https://lobotero.com/2019/06/20/isis-in-the-shadows/

https://lobotero.com/2019/08/28/isis-the-return/

With Turkey’s push into Northern Syria the chance of the resurgence of ISIS is better than good….

The Islamic State (ISIS) has not made a comeback in Iraq or Syria – yet. The jihadist group survives as a deadly insurgency in both countries, but one that, compared to its earlier iterations, is weak and geographically circumscribed. Local conditions, particularly in Iraq, have militated against its return. Yet both Iraq and Syria face internal dangers and external threats, most imminently Turkish intervention in Syria’s north east, that could destabilise both countries. If internal instability or external shock interferes with counter-ISIS efforts in either country, the organisation seems likely to attempt a return. Preventing its resurgence requires continued local efforts to combat the group and stabilise the situation, even as all sides engaged in counter-ISIS efforts – local and international – need to avert disruptive new conflicts among themselves, whatever their differences.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/eastern-mediterranean/syria/207-averting-isis-resurgence-iraq-and-syria

AS with any war there seems to always be conflicting news reports coming from the region…..for instance the intel gathering that is need to keep ISIS in the cross hairs….

The rapid withdrawal of American troops from Syria is stoking the concerns of Congress and former U.S. defense officials who warn the limited American presence and abandonment of an ally will stymie intelligence collection efforts.

Human intelligence networks driven by U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces may all but collapse following President Donald Trump’s decision to withdraw U.S. forces from Syria ahead of a Turkish assault to drive out the Kurdish-led militia.

And limited troop presence in the war torn region coupled with a congested airspace over northern Syria could hamper U.S. air collection assets and loitering surveillance times over suspected ISIS targets.

https://www.militarytimes.com/flashpoints/2019/10/18/loss-of-us-intelligence-collection-from-syria-withdrawal-threatens-fight-against-isis/

I read that and thought to myself….:what they gonna shut down the satellites?”

Then I got another story about the capabilities of intel gathering…..

U.S. intelligence aircraft will continue flying missions over northeast Syria to monitor the situation there even as American ground forces withdraw from the area, a senior defense official said Friday.

This comes amid reports of continued fighting in the region despite a 120-hour “ceasefire” agreed to on Thursday by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and U.S. Vice President Mike Pence. Practically speaking, the deal gives formerly U.S.-backed Kurds less than five days to leave a 20-mile border zone of which Turkey has taken armed control.

In a separate briefing, U.S. Defense Secretary Mark Esper told reporters that the “ceasefire” would not be enforced by U.S. ground troops.

https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2019/10/us-intel-aircraft-remain-over-syria-ground-forces-pull-out/160707/

The intel gathering will continue and ISIS will remain in the cross hairs.

I Read, I Wrote, You Know

“Lego Ergo Scribo”

2 thoughts on “ISIS–The Sleeping Lion

  1. The release of so many ISIS prisoners and ‘refugees’ will enable them to mix in with the genuine people fleeing the current conflict. It will soon be impossible to tell friend from foe once again.
    Best wishes, Pete.

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