Daily Agitator
As consumer of the news we hear all the rhetoric about the budget….all the stuff like….If I can balance my budget, so can the government……if family work with a balanced budget then so should the government….and I am sure there is other comparisons that I am missing….but these are the most notable ones and the reader gets the drift….The Tea Party seems to be the ones with the most to say about the 2 budgets, family’s and government’s…..but all that bluster is all so much CRAP!
That is right! CRAP! Say it with me….CRAP!
But why is it crap?
A very good explanation was written by Randall Wray on the website, New Deal 2.0……..
1. The US federal government is 221 years old, if we date its birth to the adoption of the Constitution. Arguably, that is about as good a date as we can find, since the Constitution established a common market in the US, forbade states from interfering with interstate trade (for example, through taxation), gave to the federal government the power to levy and collect taxes, and reserved for the federal government the power to create money, to regulate its value, and to fix standards of weight and measurement-from whence our money of account, the dollar, comes. I don’t know any head of household with such an apparently indefinitely long lifespan. This might appear irrelevant, but it is not. When you die, your debts and assets need to be assumed and resolved. There is no “day of reckoning”, no final piper-paying date for the sovereign government. Nor do I know any household with the power to levy taxes, to give a name to — and issue — the currency we use, and to demand that those taxes are paid in the currency it issues.
2. With one brief exception, the federal government has been in debt every year since 1776. In January 1835, for the first and only time in U.S. history, the public debt was retired, and a budget surplus was maintained for the next two years in order to accumulate what Treasury Secretary Levi Woodbury called “a fund to meet future deficits.” In 1837 the economy collapsed into a deep depression that drove the budget into deficit, and the federal government has been in debt ever since. Since 1776 there have been exactly seven periods of substantial budget surpluses and significant reduction of the debt. From 1817 to 1821 the national debt fell by 29 percent; from 1823 to 1836 it was eliminated (Jackson’s efforts); from 1852 to 1857 it fell by 59 percent, from 1867 to 1873 by 27 percent, from 1880 to 1893 by more than 50 percent, and from 1920 to 1930 by about a third. Of course, the last time we ran a budget surplus was during the Clinton years. I do not know any household that has been able to run budget deficits for approximately 190 out of the past 230-odd years, and to accumulate debt virtually nonstop since 1837.
3. The United States has also experienced six periods of depression. The depressions began in 1819, 1837, 1857, 1873, 1893, and 1929. (Do you see any pattern? Take a look at the dates listed above.) With the exception of the Clinton surpluses, every significant reduction of the outstanding debt has been followed by a depression, and every depression has been preceded by significant debt reduction. The Clinton surplus was followed by the Bush recession, a speculative euphoria, and then the collapse in which we now find ourselves. The jury is still out on whether we might manage to work this up to yet another great depression. While we cannot rule out coincidences, seven surpluses followed by six and a half depressions (with some possibility for making it the perfect seven) should raise some eyebrows. And, by the way, our less serious downturns have almost always been preceded by reductions of federal budget deficits. I don’t know of any case of a national depression caused by a household budget surplus.
4. The federal government is the issuer of our currency. Its IOUs are always accepted in payment. Government actually spends by crediting bank deposits (and credits the reserves of those banks); if you don’t want a bank deposit, government will give you cash; if you don’t want cash it will give you a treasury bond. People will work, sell, panhandle, lie, cheat, steal, and even kill to obtain the government’s dollars. I wish my IOUs were so desirable. I don’t know any household that is able to spend by crediting bank deposits and reserves, or by issuing currency. OK, some counterfeiters try, but they go to jail.
5. Some claim that if the government continues to run deficits, some day the dollar’s value will fall due to inflation; or its value will depreciate relative to foreign currencies. But only a moron would refuse to accept dollars today on the belief that at some unknown date in the hypothetical and distant future their value might be less than today’s value. If you have dollars you don’t want, please send them to me. Note that even if we accept that budget deficits can lead to currency devaluation, that is another obvious distinguishing characteristic: my household’s spending in excess of income won’t reduce the purchasing power of the dollar by any measurable amount.
The next time someone uses that tired old analogy between the family budget and the federal budget, remember the writings of Prof. Wray ….throw the facts in their face and then ask them to explain why they say what they say….if you are armed with facts…they will mostly likely backpedal and then run for the hills…..which as we know is the coward’s way of handling confrontation……or go to FOX for a sympathetic shoulder to lean on…..
Yes, the chicken littles of the Tea Party can’t quite grasp the notion that neither are our family budgets like that of the U.S. governments but that contemporary America is nothing like it was 250 years ago when the Constitution was framed. They’re stuck in a time warp of their own choosing.
A time warp….excellent comment….but lb does not that go along with the notion that the American voter is disconnected from reality? Like the TPers like Medicare but hates Obamacare or the idea of a single payer system….they just cannot grasp the reality that Medicare is a single payer system, basically….
American exceptionalism lives (and thrives as ever). Frankly, in my opinion, that is simplistic bullshit that demonstrates a total lack of understanding of economic systems by Randall Wray.
To suggest that the US is so big and powerful that there is never going to be a day of reckoning is, I think, arrogance beyond belief. What THIS guy is in effect saying is that the US is “too big to fail” – where have you heard THAT before and what was the result? YOU paid and are still doing so!
Furthermore, I’m not a huge fan of privatisation, but you – YES, YOU – are paying all the interest on those VAST loans and, if you weren’t, then you could likely afford to buy yourself ALL the services you want that the government “provides” and more, probably at half the cost and you, as the customer, could demand that they also be twice as good.
If confidence in the dollar DOES fall significantly, those interest payments will go through the roof overnight (literally) and the whole country will be screwed for eternity. Dollars are in demand, sure, but they’re not as popular as they once were and much of the dollar’s strength comes from the fact that it is a reserve currency – that TOO could change.
THE WHOLE FINANCIAL SYSTEM OF CAPITALISM DEPENDS ON CONFIDENCE! If that goes, you have NOTHING!
As with all arguments along these lines – there is NOTHING in that to suggest which is the chicken and which is the egg – for instance, the periods of relative austerity may well be a backlash to an almost unconscious knowledge that spending that is out of control cannot go on, but such austerity is almost always “too little, too late” so it could be the spending that is the cause of the depression and not the austerity – no one knows for sure and NOR DOES THIS GUY!
That, of course, is all also pretty simplistic, but then if you and this guy can be that way, then so can I (to paraphrase your title).
A really good comment and thanx…..and first we need to keep it simplistic for reason that you are well aware of……the problem is that all the debate in the US is just not that important….why? We will always run a deficit……..to completely eliminate them will put this country in the fix of a loss of confidence and as you observed….the system depends on confidence…..and you are right AGAIN….NO one knows for sure…since economics is 90% theory….NO one can say for sure…we can only look back at what has happened in the past and try to avoid it from happening again…….but to frame the argument in terms of the family budget is a dis-service which does not address what is happening or could happen….
I quite agree, but to frame it in terms of a family BUSINESS doea make a great deal of sense. It makes even MORE sense to frame it in terms of BIG business and look what happened to them when confidence was suddenly lost in them and they were RUNNING A DEFICIT… the only way they could be bailed out was BY THE ORDINARY PEOPLE. That may not be economically possible if confidence is lost in the economy of the whole nation…
Quin…the Repubs used it just yesterday again…..if my household can balance a budget then so can the government….but the problem there is that most households are running a deficit……thanx to credit cards…..so that argument is worthless……just more mindless slogans…..
Yes – except that credit cards have a maximum limit – when that is upped every time you max your card, you can see exactly what happens in the longer term – bankruptcy!
That is what the banks encouraged and it is the same attitude that screwed both them and the country in the end – it’s just that YOU’RE still paying for it and they’re not!
The more you talk the madder I get…I am so tired of people like bankers getting a free ride in the name of “free markets”….capitalism has been so bastardized that not even Adam Smith would recognize it….the whole thing just sucks!
Have a good weekend, my friend…..
Thanx – You too. Yes, capitalism AND the free market have been bastardised all over, but it is most obvious in the US…
You do NOT have a free market in any shape or form – the banks and corporations do – free to rip you off!
Once again…NO argument from me……