Every now and then I do a “what if” scenario……a post about what might have happened if only one minor situation is changed…..
I found a “what if” in The Week magazine….that ask the question what will happen if Trump is super popular after his first 4 years…
Friday’s jobs report was more evidence of the kind of slow, plodding improvement we’ve grown accustomed to since the end of the Great Recession. But now that Donald Trump is about to become president, what happens if the slow, plodding improvement keeps up? The answer is a nightmare for Democrats: Come 2020, Trump could be very popular.
Political science suggests the economy is enormously important in predicting how an election will swing. In fact, the most stupidly simple models of Americans’ voting behavior — the ones that account for the economy, which party is incumbent in the White House, Americans’ natural tendency to change course, and little else — predicted the outcome of the 2016 election just fine. In fact, they were saying Trump was the likely victor months ago. It’s just no one believed them.
The way things are going right now it looks like he will not be popular in 4 years….but that news will be excused away as with everything he is doing…..
Like I said…this is someone else question and answer….so please do not shoot the messenger.