Closing Thought–20Dec16

From time to time I make small adjustments to my blogging schedule…..sometimes because I am teaching a class or in the middle of some research….but this time it is the time of the year.

As we draw closer to the holidays the amount of visits seem to shrink a bit…..people have important stuff to do and blogs are just not that important at this time…..

I try to post 5 or 6 good articles for my readers  but at this time I will cut back to 3 or 4….that is unless something major comes up and needs attention.  Right now about all the news is about Trump’s attempt to put together a working government and most everything else falls by the wayside.

Since I think that most of his picks are horrible…let me say here before I get some irate Trump worshiper that I basically said the same thing about Obama’s attempt to put together a government…..Obama did what Trump is doing…..went to the elites to make the government work….

I am trying to spend a little less time at the keyboard so please do not get concerned if my replies are tardy and I will not visit my followers as often as before….but it is nothing serious just that time of the year….please bear with me.

I apologize to my readers if they are disappointed at the posts that I offer and I will gladly accept any suggestions or criticisms that anyone would care to make.

Two Big Battles

The news out of the Middle East is always taking a back seat to the antics of politicians and celebs…..but regardless how much we try it is impossible to ignore the big battles taking place…..

First, the one that is making all the news so far….Aleppo, Syria.

It appears as if the battle for Syria’s largest city is about to draw to a close….if so….what is next for the city?

What are the immediate implications of the regime’s victory in Aleppo?

Aleppo illustrates the bleak state of the Syrian war, more than five years into the conflict. The regime and its allies are defeating rebel groups by employing an expanded version of their long-favoured military approach: massive collective punishment, including siege tactics and relentless bombardment targeting civilians. With crucial support from Russian air power and Iran-backed foreign fighters, this set of tactics has enabled the regime to compensate, for now at least, for its eroding military and limited base of reliable Syrian fighters.

Source: What Comes After the Bloody Battle for Aleppo? | Crisis Group

The next major battle is in Iraq….in and around the city of Mosul….first reports were that the Iraqi army and its militia allies were making great headway against the forces if ISIS…..but those glowing reports have ceased….why?

Since the battle to retake Mosul began in mid-October, Iraqi and coalition spokesmen have touted the significant number of villages retaken around the periphery of Mosul by the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF), and the fact that they reportedly recaptured Mosul’s al-Salam hospital, barely a mile from the Tigris. Yet an examination of the battlefield reveals that from the perspective of ISIS, it could be argued that the fight is going better than expected. Such a belief is not without substance.

Iraqi prime minister Haider al-Abadi claimed last week that he was very pleased with his troops’ progress. “We have seen the whole organization collapsing in terms of standing in the face of our own armed forces,” he said, adding that the “success of liberating a huge area indicates that Daesh does not have the gut[s]” to stand and fight. Yet the number of villages and square kilometers of land retaken tells only part of the story, and may be deceptive by itself.

Source: Is the Battle for Mosul Doomed? | The National Interest Blog

These are the foreign policy situations that Trump and his gang will be dealing with….does anyone see a light at the end of this tunnel?

The Curious Debate Over “Fake News”

This is an FYI piece……I do not expect those who “know” the facts to employ any of these suggestions…..but I had to try.

So….One More Time……

There has been lots written about the use of “Fake News”…..some of it not so pretty….and then there are the ever popular diatribes about what is fake and what is real…..

Basically in our society we are at the point where the only “real” news is the news that supports one’s small thoughts…..it is kinda like propaganda….

There are so few that know what a propaganda piece is or is not……I have tried to help my readers discern what is what……several years ago I wrote a couple of posts that pointed out the characteristics of propaganda….

https://lobotero.com/2013/01/11/what-is-propaganda/

https://lobotero.com/2014/01/06/propaganda-2-0/

I bring this up because there is a way to tell what is fake and what is not…..well it works for me and that assumes that the reader wants to know the difference….but I am starting to think that that is a wrong assumption on my part.

Some readers have asked how does one know what is fake and what is not….for those that actually want to know here is the formula…..

  • Crazy claims. We’ve been told for years that the best way to spot a con artist is to remember that if the outcome he promises is too good to be true, it probably is. The same concept is applicable here: If a “news” story is too crazy to be true, it probably is.
  • Incredulous introduction. Watch out for phrases in the top of the story that acknowledge the incredible, unbelievable nature of what’s coming. Examples are “As preposterous as it might appear,” or “Unimaginable as it may seem.”
  • Audacious repetition. Consider this scenario: Your coworker walks into your office with a stunned look on his face and says, “Are you ready for this? Santa Claus is sick!” Your natural response is to roll your eyes and say something like, “Go away, I don’t have time for this.” But then he looks at you with a troubled expression on his face and says, “No, I mean it, Santa’s really sick.” The moment  he says that, he has suddenly captured your attention, and you find yourself asking something like, “What do you mean, Santa Claus is sick?” At that point, without realizing it, you’ve begun the process of buying into the fake story. You’re now asking a question about it, whereas just a moment earlier, you were telling the guy to get out, because you were too busy for this nonsense. Suddenly it matters in your life, because while Santa is fictitious to you, he’s not fictitious to your kids—it has some relevance to you. Writers of fake news stories have learned the value of leveraging the psychology of repetition—the more something is repeated, the more believable it becomes. Consider how Madison Avenue advertising works: The magic number is three. If the consumer receives the message three times, research has shown that he may not buy the product immediately, but the door has been opened to his willingness to at least consider buying it.
  • Hyper hyperbole. Over-the-top statements of degree permeate the story. The news isn’t just “significant,” it’s “absolutely astounding.” Similarly, if the story has to do with some misfortune, it’s not just “serious” or “bad,” it’s “the worst thing we have ever seen.”
  • Validation void. Invariably, fake news lacks substance in terms of sourcing—the sources tend to be vague and unidentifiable. At the same time, there tends to be no actionable information in the story, in the sense that there’s nowhere within reason to go to attempt to validate it.

This works well….but I have NO illusion that there will be those people that bend over for whatever confirms their thoughts…..without checking them out…..outrageous claims only fires them up more…..and then there are those “trust me” moments……that is when I start to roll my eyes…..trust without validation is STUPID!

Me?  I dig for answers…but I seem to think ALL news is fake until I check it out in detail…..I think that is what we all should do….but sadly most are too goddamn lazy for any work….they prefer to rely on CRAP for their “knowledge”.

So you continue to believe crap…..I will do what I do best…..DIG!

You see I refuse to read only partisan bullshit…… and make NO mistake it is bullshit……but then I do not expect others to put in the time to learn anything……it takes a special kind of person to look at all sides….and there are damn few of us anymore.

This will be my last post on the subject of “Fake News”……(to everyone’s relief I am sure)

The Ghost Of The USS Pueblo

Early Saturday morning I was having a hard time sleeping so I decided to watch some news……I found the Rachel Maddow Show…..she is so cute but she is just too damn redundant for me to watch often.

The show was about basically about the moves the China has made in recent years when we have a new president…..(oh Hell I hate typing this early…watch it for yourself)…..

https://t.co/Ox9Df4bklJ

As usual she was very through in her research but I took a different tack off of the piece……I remember on 23Jan68 the North Koreans captured a US Naval vessel, USS Pueblo……which was operating in international waters, according to the US……..is anyone old enough to remember this?

the USS Pueblo, a Navy intelligence vessel, is engaged in a routine surveillance of the North Korean coast when it is intercepted by North Korean patrol boats. According to U.S. reports, the Pueblo was in international waters almost 16 miles from shore, but the North Koreans turned their guns on the lightly armed vessel and demanded its surrender. The Americans attempted to escape, and the North Koreans opened fire, wounding the commander and two others. With capture inevitable, the Americans stalled for time, destroying the classified information aboard while taking further fire. Several more crew members were wounded.

Finally, the Pueblo was boarded and taken to Wonson. There, the 83-man crew was bound and blindfolded and transported to Pyongyang, where they were charged with spying within North Korea’s 12-mile territorial limit and imprisoned. It was the biggest crisis in two years of increased tension and minor skirmishes between the United States and North Korea.

All this was a continuing battle of intel between US and PRNK…..what does this have to do with Maddow’s talk?

Shen mentioned a couple of ships, US Navy ships, that were crewed by civilians….the Bowditch and the Impeccable….but they are research ships…..they are intel ships and I bet that half the crew are agents with some real scientist scattered in to make it appear legit.

The South China Sea is a hot bed of intel activity thanx to those islands that everyone in the region lays claim to….then there is the underwater  drone that China has lifted….

Pentagon officials are accusing the Chinese Navy of theft today after one of their ships made off with a US underwater surveillance drone, which officials described as “lawfully conducting a military survey” in the South China Sea.

Details on the incident are still emerging. The USNS Bowditch deployed 2 such drones somewhere in the South China Sea. The Pentagon described the incident as occurring “about 100 miles” from Subic Bay, which likely puts it in the vicinity of the Spratly Islands.

The Bowditch was being followed by a Chinese Navy vessel, the ASR-510, a Dalang-III class rescue and salvage ship. The Bowditch had its drones deployed about 500 meters from itself, and while Pentagon officials described the Bowditch itself as being in international waters, they weren’t clear whether the drones were. Obvious the US and China also have different concepts of whose maritime waters are whose in the South China Sea as well.

(antiwar.com)

Maddow said in her report that you can buy this drone on the market for about $155,000…but I bet that mine will not have the electronics in it that the one the Chinese scooped up has….wahtcha think?

This is all the same games that we have played for 60 years…..it is just a Game Of Spies……