Space Force–2019

I do hope that my readers take the time to read my posts on the possible creation of another branch of our military, a space force, this is another way to tap into taxpayer money, your money.

In case my reader would like to get caught up with my posts on the Space Force…….https://lobotero.com/2018/12/28/space-late-2018/

An article I read about the US and China in a possible “space race” to control space…..

China and Iran both are hard at work launching and lobbing rockets into space to show that America no longer has a monopoly on technological leadership. They are also using these blast-offs and landings to warn us of their ability to match and surpass America’s scientific prowess. For good measure, they also want to remind us that they can easily land a nuke on the U.S. homeland.

https://www.miamiherald.com/opinion/op-ed/article223636065.html

The opinion piece makes it sound like the US has the best intentions for space….and that China is set to weaponize space….but does anyone Remember Ronald Reagan?  If so how about SDI?

No?

Then watch and learn!

Sorry but SDI was weaponizing space…The US is not the “good guy” in this…..we have had a long history of trying to weaponize space….the Chinese are just following suit.

Space…..where will the advantage lie…offense or defense?

Where does the advantage lie in space, with the offense or the defense? Why does it matter? Put simply, perceptions of the balance between offense and defense determine doctrine. Doctrine, in turn, drives acquisition, and what military space operators acquire further reinforces the existing perception of the offense-defense balance.

As a result, a nation’s military is equipped and prepared to fight based on its perception of whether the offense is stronger or the defense, not the reality. It’s only when war starts that a nation’s doctrine and equipment are tested against the reality of its perceptions. The wrong equipment and doctrine often determine the winner and loser in any conflict (see France in 1940). So accurately assessing the strength of the offense and defense before conflict even begins is one of the fundamental determiners of success in war.

http://purview.dodlive.mil/2018/12/26/space-an-offense-dominant-environment/

This situation is something that I am watching…..taxpayer dollars will be pissed away and someone has to care.

Speaking of pissing taxpayer cash away……look no further than the re-establishment of the “Space Command”…..

Last year, much of the U.S. national security space community’s attention was focused on the Trump administration’s proposal to create a sixth military service, the Space Force, which would be responsible for training and equipping military space forces. While most experts agree that the changes in the threat environment, especially Russia and China’s development of anti-satellite weapons, require the United States to think differently about how we operate in space, no consensus has emerged as to whether creating a Space Force is the right solution to the problem.

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2019/01/07/re-establishing-u-s-space-command-is-a-great-idea/

All this news but what is the chances the Space Force bill will make it out of Congress?

The outgoing chairman of the House Armed Services Committee predicts there will be bipartisan support for a new military branch for space even in a Democratic-led House of Representatives. But the Trump administration should expect its Space Force proposal to be thoroughly vetted and challenged.

“Our job is not to just swallow whatever they send us,” Rep. Mac Thornberry (R-Texas) told reporters on Capitol Hill on Tuesday.

Thornberry’s committee passed legislation in 2017 to establish a Space Corps within the Air Force, and the language made it into the House version of the National Defense Authorization Act for 2018. The Space Corps provision was not supported by the Senate and ultimately was removed from the NDAA.

https://spacenews.com/thornberry-predicts-space-force-will-have-bipartisan-support-in-the-house/

Time to make this a priority…..time to make this an important situation to be watched.  This may seem like a story that does not need so much attention….then you would be mistaken….this will cost the taxpayer and cost them BIG!

Can we afford this without a major structure rehab?

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Mattis Must Go!

It is Christmas Eve and a time for some relaxation and a slow news cycle…..well that was before and this is now!

Our SecDef has resigned……his resignation letter can be viewed here…..http://www.sof.news/news/mattis-resignation-letter/

Before you go any further take the time to read the letter….it will make the rest of this post easier to understand……

His letter had none of the usual soft soap like it has been an “honor serving” and so on….instead this was an easy letter to analyze…..it was a”Go F*ck Yourself” letter and Mattis will be leaving some time in February 2019.

Wait a damn minute!  It took a couple of days and a couple of FOX News reports to educate this president on what the letter actually said.

And once he was told what it said he go pissed and issued another one of his now famous mindless rants…..

President Trump announced on Sunday that Defense Secretary Jim Mattis will now leave his post on Jan. 1, tweeting that deputy Pentagon chief Patrick Shanahan will take over as acting secretary to cover the accelerated departure, the AP reports. The move comes just three days after Mattis resigned in protest over Trump’s decision to pull all US troops out of Syria, and delivered a blistering letter to the president that roiled Washington and reportedly angered the White House. Mattis originally said he would stay through February to ensure an orderly transition. A source says the fallout of his decision to leave—including the shock and dismay expressed on Capitol Hill—annoyed Trump and led him to push Mattis out sooner than planned, per CNN.

Lt. Col. Joseph Buccino, a spokesman for Shanahan, says the former Boeing executive will accept the appointment as acting secretary. “Deputy Secretary will continue to serve as directed by the president, and the Department of Defense will remain focused on the defense of the nation,” Buccino said on Sunday. While Mattis’ resignation followed Trump’s announcement that he would soon pull all of the approximately 2,000 US troops out of Syria, officials say the resignation was the result of an accumulation of disagreements. In a stunning resignation letter, Mattis made clear he did not see eye to eye with a president who has expressed disdain for NATO and doubts about keeping troops in Asia. (Trump says he gave Mattis “a second chance.”)

We will have an acting Sec…..but who will be in the running as the next SecDef?

President Donald Trump announced via Twitter that Secretary of Defense James “Mad Dog” Mattis would be “retiring” in February and that a replacement for Mattis would soon be named. Mattis’ departure had been the subject of speculation since late June, when it was reported that Mattis was already being kept out of the loop on major administration decisions such as the unilateral withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal, which Mattis had supported keeping intact. Rumors of Mattis’ exit as the Pentagon’s top official were then revived in September when it was reported that Trump was “actively discussing” his replacement.

https://www.mintpressnews.com/both-leading-candidates-to-replace-mattis-are-maximum-war-hawks/253267/

I look for the uber suck up, Sen. Tom Cotton, to be in the running…..after all he asked for new knee pads for Christmas…..wink wink….say no more…..

The Night of the Generals is drawing to a close…..what started off as an admin with many generals in key positions is slowly losing genral after general…..

None of the people being floated as replacement for Mattis will do a good job…..they have the M-IC at their heart not the military or the nation.

It’s All About National Security

The release of the now infamous memo brings the thought of national security to the forefront…..got me to thinking about when our obsession with NatSec began…..

The beginning of the Cold War and Truman was worried about the expansion of the USSR……1947……

The National Security Act of 1947 mandated a major reorganization of the foreign policy and military establishments of the U.S. Government. The act created many of the institutions that Presidents found useful when formulating and implementing foreign policy, including the National Security Council (NSC).

The act also established the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), which grew out of World War II era Office of Strategic Services and small post-war intelligence organizations. The CIA served as the primary civilian intelligence-gathering organization in the government. Later, the Defense Intelligence Agency became the main military intelligence body. The 1947 law also caused far-reaching changes in the military establishment. The War Department and Navy Department merged into a single Department of Defense under the Secretary of Defense, who also directed the newly created Department of the Air Force. However, each of the three branches maintained their own service secretaries. In 1949 the act was amended to give the Secretary of Defense more power over the individual services and their secretaries.

You now have the back story of the beginning of our NatSec framework….while I agree that it was ma necessity back then I also think that it needs some reformation…..

The year 2017 marked the 70th anniversary of the National Security Act of 1947. To commemorate the landmark legislation that powerfully shaped the American national security enterprise, over 60 prominent scholars, practitioners, and national security experts gathered at the United States Military Academy over the course of two years to consider national security reform in the modern era. In April 2016, the group examined how the world has changed since the end of the Second World War and, building upon those discussions in April 2017, endeavored to develop specific, actionable recommendations for reforming our national security institutions and processes.

https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2018/02/02/national_security_reform_for_a_new_era_113001.html

It is a defense industry solution…..while I may not agree with every word I do believe that it needs to be upgraded for the 21st century.  More weapons will not guarantee more peace.

War Just Keeps Rolling On And On

Will this country ever step back from war?

After 16 continuous years of all out war you would think that the country would be become war weary…..nothing is further from the truth…..an actually NO ONE cares that we have been at war for damn near two decades.

I ask the question…will we ever find a way to step back from war?  That would be the job of the Congress and those cowards are too timid to even consider the prospect….but it needs attention….

Goddammit!  Enough is enough!  Time to step back and get a f*cking grip……

President Donald Trump has expanded every aspect of the war on terror he inherited from his two predecessors. In his first nine months Trump has ordered a renewed surge in Afghanistan, increased the tempo of drone strikes, and granted the military greater autonomy. Meanwhile, in Afghanistan, the Taliban now control or contest more districts than at any point since 2001. And last week four American soldiers died in Niger, an increasingly active front in the war on terror. Americans are now fighting — and dying — in at least eight different countries across the Middle East and Central Asia. The deaths of American forces are a particularly sobering reminder of the war’s high costs and should prompt people to ask whether the costs are worth it.

Unfortunately, the evidence of the past 16 years clearly indicates that the answer is no. Enough time has now passed since 9/11 to reach two important conclusions. First, the threat posed by Islamist-inspired terrorism does not justify such a mammoth effort. Second, the aggressive military strategy the United States has pursued since 2001 has not only failed to reduce the threat of terrorism; it has likely made things worse.

https://warontherocks.com/2017/10/time-to-step-back-from-the-war-on-terror/

There has got to be a way to end endless war!  Just got to be a way!

Maybe this will do the trick…..

WARS THAT the United States is waging around the world undermine our security by turning entire populations against us and diverting our attention and resources away from urgent needs at home. No, the opposite is true: the United States faces serious threats, and can only protect itself by confronting them wherever they emerge. This debate has divided Americans for more than a century. Congress may soon have a rare opportunity to take one side or the other.

https://www.commondreams.org/views/2017/10/29/how-end-endless-war

Congress will be the answer?  (raucous laughter heard)

The American Conservative asks the same question…….

The U.S. military has been engaged in hostilities overseas continuously in at least one country for almost sixteen years and has been fighting in multiple countries for most of that time, but the last time Congress voted for an authorization for the use of military force (AUMF) was in the fall of 2002 prior to the invasion of Iraq.

Since then, the U.S. has started or participated in new military campaigns in Libya, Iraq, Syria, and Yemen without Congressional authorization or debate, and most of these campaigns that began under President Obama continue to this day. Earlier this year, President Trump also ordered a cruise missile attack on Syrian government forces without U.N. or Congressional authorization, and the administration has yet to provide any arguments that the attack on the Syrian government was legally justified.

http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/does-congress-have-the-guts-to-invoke-war-powers/

Those cowards have not got a cajone among all of them…if we depend on Congress for anything then all is LOST!

If anyone differs from my thoughts please tell me what you think…..all opinions are valid and should be discussed.

Is This How “Skynet” Begins

I am sure that everyone that reads this blog is familiar with the term “Skynet”…that computer that runs everything on earth and dispatches terminators to do the dirty work….well it had to have a beginning and I think one of the spin-offs covered that…but could there be a “real life” beginning?

There has been some amazing leaps in AI research and it looks like the Penatgon is going to be the first to use it in search of “bad guys”…….

Turning hours of drone video into actionable intelligence is just the start for the fast-moving machine-learning team.

By year’s end, the Pentagon wants computers to be leading the hunt for Islamic State militants in Iraq and Syria, through turning countless hours of aerial surveillance video into actionable intelligence.

It’s part of Project Maven, a fast-moving effort launched last month by Deputy Defense Secretary Bob Work to accelerate, improve, and put to wider use the military’s use of machine learning.

Source: The Pentagon’s New Algorithmic Warfare Cell Gets Its First Mission: Hunt ISIS – Defense One

Of course I am making light of the situation…but it is a good question when machines are starting to do a lot of our tasks and thinking for us…..

I still think that humans are better at making this decision than a machine….the machine can think faster but can it see the “not normal” that may arise from the intel?

I believe that a good analyst can see things that a machine will overlook as “not” important.

I know I am an old fart but I stand by my statement.

The Pentagon And The World Of Tomorrow

We have had many stories and many scandals in waiting and the one story that has taken a back seat is the budget and the Pentagon.

Trump has asked for a sharp rise in defense spending and how is the Pentagon taking this windfall of funds?

An interesting concatenation of parallel efforts to pull the U.S. military up by its proverbial bootstraps is beginning to show signs of purposeful strategic direction. There are calls from many quarters to increase the sizes of the Navy, Army, Air Force, , Marine Corps. Add to these the proposals to accelerate near-term Army land force modernization, ramp up the production rates of our most modern military systems such as Virginia-class submarines, the F-35 fighter, late model Army Black Hawk and Apache helicopters, and expand the Marine Corps’ amphibious warfare fleet.

We are beginning major new investments in a strategic bomber, an aerial tanker, a ballistic missile submarine, long-range cruise missiles and theater and strategic missile defenses. Then there are the efforts by organizations such as the Army’s brand-new Rapid Capabilities Office and the Pentagon’s Defense Innovation Unit Experimental (DIUx) to jumpstart modernization by repurposing existing capabilities in order to close critical capability gaps in such areas as electronic warfare and long-range fires. Finally, there are a wide range of potentially revolutionary capabilities being explored under the umbrella of the Third Offset Strategy.

Source: The First Signs Of A National Mobilization For War Are Appearing | RealClearDefense

History has given us many examples of what this could mean.

Let’s not forget Europe at the turn of the 20th century…or if you do not like that one…….the Europe of the 1930’s…..and where did all that escalation lead?

Does anyone else see the danger that is approaching?

Why not?

But What Is The Strategy?

The good news is…..thinking……thinking……not much but since we are about to spend our national asses off in defense maybe we should take a look at what we would get for the money.

An essential element is missing from President Donald Trump’s plan for boosting the budgets of the U.S. military services by $54 billion in 2018. How, exactly, does the commander in chief intend to use the world’s most potent fighting force?

Beyond the threat posed by the Islamic State and other militant groups, Trump doesn’t articulate what he’s defending the country from. Defeating what Trump and his aides call “radical Islamic terrorism” doesn’t require an additional investment of tens of billions of dollars. And Trump, whose “America First” mantra suggested an isolationist approach, has viewed Russia as a potential partner, not an adversary.

Source: Trump’s defense budget boost raises questions on strategy | PBS NewsHour

To be fair, and yes I can do that, to Trump there has not been a real strategy for decades……all want to boost the military but none have any idea of how they will be used….I guess the strategy is that we will play it by ear for now……problem is we need to stop wasting time and sit down and look at the future of our services……

There have been many National Security Strategy (NSS) development efforts over the past decades. But it appears we have not had a traditional, thorough, objective national strategy review and update since 9/11. As taught in our military education system, force structure determination must begin with a review of the NSS. The last two NSS products were issued by the Obama Administration in 2010 and 2015. The 2010 strategy was cited as a significant departure from previous strategies, with one point being the elimination of reference to Islamic radicalism.

Source: National Military Strategy Development—Time for a Revolutionary Approach | RealClearDefense

We have a written review every so often….but like most things it does not look deep enough in the international situation….they cover the problems in our face and never tries to find the ones in the shadows….I do not expect too much from the Trump admin…..they seem to think more money means better military…..that is the M-IC talking in the review.

Just a few months into the Trump administration, it still isn’t clear what course the president’s foreign policy will ultimately take. What is clear, however, is that the impulsiveness, combativeness, and recklessness that characterized Donald Trump’s election campaign have survived the transition into the presidency. Since taking office, Trump has continued to challenge accepted norms, break with diplomatic traditions, and respond to perceived slights or provocations with insults or threats of his own. The core of his foreign policy message is that the United States will no longer allow itself to be taken advantage of by friends or foes abroad. After decades of “losing” to other countries, he says he is going to put “America first” and start winning again.

Source: A Vision of Trump at War – Council on Foreign Relations

Time for a real National Security Strategy (NSS)….but that will take thought and that is simply not available in the Trump WH.

Believe me when I tell you that Twitter is not the answer.