Arguments Of Clinton

She has done a lot and said a lot trying to convince voters that she has the chance to win the nomination.  She and her handlers have come up with a new math; they have even said the vote count in Puerto Rico will help.  Delegates will help but the people of PR are not citizens and they cannot vote in the general.  They have even changed the number of delegates one needs to secure the nomination, 2025, but the Clintons keep saying 2209.

But best argument is that she can carry the swing states, like Ohio, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, et al.  She taunts her overwhelming win in WV as the key, but will it translate into a win in the Fall?  Doubtful!  Yes, Bill won in ’92 & ’96, but that does not mean that she will do so in ’08.  She has however, pledged to carry all the swing states in the general……..thinking……is that a guarantee?  If so what will be her penalty for not honoring the guarantee, if she does not carry the swing states?

Personally, I do not think she will win the nomination, no matter how much much she and that irritating Terry MacCauliffe want it to be so.  But you have to give Hillary her props for cajones.

Obama In Michigan

The big story is the John Edwards has endorsed Obama and crapped all over Clinton’s huge win in west Virginia and most likely piddled on her big fundraising dinner at the same time.  This could help Obama in his efforts to attract more blue collar workers, the people that are not taking much shine to his candidacy.

The auto industry will have a partner in the White House if Sen. Barack Obama is elected president, the Illinois Senator told about 200 people crammed into a conference room at Macomb Community College today.

The auto industry is “taking steps in the right direction, but we have to do more. And they need a partner in the White House and they will when I become president,” Obama said. “We won’t just revive and strengthen our automakers, but all of our manufacturers.”

It was a distinct departure from one of Obama’s visit to Michigan last May, when he chided the domestic auto industry for failing to effectively compete with foreign automakers during a speech to the Detroit Economic Club. He has followed that speech with harsh words for Detroit in speeches and advertising and in recent weeks has called the Ford Grenada a “tin can” and one of the worst cars made by the Big 3.

Sen. Barack Obama arrived at Chrysler Stamping Plant in Sterling Heights at 9:30 a.m. today, where he was briefly greeted by employees and then met privately with Chrysler President and Vice Chairman Jim Press, as well as UAW Local 1264 President Bob Stuglin.

Not much was covered at the plant inspection.  He, Obama, talked about the need for alt fuels, etc.  He missed a prime opportunity to discuss labor and relations with the corporation.  He missed a prime opportunity to find more and solid support with workers.  I realize that this was basically a photo-op, but he could have done more and said more pertaining to labor and the workers.

I am withholding my support until I see who he will choose as a Veep.  If it is one of the slugs from the Democratic Leadership Council, then I will support an alternate candidate.

A Better Way To Pick A President

This article was in the Boston globe and is something to consider:

A better way to elect a president
By Scot Lehigh
Published May 6th 2008 in Boston Globe
IF THERE’S one constitutional idea whose time has come and gone, it’s the Electoral College.

That arrangement for electing a president is a throwback to a different age, designed as a solution to circumstances that no longer exist.

But the antique system continues to present problems of its own.

Consider just two:

First, it poses the regular danger of a president who wins the Electoral College but not the popular vote, depriving the country of a chief executive who is viewed as fully legitimate.

That, of course, happened in 2000, when Al Gore won the national vote, but George W. Bush eventually prevailed in the Electoral College.

But we’ve had three other elections in which candidates who didn’t win the popular vote nevertheless ended up in the White House: John Quincy Adams in 1824, Rutherford B. Hayes in 1876, and Benjamin Harrison in 1888. In the last case, Harrison actually replaced a sitting president, Grover Cleveland; four years later, Cleveland won a rematch.

Second, the Electoral College lends disproportionate general election influence to a handful of swing states, which become pivotal in each and every close election, while much of the rest of the country is neglected.

But trying to amend the constitution is a Herculean task.

That’s why the campaign for a national popular vote holds such promise. It’s a way of sidestepping the Electoral College without amending the Constitution.

Here’s how the plan would work. Individual states pass legislation to join an interstate compact, under which member states will award all their electoral votes to the winner of the national popular vote. When states representing 270 electoral votes — the number needed to become president — have signed on, the plan goes into effect. Thus it’s in the power of state Legislatures and governors to catalyze the move.

So far, the bill has been introduced in 47 states. It has been passed into law in Illinois (21 electoral votes) New Jersey (15), Maryland (10 ), and, just last week, Hawaii (4), and is under active consideration in any number of others. In Massachusetts, the bill has a majority in both the House and the Senate, says Pam Wilmot, executive director of Common Cause of Massachusetts.

If the plan goes into effect, it would change the nature of campaigns in a big way. Right now, it doesn’t matter if a candidate wins a state by 10 votes or 10,000; once you have a majority, every additional vote is essentially wasted. Thus there’s little point of campaigning in states that lean strongly for either party.

“Presidential campaigns do not visit, do not run ads, do not care about nonbattleground states,” observes Barry Fadem, president of National Popular Vote, the nonprofit organization promoting the idea.

Indeed, according to that group, in the 2004 general election, 99 percent of all the advertisizing money expended on the presidential race was spent in 16 states — with two-thirds of it targeted for just five states.

But in a true national election, that wouldn’t be the case. Each vote would count just as much as any other in determining the outcome. That means it would be just as important for a candidate to attract extra votes in a state he or she was already expected to win as it would be to concentrate on a swing state. That is, it would matter just as much for a Democrat or Republican to attract an extra 1,000 votes in Massachusetts, a predictably Democratic state, or in Texas, a predictably Republican state, as it would be to battle for extra votes in a swing state like Ohio.

“Neither political party is going to be able to say, as they have in every other election, we don’t care about the following states,” says Fadem.

By expanding the effective playing field, a direct national election would also probably change the mix of issues that candidates focus on, with national concerns taking clear precedence over matters dear to populations in the swing states but less vital to voters in other places.

Common Cause thinks a broader campaign would also have the effect of boosting political participation across the country.

Now, this obviously won’t happen before the 2008 election, but Fadem’s optimistic view is that enough states will join to put it into effect for 2012.

It’s a big change, but an outdated arrangement shouldn’t govern something as important as presidential elections. It’s time we graduated from the Electoral College. This is an idea both Democrats and Republicans should get behind.

Republicans Flounder

The Repubs are losing their collective butts in Special elections, the latest was a loss in Mississippi. They have been floundering for at least 4 years and possibly for the last 7. The Repubs prospects in the Fall do not look too good either.

They are scrambling around trying to reinvent themselves and their party with the hope of salvaging some success in the upcoming elections. They have had an epiphany and are trying to become “born again” fiscal conservatives and trying to distance themselves from the crap of social conservatism. Things like the Terry Shiavo case have given the whole idea of social conservatism a bad taste to moderate republicans.

McCain and the Party are trying desperately reinvent their party to make it more appealing before they enter into the battles to come in the general.