Inkwell Institute
International Studies Group
Middle East Desk
There seems to always be a perpetual war/peace thing going on in the Middle East….the institution of war has made it virtually impossible for wither side to give a little to secure a future without war. Just in recent years peace was close and then Israel decided on more settlements…peace off….then Pals and Jews agree to a possible direct talks on peace…Hamas extremists said that they will begin firing on Israel again….NO matter what is tried someone, on either side has to pee in the punch…..all in all it is pretty sickening!
And when there is a bright spot a dark cloud just has to move in to rain on the parade…this time it is an energy thing…..and this time it is Lebanon……the AP is reporting:
The discovery of large natural gas reserves under the waters of the eastern Mediterranean could potentially mean a huge economic windfall for Israel and Lebanon, both resource-poor nations — if it doesn’t spark new war between them.The Hezbollah militant group has blared warnings that Israel plans to steal natural gas from Lebanese territory and vows to defend the resources with its arsenal of rockets. Israel says the fields it is developing do not extend into Lebanese waters, a claim experts say appears to be correct, but the maritime boundary between the two countries — still officially at war — has never been precisely set.
Israel is far ahead in the race to develop the resources. Two fields, Tamar and Dalit, discovered last year, are due to start producing in 2012, and experts say their estimated combined reserves of 5.5 trillion cubic feet (160 billion cubic meters) of natural gas can cover Israel’s energy needs for the next two decades.
In June, the U.S. energy company Noble Energy, part of a consortium developing the fields, predicted that Israel will also have enough gas to export to Europe and Asia from a third field — Leviathan, thought to hold up to 16 trillion cubic feet (450 billion cubic meters) of gas.
Lebanese parliament speaker Nabih Berri, a Hezbollah ally, warned that Israel is “turning into an oil emirate while ignoring the fact that the field extends, according to the maps, into Lebanon’s territorial waters.”
I smell trouble brewing! Oh crap! Why not? They have started wars with less provocation. If this situation gets settled without shots being fired then the settlements will return and when that fuse is extinguished then the mother of all problems will eventually arise…..water! And this one will be interesting because most of the aquifers are on the West Bank and with the Palestinians……could that be a reason for not wantinga Pal state on the West Bank?