A new year……back to work…..
I started this, the attempt to predict, a couple of years ago…so far I have been kinda accurate but then some of them were gimmes…..First I will grade how I did for 2010 and then move on to this years predictions….
1–Pakistan will have a crisis and a new government…..close but no cigar
2–Afghan surge will go well at first…so far so good….+
3–Unemployment does not get below 8.5%–sorry this was a gimme….+
4–Immigration and Energy will be the next big congressional confrontations–this one is a toss up…immigration became hot and energy was put on a the back burner…close but no cigar!
5–Top Obama cabinet member will resign–head of the NIB, Romer and Orzag and Summers of the economic team and little dictator Rahm is gone….+
6–Economy will have another scandal–this one is good! The scandal of insurance companies screwing widows of dead military people…..+
7–Inflation will rise by 3rd quarter….The Fed peed all over this one…..-
8–Israel/Palestine will flair up again–another close one….the attack on the flotilla and the Gaza thingy is still hot…but it will be a close but no cigar!
9–Iran will be the focus of most of the US foreign policy….this was another “gimme”…it seems that Iran will always be a major priority in foreign policy…..+
10-a real third party shows ballot strength—way off dumbass!….-
11-Yemen will become much more volatile–many AQ guys in Yemen and the focus of drone strikes ….many plots come out of Yemen especially bomb plots….. so I give it a….+
Yes, I know these are open for interpretation….my blog…my interpretation…..the score is 6 plus…..3 close and 2 minus…not a bad prediction……
Another year begins and another year of aggravation and lots of coffee…..so here are my predictions for 2011…..
1–unemployment does NOT dip below 9%
2–inflation will be up to 2%
3–Washington remains the same partisan bound group as it has been last year
4–Germany will have a bit of a set back in the economy
5–Economic growth will be 3%
6–Tax cuts will NOT create jobs
7–More major economic problems in Europe (EU)
8–Afghan situation becomes more clouded than before
9–Pakistan will become unstable….
10-Energy and Education will be hot issue for Congress
Nostradamus! Cayce! Eat your hearts out! My crystal balls are bigger than theirs……