My man, Nate Silver, is going to make a lot of the Dems nervous……I hate to admit it but he is pretty damn accurate in his predictions…..it is time for EVERY Dem to see this and read this and then vote.
If you want to prove Silver wrong then there is only one way to accomplish that…….STOP whining and VOTE Democrat!
I saw this article awhile back and made me stop and think about the upcoming election……it is true….we hate Congress but most will be re-elected…..where is the logic in that? What is it that Einstein had to say about insanity?
If you cannot see the stupidity in this then you are the perfect person to sign up for the new Palin Channel………
America prepares to reelect the Congress it loathes – The Washington Post.
It is time to step back from the horrendous situation in the Middle East……maybe calmer heads will prevail…..but knowing both sides of the argument…..I doubt!
Every year that we have an election, and it seems to be a never ending cycle these days, we hear all about the independents…..and some times people want to talk about the centrists as the controllers of the election results……..many a pundit has tried to define who the centrists are and what they stand for…..mostly it has been pure imagination not facts that they base their analysis on……
To me a centrists is someone who has lost confidence their chosen political party and vote against it but do not want to be labeled so they pretend that they are centrists……I recent read a piece that sort of explains the swing in centrism…….I have noticed by talking with people that “centrists” seem to be leaning toward liberalism these days…..but why?
Reporter and author Thomas Ricks has long been what he would describe as a “detached centrist.” He’s also a big fan of the free market and a strong national defense, and he’s financially comfortable as he approaches the age of 60. Conventional wisdom might suggest that he should be “drifting into a cautious conservatism” right about now, but Hicks writes in Politico Magazine that he is as surprised as anyone to find himself shifting to the left instead. Among his reasons:
- Military: As the author of several books about the military, Ricks finds himself appalled at how badly our wars have been run in Afghanistan and Iraq, at the Pentagon’s use of torture, and at the employment of mercenaries and security contractors who have “poisoned the conduct of … war.”
- Intelligence: Hicks writes that he’s no great fan of Edward Snowden, but it’s clear now that “American intelligence officials have shown a contempt for the way our democracy is supposed to work.”
- Income inequality: Both parties are to blame for making the rich richer and the poor poorer, he writes. “Apparently income redistribution downward is dangerously radical, but redistribution upward is just business as usual.”
Click for Ricks’ full column.
You would think that a party that really would like to govern would not see these trends and adjust their thinking to seem more viable…..but the modern GOP just cannot seem to break its old habits and because they cannot….they will not rule anytime soon.
Since they cannot break their antiquated chains the voter will be looking elsewhere and with our system you know what the means……Dems will win again!
Even though moths ago some pundits were claiming the the Tea party was all but dead……..wishful thinking……as the 2016 election approaches the Tea Party is making some great strives and could very well be a force to contend with…..Cantor’s defeat has reinvigorated the party…..
Personally, I think that Americans need to be afraid….very afraid of the party……and it seems that business is not liking the resurrection of the party either…..
Why Big Business Fears the Tea Party – Michael Lind – POLITICO Magazine.
I guess the best to start is to bring everyone up to date on what is being reported in the MSM about the upcoming 2014 elections…….blah……BLAH…….BLAH and then the every popular….yada….yada….yada…..Benghazi.
Now you know as much as anyone watching the MSM in the recent days………but my fave topic covered by the media is that of the “grassroots”…….every party is scrambling to grab these voters by the scrotum……….but there is a problem with the term…….to me when talking about the grassroots we would be talking about the hopes and desires of the common folk…….but if we look closely at polls that show what the common folk find important is not covered in any of the rhetoric……if true then what is the “grassroots” that people keep mentioning at every turn?
The Tea Party loyal seem to use the term very loosely………they want to portray themselves as the champion of us common folk…….but are they?
Those who align themselves with the Tea Party fancy the phrase “grass roots” to describe their fight with the GOP “establishment.” Sorry, writes EJ Dionne in the Washington Post, but it’s hard to think “grass roots” when billionaire donors are involved. No, what the GOP really has are “two establishment factions spending vast sums to gain the upper hand.” The result is a party moving further and further to the right, where a “political correctness of an extremely conservative kind now rules.” Dionne points to the win of Ben Sasse in the GOP Senate primary in Nebraska as a prime example. Ted Cruz, for one, invoked the phrase “grass roots” to describe why the ultra-conservative Sasse won, despite the $2.4 million in ad spending on his behalf.
Plus, the university president worked in the George W. Bush administration and is hardly an outsider. “So, is this really the grass roots speaking to Washington?” asks Dionne. “Or is it more accurately seen as a cadre of conservative groups, largely working out of Washington, rising up with a ton of cash to persuade voters to listen to them?” GOP voters can expect similar choices in future primaries, thanks to the Supreme Court rulings opening the door to bigger donations. But in the end, they’re simply picking “between two establishments that, in the end, differ little on what they would do with power.” Click for Dionne’s full column.
The scary part is that someone will vote for corporate control….freely. And even pretend that it is best for all the country and the totality of American peasantry.
Grassroots implies that the common man/woman has its concerns addressed by their elected officials…..sadly this is pure invention……
grassroots is a dog whistle, nowadays, it has nothing to do with reality……….Apparently one can only be considered “grassroots” if one has more money than brains……
As promised in my previous post….this is the prediction that Nate Silver is making for the 2014 midterms…..read it and weep for the nation.
Solution? You can either get off your butt and vote or wait for the results and do what you do so well….WHINE!
FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast: GOP Is Slight Favorite in Race for Senate Control | FiveThirtyEight.
The title is self explanatory for Democrats…….I have been saying that the Dems have not done a very good job of framing their positions for the upcoming midterms……I have also stated that with the increase pressure from the GOP on Obamacare failures and the run up to making it more difficult for normally Dem voters…… the likelihood that the Senate could be lost to the GOP come November.
Imagine the screwing that the American people will take with the legislative branch and the judicial in the hands of conservs…….NOTHING will be accomplished for the next two year…..all of which is what the GOP would like….it will make it a little easier for them to take the White House if they can show how badly the Dems govern……..the sad part is that Dems are giving this scenario to the GOP because they are just too good to bother to vote in the midterms…..
But do not take my word for it…….Nate Silver, a political calculus dude, has been very successful in his predictions of political races…..he was spot on in 2012 and now he speaks on his calculations for the mid-terms……
From his blog “FiveThirtyEight.com”……………
When FiveThirtyEight last issued a U.S. Senate forecast — way back in July — we concluded the race for Senate control was a toss-up. That was a little ahead of the conventional wisdom at the time, which characterized the Democrats as vulnerable but more likely than not to retain the chamber.
Our new forecast goes a half-step further: We think the Republicans are now slight favorites to win at least six seats and capture the chamber. The Democrats’ position has deteriorated somewhat since last summer, with President Obama’s approval ratings down to 42 or 43 percent from an average of about 45 percent before. Furthermore, as compared with 2010 or 2012, the GOP has done a better job of recruiting credible candidates, with some exceptions.
Note: I will press the whole post so that you may see just what and how he is predicting this
Only person to blame when this occurs is oneself….if you did not vote because it was not interesting enough for you to waste your time……
Allow me to catch you up…..Ukraine is still a head scratcher…..the plane is still missing with NO actual facts to report but the media will not let it go………
First, let me say I apologize for the title…..when I hear the chairman of the RNC’s name….that is all I can think….,funny how the mind works, huh?
Let’s move on….shall we?
It seems that for the first time in many years I find myself in agreement with the chairman of the RNC and the BS he tries to pass off as facts…….
Republican National Committee Chair Reince Priebus Tuesday didn’t merely predict that 2014 would be a wave election for Republican candidates. He predicted a political tsunami.
Speaking to reporters at a breakfast hosted by The Christian Science Monitor, Priebus said ‘I think we’re in for a tsunami-type election in 20014’ powered largely by Republicans winning six Senate seats to regain control of that chamber.
‘My belief is, it’s going to be a very big win, especially at the U.S. Senate level, and we may add some seats in congressional races,’ he told reporters. ‘But I need to and we need to at the RNC level make sure that we can capture the positives and the benefits we’ve been able to provide in 2014 and build on that to have success in 2016, which is a very different type of election.’
It is not looking good, at this point in the cycle, for the Dems in Congress…..they will have to deal with high debt, the failed rollout of Obamacare and the general wimpiness of the candidates that grows more and more with each session.
But how can this be explained? All too many are asking this question…..and I believe there is a simple answer……..
Forgot who said this but it rings true…..”Never underestimate the power of human stupidity”…..if you do not like that answer then let me leave you with the words of Martin Luther King, Jr……”Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity”
And that my friends is….Enough Said!
Today is All Mississippi Day……..I just couldn’t resist.
I recently did a post on some gun nut that shot himself to death while displaying his new gun…..can’t fix stupid…..I have that sign above my desk and it reminds me just how stupid the human race can be.
And that brings us to Mississippi, my state…….there are many things that my fellow Mississippians do that just amazes me on how stupid they can be…..in 2010 in an election the Congressman from my district was beat by a Tea Party fave…..even though he was a Dem, he was a Blue Dog Dem which made him more conserv than 80% of self described conservs……his Congressional rating was an A….he was a pro-lifer, NRA supporter, senior issues, and middle class issues….all the issues that my district is concerned with………..his only ‘sin’ was he was a registered Dem and for that sin he was beaten by a do nothing like Palazzo.
Former U.S. Rep. Gene Taylor on Friday told the Sun Herald he will run for the District 4 U.S. House seat he lost to Rep. Steven Palazzo in 2010.
Taylor said he was on his way to Jackson to file to run as a Republican.
The primary is June 3.
In the upcoming election Mississippians have a chance to “fix stupid”……Taylor is running against Palazzo but this time as a Repub…….with his sterling record and on the right side of the argument (not something I believe but what the Hell)……he has a good chance of unseating Palazzo…but the question will be….will Mississippi keep a do nothing or replace him a proven track record of voting on the issues that Mississippians hold dear?
Is it possible that Stupid can be fixed?
Can you remember back to 2012? The election…..all the negativity and lies……remember all the polls that show Mitt basically running neck and neck with Obama? There were even some that were predicting a Mitt victory by a slim margin. Through all this speculation came a political mathematician, Nate Silver……he was laughed at when he predicted the the Prez would win and win big……there were many in the MSM that totally ignored his numbers and his prediction…..and guess what? He was right and all the “reputable” pollsters were completely WRONG!
As a political wonk I keep up with Nate Silver and his latest but initial findings are disturbing…….
Harry Reid might want to think carefully before revising the filibuster rules—because there’s a decent chance he’ll soon be on the other end of them. Nate Silver at the New York Times has crunched the race-by-race numbers, and based on them and his own best guesses and assumptions, concluded that “Republicans might now be close to even-money to win control of the chamber,” even though they’ll have to win more seats to do it this year (net six) than they needed in 2012.
Some key races include:
- South Dakota and West Virginia: Democrats are retiring in both these states, the GOP has strong contenders, and the electorate leans red already.
- North Carolina: Republicans still don’t have a good candidate here, but given how poorly incumbent Democrat Kay Hagan is polling, they need only a halfway decent one.
- Arkansas: Democrat Mark Pryor’s poll numbers took a dip recently, and given how badly Blanche Lincoln lost her seat here, he can’t be feeling safe.
- Montana: Barry Schweitzer’s decision not to run is a huge boon for Republicans who now have the most qualified potential candidate in former Gov. Marc Racicot, in a state that already leans red.
- Alaska “is the closest thing to a tipping point state,” representing Republicans’ best bet to go from 50 seats to 51—assuming they win all of the above, plus tossup Louisiana—but incumbent Democrat Mark Begich is polling pretty well right now. (Will a familiar name be in the mix?)
This is worrying me…..I trust Silver and his technique…….it is disturbing to know that the GOP could possibly control both houses of the legislative branch…..if he is accurate, we are in for a long two years of total obstructionism………….any thoughts?