Trying To Reason With The Hurricane Season

This post probably means little to those that do not have to deal with the possibility of a hurricane….but down here we take all news very seriously.

As the weekend begins we here on the Gulf Coast are preparing for the beginning of another hurricane season…..and the news is not all that good.

A recordkeeping change has altered expectations for the number of tropical storms in an Atlantic hurricane season. The average number of named tropical storms in a year is now 14, up from an average of 12 before the change, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said. The numbers are based on a 30-year period, NPR reports, and the agency shifted to a new time frame on Friday, effective this season—1991 to 2020 instead of 1981 to 2010. The average for hurricanes is seven, up from six. The average number of Category 3, 4 or 5 hurricanes stays at three, per Axios. The agency made no adjustments for the Pacific Ocean. “These updated averages better reflect our collective experience of the past 10 years, which included some very active hurricane seasons,” said a forecaster for the agency.

At the same time, with average temperatures rising in the US and precipitation becoming more erratic in places, the agency is adjusting what’s considered normal weather. As of next month, NOAA will use the higher temperature baseline of the past 30 years to reflect “normal.” Climate change hasn’t been shown to affect the total number of storms, but hotter water near the ocean surface can bring hurricanes that are more powerful. That’s been the case in the Gulf of Mexico lately. “NOAA scientists have evaluated the impacts of climate change on tropical cyclones,” the forecaster said, “and determined that it can influence storm intensity.” Storms also are being spotted sooner because of improved technology. On Friday, President Biden proposed a $1.4 billion increase in the agency’s budget, up from the current $6.9 billion

Last year we had Hurricane Zeta…100 mph winds….lots of damage…..after Katrina in 2005 we do not need anymore storms to damage this region.

I will update the prediction as the season gets closer…..

As my tradition I close with Jimmy Buffet…..

Be well….be safe….

That 3rd Jab

Yesterday I finally got my first Covid jab.

After my next jab I will be fully inoculated against Covid, right?

Well maybe not so much…..they are issuing a warning that a third shot may be necessary to stay ‘clean’…..

They’re called “breakthrough cases,” and they’re breakthroughs of the unwanted variety. The term refers to people diagnosed with COVID after being fully vaccinated. The CDC has reported its first such count, coming up with 5,800 cases, reports CNN. But maybe the more important stat to keep in mind is that the figure is out of about 77 million people who are fully vaccinated. That means only a fraction of a percentage of vaccinated people are getting sick, note health officials such as Anthony Fauci. Coverage:

  • “You will always see some breakthrough infections no matter the efficacy of your vaccine,” Fauci tells the Wall Street Journal. “Before people get excited about the quantitative number of infections, they need to understand what the denominator is, and we’re going to see breakthroughs in numbers that are going to be well within the 90%, 95%, 97% effectiveness rates of the vaccines.”
  • Of the 5,800 who have gotten sick, about 400 (7%) required hospitalization and 74 died.
  • More than 40% of the breakthrough cases occurred in people older than 60, and 65% involved female patients. About 30% of the cases were asymptomatic.
  • A few factors could explain infections after vaccinations, per the Journal. Older people or those with compromised immune systems might not produce a robust immune response after inoculation; being present at a superspreader event could overwhelm a person’s defenses with a high viral load; or the person might be exposed to a more contagious variant. Even if none of those factors is present, no vaccine is 100% protective.
  • Researchers, though, are still exploring exactly what’s happening. “Is it people in the lower part of the vaccine response mixing with the variants?” Dr. Alexander Greninger of the University of Washington tells NPR. “I think it’s a little bit more—honestly—mysterious.”
  • In an appearance on CNBC, Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla said people will probably need a third shot of the company’s vaccine within 12 months of being fully vaccinated. Annual shots also are a possibility, he adds. It all depends on how the vaccine holds up over time amid new variants.
  • In regard to breakthrough cases in particular, NPR gathers a quote from Dr. Saad Omer of Yale to sum things up. “The bottom line is: It’s expected,” he says. “No need to freak out.”

I want to be safe….but I ask….my first two jabs were free….will the third be as well?

The reason I ask is that the media is hard selling this possibility…is it news or hype?

Is this just a way for Pharma to make a killing from fear?

I am suspicious of the “oh yeah you will need a continue regiment to stay safe”…..

I may be a cynic but it is not like corporations have not been fleecing the population for decades….I use the price of insulin as an example.

Thoughts?

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

Yet Another Mass Shooting

Closing Thought–16Apr21

A headline that is all too familiar these days….and yet the American people seem to care less about this violence…..

This time the moron with a gun is in Indiana…..

Police say at least eight people were killed in a mass shooting late Thursday night at a FedEx warehouse in Indianapolis. Indianapolis Metropolitan Police Department spokesperson Genae Cook says multiple other victims were hospitalized, the Indianapolis Star reports. Police believe the gunman killed himself, the AP reports. Cook says police found an “active shooter incident” with multiple gunshot victims when they were called to the scene just after 11pm.

 

Interstate 70 was briefly closed in both directions near the incident, which took place near Indianapolis International Airport on the city’s southwest side. “Safety is our top priority, and our thoughts are with all those who are affected,” a FedEx spokesman tells CNN. The New York Times reports that more than 100 people who have not been able to contact loved ones have gathered at a hotel near the facility and are being assisted by representatives of the police chaplain’s office.

I am sure that someone will offer up “thoughts and prayers”

Thoughts and prayers my ass.

What has this ever done to help stop these incidents?

The answer is easy….NOT A GODDAMN THING!

When will the American people wake up to the illness that is raging in this country?

If few care this will be an ever expanding problem that so many politicians are afraid to address……and with inaction more people will die and be injured by an idiot with a gun

Please do not offer thoughts and prayers….that is as damn disingenuous as it comes.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

A Change For SCOTUS?

The referee of this republic is the Supreme Court…..they interpret and set laws for the nation. As it is today it is where ideologues go to push a certain set of principles….no longer are these 9 judges an independent and impartial umpire for the laws of this country.

There has been a movement for the expansion of the court from 9 judges to 13. The Dems are offering up this bill…but will it ever see the light of day?

President Biden signed an executive order to set up a commission dedicated to studying possible reforms to the Supreme Court, including an increase in the number of justices on the bench. Congressional Democrats, however, aren’t waiting for the results of the panel’s report due out in six months, instead moving to introduce legislation Thursday on expansion of the court. The bill, led by Sen. Ed Markey and Rep. Jerry Nadler, proposes upping the number of Supreme Court justices from nine to 13—a move that can only be carried out via an act of Congress. The legislation is a reaction to what NBC News calls “an undercurrent of progressive fury” after then-President Obama nominated Merrick Garland in March 2016 to fill Antonin Scalia’s spot after the latter had died, and Mitch McConnell, then the GOP Senate majority leader, denied a vote on Garland.

McConnell’s reasoning: It was an election year, and he felt the incoming president should be the one to fill Scalia’s slot, which Trump nominee Neil Gorsuch eventually took. Democrats’ anger was further stoked when Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg died in September and the GOP swept Amy Coney Barrett onto the bench just days before the 2020 election. “This bill marks a new era where Democrats finally stop conceding the Supreme Court to Republicans,” political activist Brian Fallon says, per NBC News. The Intercept notes that the number of seats on the court bounced around earlier on in US history, going up to 10 before falling back to nine in 1869, where it’s stayed since. NBC and Vox note the bill is unlikely to become law in the near future, with the GOP pushing back hard against it as a radical move. Biden himself has wavered on fully supporting such an expansion, though he hopes to receive some clarity from his newly formed commission.

Personally I do not see how the rise to 13 would change anything at all on the court.  And yes I have an idea on this as well and I let my thoughts be known here on IST……https://lobotero.com/2020/09/25/i-have-lots-to-say-about-scotus/

But none of these changes will occur,,,,the Senate will make sure that nothing is done to change the make-up of the Supreme Court.

While change needs to happen with SCOTUS but this bill will not change anything but the number of judges…..the partisan BS will continue.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

Chamber Of Commerce Voter Suppression

There has been a wealth of citizens that have come out in favor of the voting rights bill in Congress, HR1, and yet as popular as it may be the corporations are in opposition…..but why would they care?

The Chamber of Commerce has issued a strong letter of opposition…..

This is the letter the Chamber has issued…..these are the points that they take exception with….

There are many other aspects of H.R. 1 that are extremely problematic. To highlight just a few:

  • H.R. 1 would fundamentally transform the FEC from a non-partisan agency comprised of three commissioners from each party into an overtly partisan enforcement tool controlled by a majority of commissioners from the political party then in power.
  • H.R. 1 would deem communication by corporations, including associations, to be “coordinated” and thereby prohibited if the organization has even the most innocuous and tenuous of connections with a candidate. For example, a meeting with an elected official to discuss a policy issue, an organizational employee who was previously employed by the elected official or candidate in any capacity, or a common vendor with a candidate would all have the practical effect of prohibiting corporations, including associations, from engaging in the political process.
  • H.R. 1 would also usher in a host of onerous disclaimer requirements for those engaging in communications that mention a candidate or elected official, even if those communications are related to legislative issues.
  • H.R. 1 would give taxpayer funds to political campaigns by allowing Americans to opt-into having their political donations matched by the federal government. Taxpayer money should be used to support projects like infrastructure initiatives and education programs and not political campaigns.

https://www.uschamber.com/letters-congress/us-chamber-key-vote-letter-opposing-hr-1-the-people-act

HR1 includes these points…..

This bill addresses voter access, election integrity and security, campaign finance, and ethics for the three branches of government.

Specifically, the bill expands voter registration (e.g., automatic and same-day registration) and voting access (e.g., vote-by-mail and early voting). It also limits removing voters from voter rolls.

The bill requires states to establish independent redistricting commissions to carry out congressional redistricting.

Additionally, the bill sets forth provisions related to election security, including sharing intelligence information with state election officials, supporting states in securing their election systems, developing a national strategy to protect U.S. democratic institutions, establishing in the legislative branch the National Commission to Protect United States Democratic Institutions, and other provisions to improve the cybersecurity of election systems.

Further, the bill addresses campaign finance, including by expanding the prohibition on campaign spending by foreign nationals, requiring additional disclosure of campaign-related fundraising and spending, requiring additional disclaimers regarding certain political advertising, and establishing an alternative campaign funding system for certain federal offices.

The bill addresses ethics in all three branches of government, including by requiring a code of conduct for Supreme Court Justices, prohibiting Members of the House from serving on the board of a for-profit entity, and establishing additional conflict-of-interest and ethics provisions for federal employees and the White House.

The bill requires the President, the Vice President, and certain candidates for those offices to disclose 10 years of tax returns.

If you are a political geek and would like to read the bill for yourself before you comment then here is the pdf for you to read…..all 791 pages!

Click to access BILLS-117hr1ih.pdf

Interesting that the most opposition comes from corporate America and its paid goons in Congress.

Be Smart!

Learn Stuff!

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

New 06 January Riot Report

Lots has been written and reported about the breach of the Capitol by the rabid mob of overweight in-bred Trump supporters…..and the reports are not finished…..a new one of the policing of the crowd has been released….

For me this report is disturbing on several levels….

A new report from the Capitol Police force’s internal investigator says that even though the force had advance warnings about the Jan. 6 riot at the US Capitol, officers were told not to use their most powerful tools for crowd-control. The New York Times calls the watchdog report “the most devastating account to date of the lapses and miscalculations” surrounding the attack. The 104-page document from inspector general Michael A. Bolton will be addressed during a House Administration Committee hearing Thursday. It reveals that the Civil Disturbance Unit was instructed not to use tools like stun grenades to disperse the mob. Per NPR, it also reports they received “cumbersome” protective gear and riot shields that shattered upon impact due to having been stored improperly or simply being too old.

This despite the fact that, as the report reveals, the warnings in the lead-up to Jan. 6 were more clear than previously thought. “Unlike previous postelection protests, the targets of the pro-Trump supporters are not necessarily the counterprotesters as they were previously, but rather Congress itself is the target on the 6th,” a threat assessment sent three days before the siege read. Yet, the report says, officers were woefully ill-prepared to handle the attack due to intelligence breakdowns and discrepancies and poor leadership decisions. In addition, some members of the CDU had not undergone the mandatory annual training in years, and some critical equipment was in short supply.

Let me get this right…..

There were a handful of DC police on hand for a mob of thousands….and for a group of black protesters there is hundreds of cops and national guard…..is that equal response?

Don’t give me the excuse about some vandalism possibilities…..what do you think those overweight in-bred morons did to the Capitol?

Once again we see the inequality in this nation.

What will it take for this country to start waking up to the cancer of bigotry that is creeping slowly through our society and destroying piece by piece the very fabric of this nation?

I wanted to give my readers the pdf of the document but since it is restricted the best I can do is a short pdf for them to read….

Click to access HHRG-117-HA00-Wstate-BoltonM-20210415-SD003.pdf

Read the 4 pages carefully and then look at other protests and then tell me what you see.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

Closing Thought–15Apr21

I have written many times about the suicide rates within our military and veterans……

Suicides

…..and the news from 2020 is NOT at all encouraging even after the Pentagon has tried with a outreach program…..

The number of deaths by suicide among military service members increased alarmingly in the fourth quarter of 2020, according to the Defense Department’s latest quarterly report.

The military recorded 156 deaths by suicide among all services, including active-duty, National Guard and Reserve troops, from Oct. 1 to Dec. 31 last year. That is a 25% increase from the 125 such deaths that occurred in the last quarter of calendar year 2019.

The bulk of the increase came among Guard troops, who saw such deaths increase from 14 in the fourth quarter of 2019 to 39 in 2020. Deaths by suicide among reservists increased by seven, from 11 to 18, over the year. Suicide deaths among active-duty troops actually dropped slightly, from 100 to 99.

https://www.military.com/daily-news/2021/04/05/military-deaths-suicide-jumped-25-end-of-2020.html

There is a problem and the Pentagon needs to spend more time working on the cause and solution than it does trying to build a better mouse trap for more war.

This news is unacceptable and pathetic.

The Pentagon is treating our troops like a tool that is broken….throw them away and get a new one to replace it.

Why does it seem that no one gives a sh*t about this rising problem?

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

From The ‘Can’t Fix Stupid’ Files

By now we all have heard of the attempts to suppress the vote in many Red States…..Georgia has one of the most restrictive….it even includes a portion that bans anyone from giving food or water to people waiting in the hot Southern sun…..

But wait the Georgia governor has made another ‘stupid’ statement about this portion of the restrict state law……

The GOP governor then responded to criticism of the law’s provision limiting the distribution of food and water at polling stations, confirming that polling centers can still provide refreshments and that people can bring their own food and water with them.

“They can order a pizza. They can order Grubhub or Uber Eats. The county officials can provide water stations,” he said, adding that the restriction on handing out food and water “is just within 150 feet of the precinct.”

“If you’re 151 feet, campaigns can set up tables, food trucks, they can hand out flyers, put up signs,” he continued. “This has been the case in Georgia for a long time and many, many other states.”

Several social media users condemned Kemp for suggesting that voters order food, with some saying that the statement was “tone deaf,” as many people may not be able to afford food delivery services. 

(thehill.com)

He is trying to walk back a restrict and unfair law….and illustrates just how much of political hacks they truly are.

These morons just cannot help being stupid…..and are prime examples of the statement that you “can’t fix stupid”…..

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

 

Armed Camps

This was not too popular on my op-ed blog, Gulf South Free Press, so I decided to re-blog it here…..just my thoughts of what I see with the people and their love of guns…..this is becoming a slow acting cancer that will eventually enter into stage 4……chuq

Gulf South Free Press

These days with all the ease to obtain guns even assault weapons the US is becoming an armed camp….it is becoming ‘us against them’ once again.

While the debate over gun rights rages….the population is quietly arming themselves…..not sure why other than some delusional bullsh*t.

For years now the militias like the Oath Keepers and so many more have been gaining members and arming themselves for the coming fight with the government.

If you are not sure just what these militia groups want or stand for then maybe this will help a bit….https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_militia_movement

I remember back in the 60s when the Black Panthers were photographic with guns the press and country lost their minds.

Mapping the Black Panther Party - Mapping American Social Movements

There was a concern that there would soon be a ‘race war’ in the US and of course the whites started arming themselves in case there needed to be a response to the coming race war….a…

View original post 503 more words

They’re Coming Home!

Finally after years of my bitching and ranting like me and others about our endless wars….one of them may be ending…..Afghanistan……..

President Biden confirmed Wednesday that he will not be taking the Afghanistan war into its third decade. “It’s time to end the forever war,” he said in a speech from the Treaty Room of the White House, which CNN notes is the same room in which George W. Bush announced the start of US military involvement in Afghanistan after the 9/11 attacks almost 20 years ago. “War in Afghanistan was never meant to be a multigenerational undertaking,” Biden said, per the New York Times. “We were attacked. We went to war with clear goals. We achieved those objectives.” Biden plans to withdraw all US troops by Sept. 11 this year. Around 2,500 US troops are left in the country. NATO officials said after Biden’s speech that the alliance plans to withdraw its 7,000 troops from the country along the same timeline.

Biden said it was time to “end the cycle” of extending the American presence in the hope of creating better conditions to pull out. “I am now the fourth American president to preside over an American troop presence in Afghanistan. Two Republicans. Two Democrats,” he said. “I will not pass this responsibility to a fifth.” Unlike the deal Donald Trump negotiated with the Taliban last year, Biden’s withdrawal plan is not conditions-based, officials say. Biden said he spoke with George W. Bush and Barack Obama before announcing the decision. After the speech, Biden visited Arlington National Cemetery and said it was “absolutely clear” to him that withdrawing from Afghanistan was the right move, the AP reports.

“Never meant to be a multi-generational war”….if not then why was it?

They say (whoever they are) that the American people are tired of war,,,,,,then where were those voices?  I have heard very little opposition to war.

I know why….but I will pretend that this was good faith by Biden.

Good news our troops are coming home to their families (for now)…..but maybe not ALL our troops….

The Times report reads: “Instead of declared troops in Afghanistan, the United States will most likely rely on a shadowy combination of clandestine Special Operations forces, Pentagon contractors and covert intelligence operatives to find and attack the most dangerous Qaeda or Islamic State threats, current and former American officials said.”

I applaud Biden for this action….but there is a caveat here…..

They are coming home because the Pentagon is gearing up for the confrontation of China in the China Sea.

This is excellent news on the one hand and disturbing on the other.

Please stop this ‘gunboat diplomacy’ BS (explanation in a future post).

Be Smart!

Learn Stuff!

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”