College of Political Knowledge

International Studies Group

We have all seen the headlines of the floods that are inflicting Pakistan.  We all have heard the stories that the Pakistani intel maybe in bed with AQ.  We all have heard about the corruption in Pakistan.  We all have heard the concerns over the nukes that are stockpiled in Pakistan.  With all that what could the possible future be for Pakistan?

An excellent question to be asked and the answer is….the current flooding problem maybe predicting the future for Pakistan.  Why?

It is easy!  Things are not going well in Pakistan these days…..

Islamist terrorists may exploit the chaos and misery caused by the floods in Pakistan to gain new recruits, the country’s president warned Thursday — remarks echoed by a leading U.S. senator who said America would stand by its vital wartime ally during the crisis.The floods have affected 20 million people and about one-fifth of Pakistan’s territory, straining its civilian government as it also struggles against al-Qaida and Taliban violence. Aid groups and the United Nations have complained that foreign donors have not been quick or generous enough given the scale of the disaster.

That is what people are fearing….along with another problem…..

Pakistani officials have reported that about 800,000 to 900,000 homes have been destroyed or made unliveable. The worst affected areas are in the north and northwest of the country—in the province of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa [previously the North West Frontier Province]—which were the first to be hit. About 70 percent of bridges and roads have been destroyed and many towns and villages are cut off.

There are real fears in Islamabad, and in Washington, that the catastrophe will provoke a backlash against the government. Pakistani foreign minister Qureshi warned in New York on Thursday: “If we cannot deal with it [the flood emergency] there are chances of food riots leading to violence being exploited by people who are known”—a reference to Islamist organisations and insurgents.

I can smell a coup or something similar….the US and the rest of the West had better step up or the inevitable will occur…..either the Islamic terrorists or the Army will step in and fill the gaping whole that the government has left open.

I say that the country is ripe for a right wing coup and since the army is getting good press in the wake of the floods then the people will be behind them….and the whole democracy thing will have to wait for better conditions.