Most administration lackeys want the American people believe that all is going well in the Middle East…..Iraq is a lot calmer these days…Syria is a mission creep….Saudis and UAE are still killing civilians….but Egypt is quiet and a good customer for arms…….but what will the future bring to the region?
Let’s play soothsayer…..
While no one knows the future, I believe that through a general understanding of the various geopolitical actors and atmosphere in the Middle East and surrounding regions, and a solid understanding of what the Bible says about the future, it is fair to make some general observations and predictions about what will happen next in that part of the world.
In light of the sudden shift in Tunisia and the complete instability in Egypt, everyone seems to be wondering what will come next. The following is a brief rundown of what the next several years should hold for the Holy Land, the greater Middle East and the surrounding regions.
First, let me say that what is happening in Egypt was entirely predictable. President Mubarak’s self-imposed reign was bound to come to an end soon enough. Now just happens to be the time. Mubarak will not be able to retain power.
BUt if armed conflict were a possibility….then where will it be focused?
Escalating violence in two nations may threaten to plunge the already restive Middle East into a deeper conflict involving regional and international powers, according to the latest report by a leading monitor.
The Belgium-based International Crisis Group describes its “U.S.-Iran Trigger List” as “an early-warning platform to monitor, analyze and provide regular updates on key and increasingly flashpoints between Iran and the U.S. or their respective allies that could lead to a direct or indirect confrontation, or generally to a dangerous regional escalation.” It currently includes nine flashpoints with varying degrees of severity, the highest being “Critical,” across the Middle East and its periphery.
Okay with all that….when will the next conflict erupt?
Some analysts seem to think that the next flare up of violence will be focused on Gaza…..
The signs are ominous—especially in Israel and its neighbours, Syria, Lebanon and Gaza. Violence, both actual and rhetorical, has been escalating on all three fronts. Gaza could become the immediate flash point as the Palestinians’ ‘March of Return’, which began on 30 March, intensifies and Israeli retaliation becomes increasingly lethal.
On 28 September, 20,000 Palestinians marched to the Gaza–Israel border and seven of them were killed by Israeli bullets. Such confrontations are now becoming an almost daily occurrence. The march began as a civil-society movement born of the mounting economic and political frustrations over the Israeli blockade of the territory that has made life in Gaza ‘poor, nasty, brutish and short’.
Israel has already had numerous air sorties against an enemy they cannot find…in other words against civilians as a retaliation for something someone did…..
The Middle East is always a source for the possibility for violence…..it is only a matter of time…