Daily we see the media report on the polling numbers….Trump ahead by 2%…..then Harris ahead by 4….and then the two candidates are in a dead heat in some swing states….and on and on….
These polls are never very accurate they are at best a snapshot of the day that are taken or even worse they are not accurate because people will say anything to get off the phone.
I have never made my decision on who to vote for by poll numbers and neither should anyone else.
The commercials seem wall-to-wall, the media coverage is intense, and the pressure—not just on the presidential candidates—is building. And the nation has more than three weeks of this left. Ezra Klein suggests one way Americans can ease their stress is by ignoring the polls. They’re not going to tell us which candidate will win anyway, Klein writes in an opinion piece in the New York Times. The polls could be more accurate than they have been in the past couple of elections and still be off by 2 percentage points in battleground states. “That would be consistent with Harris winning every swing state,” Klein writes. “It would also be consistent with Trump winning every swing state.”
That’s not overstating the indecision in the Kamala Harris-Donald Trump race, Klein says, pointing out that Nate Silver’s model calls the most likely result “Harris sweeping all seven swing states. And the next most likely is Trump sweeping all seven.” Pollsters are taking steps to avoid the mistakes in previous elections, but there are problems with those measures, too. There are undecided voters even now, and there are voters who have decided but won’t cast ballots. Events that appear to be major losses or victories for Trump or Harris barely budge them in polls. America will have its answer soon, but Klein says it won’t come from the polls.
Klein’s column can be found here.
Please look over the candidate and vote for the one that best describes what you want for this country….polls are just numbers that can be tweaked to say whatever it is the pollsters want them to say…..so it depends on who is asking the questions.
Vote for the best person that will serve the US….not a bunch of worthless numbers and stats.
I Read, I Write, You Know
“lego ergo scribo”
Polls can be made to say anything those who originate and control them want them to say so polls actually become nothing more than instruments of propaganda where those who are conducting them wish to influence outcomes. Polls, therefore are a waste of time and actually reflect nothing but certain select biases.
Yep that was the point I was making. chuq
I have never taken any notice of polls when it comes to my own voting intentions. And I remember the polls in America in 2016 forecasting an ‘easy win’ for Clinton against Trump. We all know what happened after that.
Best wishes, Pete.
I write about them but seldom put any weight to their findings….they are consistently wrong. chuq