Here it comes–someone’s 19th nervous breakdown.
Today is the day! The much anticipated results of the Treasury’s bank stress tests. Have you been holding your breath until this moment in history?
First of all, just what is a bank stress test? If you have been watch the tube religiously and trying to figure out just what is meant by the term–you are probably really confused at about this point, right? We will try to help.
What is a bank stress test?
The stress test demands that banks imagine the worst possible economic news, a so-called “stress scenario,” and then calculate if they’ve got the capital reserves to cover losses. The results will reveal how much more money the banks really need, probably from taxpayers, to stay solvent and keep lending.
Banks are formulating plans for filling their capital requirements, much of which would likely come from conversions of preferred shares. While banks are trying to avoid the taint of taking federal funds — and the potential pay restrictions and executive firings that come with it — the government will also benefit by handing out less cash. Not including repayments, the Treasury has about $110 billion left in the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program that Congress passed last October.
Any of the 19 banks taking new bailout funds must agree to lend more than before, “to meet the credit needs of their customers, even in a stressed scenario,” said Bernanke in a Capitol Hill hearing.
But there are two big things treasury officials don’t know for certain. They don’t know whether, instead of instilling confidence, they might actually undermine confidence in banks that fail the test. And they don’t know if the remaining $350 billion in bailout funds will cover what the 19 banks really need.
Are you still confused and dazed? Good! That is what the government is shooting for in this exercise. The admin is being transparent in this, but the problem is that they obfiscate the definition to the point that no one on Main Street has nay idea what the guys in the ivory tower are talking about.
And then there is a Part 2 to this whole bank thing. And it will be called a “Debt Test”.
Looks like the Treasury Dept. is planning to offer up a new plan for banks. The plan is to require banks seeking to free themselves from the government’s grip to show that they can survive without the taxpayer aid that has helped them through the recent economic turmoil. The banks also must demonstrate that they will be able to sell stock to private investors and pass a government stress test to show that they are healthy enough to survive without the taxpayer aid.
Banks have grown eager to repay TARP money as quickly as possible, to rid themselves of compensation caps and other restrictions that they complain has hurt their competitiveness. Actually it has hampered their greed.