We have had the Axis Powers from World War 2…….we then had the Axis of Evil from the Bush years of pushing crap on the American people and the world…..the Axis of Evil was Iran, Iraq and North Korea…..and now with the mash up between the Saudis and their monarchical allies and Qatar we have an new “Axis”….the Axis of Tyranny.
It began in 2011…..what the media named the Arab Spring.
That was a mere 6 years ago and yet it is mostly forgotten…..so I will refresh one’s memory if you so desire…..
The Arab Spring was a series of anti-government protests, uprisings and armed rebellions that spread across the Middle East in early 2011. But their purpose, relative success, and outcome remain hotly disputed in Arab countries, among foreign observers, and between world powers looking to cash in on the changing map of the Middle East.
That was a historic battle between the forces of oppression and the forces of democracy.
Saudis and the other monarchs in the region began to sweat that it might spill over into their realms….and have been working ever since 2011 to curb any and all democratic movements…..
The Qatar-Gulf crisis is a battle rooted in the aborted first wave of the Arab Spring. So far, Arab despots have succeeded in curbing democratic change in the region, but their latest tactics come with much higher risks
The current Gulf Crisis that threatens to destabilise the whole region didn’t pop out of thin air. Its origins lie in a much deeper rivalry rooted in the geopolitics of the Arab Spring, when people rose up and threatened to overthrow an existing order that favoured the preservation of tyranny.
Authoritarian rulers in the region took this as a direct threat to their power and thus began to invest their resources in a counter-revolutionary effort led by Saudi Arabia and the UAE.
Their neighbour, Qatar, home to the Al Jazeera news network, however, chose a different direction and decided to embrace change. Thus began a vicious contest in one of the world’s most strategic locations.
Of course Qatar will be the poster child of this assault on events from the past….the biggest “threat” is that they, Saudis, say that Qatar is harboring “terrorists”….and I say what like the US did with Operation Paper Clip?
All this is the Saudis setting themselves up as the “ruler” of the Middle East….what they say is the word of “God”…..keep in mind that the radical Islam of ISIS is a direct descendant from the Wahhabism of Saudi Arabia…..when you understand that then you can better understand this situation…
My problem is the mash up between Saudi and Iran…..the split between Sunni and Shia…..but if push comes to shove and the Saudis in bed with the US any conflict will involve the US and possibly its military.
Even now while this situation with Qatar is in its infancy there are indicators that something between the US and Iran are brewing……
The Saudi war in Yemen is really directed at…Iran. Donald Trump’s first overseas visit to Saudi Arabia and Israel was specifically targeted at…Iran. The Saudi-led isolation of Qatar is actually about…Iran.
The escalation of U.S. military actions against the Syria government is… well, do I really need to spell this out any further?
Donald Trump has identified several number-one enemies to target. Throughout the campaign, he emphasized the importance of throwing the full weight of the Pentagon against the Islamic State. More recently, his secretary of defense, Jim Mattis, identified North Korea as “the most urgent and dangerous threat to peace and security.”
All this could be solved if only we had a State Department and a cadre of diplomats….all we have now is a pile of yes men that will do whatever their “fearless leader” wants them to do without any concern for the future and its meaning.
Donald J. Trump and Mohammed bin Salman have a similar outlook when it comes to Iran. Both see the Islamic Republic as a threat that needs to be contained. What then does the elevation of Mohammed bin Salman, commonly known as MBS, to the role of crown prince of Saudi Arabia mean for the Sunni kingdom’s relationship with Shi’ite Iran?
“Nothing good,” said F. Gregory Gause III, head of the international affairs department at Texas A&M University’s Bush School of Government and Public Service.
This conflict can be avoided….that is if that is what we actual want.
I am not so certain that a peaceful way out is desirable to the Trump people.