MAGA: A What If Story

There have been many writers/analysts that have said that this chaotic time will end and the political pendulum will swing back….but for the sake of debate ‘what if’ it does not?

The pendulum will swing back. It is a phrase invoked repeatedly, with variation, since Donald Trump’s reelection last November. Cable news anchor Chris Cuomo, Senator Angus King, and pollster Nate Silver have all invoked it to some degree. Presidential biographer Jon Meacham recently predicted that the pendulum would swing from a Donald Trump presidency to “the presidency of AOC.” The phrase conjures history, the past as prologue. The “pendulum”—the vagaries of change, the slow pace of history—will shift back to Democrats soon. Americans will tire of the status quo that Trump built. The MAGA movement will fall.

Talk of history, particularly American political history, in such ways returns us to the life and career of historian Arthur Schlesinger Jr. For it was Schlesinger Jr.’s 1986 book, The Cycles of American History, that popularized the idea that American politics shifts from liberalism to conservatism, and back again, within every generation. Schlesinger also used the term “pendulum” to describe this shift. But whereas pendulums can only move back and forth, Schlesinger Jr. argued that history moves within itself, its phases interacting in ways that blur the origins of the present—hence a “cycle.” American history, he wrote, has circulated between “public action and private interest” since the early 1800s. “War, depression, inflations, may heighten or complicate moods,” he wrote in his second chapter, “but the cycle itself rolls on, self-contained, self-sufficient, and autonomous.”

Schlesinger Jr. wrote these words in another era of conservative dominance. President Ronald Reagan had trounced former Vice President Walter Mondale in the 1984 presidential election, winning every state but Minnesota and capturing the largest number of Electoral College votes in American history. Since coming to office in 1981, Reagan had attracted the traditional constituents of the Democratic Party (blue-collar, working-class, union voters, as well as Blacks and Hispanics)—into the GOP, in what commentators at the time referred to as the “Reagan revolution.” The Democrats floundered for relevance and a strategic path over the next eight years, lost in incredulity at their collapse and the quest for a new coalition.

Sound familiar?

https://newrepublic.com/article/197515/political-pendulum-doesnt-swing-back-cycles-of-american-history-schlesinger

If it does not swing back what will that mean for us peons that keep this country together?

It is easy and lazy to state that it will all work out in the wash….a prediction that is a safe beat because the statement has a 50/50 chance of being right…that is nothing more than a cop-out and a safe bet.

I am sure someone has something to say about this…..so let it fly.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

6 thoughts on “MAGA: A What If Story

  1. Once authoritarianism takes hold, there is no going back unless and until a huge coalition of the willing take aggressive action against it….and if it comes to that, any country affected might just start looking like Gaza or worse. Idiots bring this on themselves and it is they and their nits that will enjoy the outcome of their brainlessness.

  2. I’m feeling quite pessimistic … maybe my age? I don’t see it happening in my lifetime!! I’m cynical and disappointed!!

  3. There is going to be no swinging back under Trump, and even if the Democrats win the next election, which still seems to be increasingly unlikely, the mess left behind will take years to sort out and rectify.
    Best wishes, Pete.

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