If you believe some in the media….then yes….a recovery is on the way…at least that is the line they are pushing to give investors more confidence and to help loosen the grip they have on their money.
The economic recession in the U.S. will end during the third quarter, although unemployment and federal deficits will continue to weigh, economists for the American Bankers Association said Tuesday.”The economy will return to growth, but not to health,” said Bruce Kasman, chairman of the group’s economic advisory committee. “Growth in the coming quarters is likely to gather momentum but will not prove sufficiently robust to undo much of the severe damage done to our labor markets and public finances.”
So reports the ABA on the current economic condition. Unfortunately not everyone is seeing that same light in that tunnel.
A top Federal Reserve official warned on Tuesday not to take recent gains across a range of asset prices as proof the U.S. economy is on the verge of a strong recovery.
Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh said private demand, the true arbiter of economic performance, “remains weak” even while government spending has surged, and the the jobless rate is likely to peak at a higher rate, and linger longer at those high rates, than in recent recessions.
Once again there is the same continuous disconnect within Wall Street. The real question to ask is “who do you believe”?