Trumponomics

Well we have an official ticket for the GOP, Trump/Vance, and now they will set about doing what they must to win in November….a good place to look is their economic policies or we could call it Trumponomics…..the prevailing thought is Americans will vote with their wallets this time around.

Then let us look at Trump’s policies…..

The odds of a second Donald Trump presidency are mounting in the wake of a failed assassination attempt and his strong debate performance, with Wall Street preparing for the possibility of sticky inflation, protectionist trade policies, and higher long-term bond yields

https://seekingalpha.com/news/4124846-trumponomics-what-trump-would-do-if-he-wins-presidential-election

Now that you have a good look at their upcoming policies….what will it mean for the markets?

Economic populism has transmuted the Republican Party, and that new version of the GOP has just gone from one standard bearer to two.

Donald Trump’s choice of J.D. Vance as his running mate suggests he is leaning harder into the economic policy instincts that helped land him his first term in 2016 and that he no longer feels the need to placate the type of free-market conservatives who have dominated the party for decades.

The former president’s views on tariffs, spending and immigration were no doubt a key ingredient to his electoral success in 2016. But he chose Mike Pence as his vice president for that race — a candidate with more traditionally conservative free-market viewpoints.

Few Republicans have been more vocally critical of the party’s modern economic conventions than Vance, who has embraced not just tariffs, but also policies like a higher minimum wage and increased barriers to corporate mergers — even openly praising President Joe Biden’s aggressive antitrust chief, Lina Khan.

He is uninterested in traditional small-government priorities.

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/07/16/the-trump-vance-ticket-is-a-repudiation-of-free-market-conservatism-00168578

What about prices?

Tariffs, one of Trump’s only consistent enthusiasms, are a sure thing. Starting in 2018, his administration imposed several rounds of duties, prompting predictable retaliation. Combined, these measures eliminated jobs, slashed incomes and cost consumers about $51 billion annually. Now Trump wants to impose tariffs of 60% on Chinese-made products and 10% on other imports. Bloomberg Economics estimates that this would raise consumer prices by 2.5% over two years and reduce growth by 0.5%. Trump has also promised a 100% duty on imported cars. Details TBD — one analyst describes the likely effect as “catastrophic” — but the point is that trade wars of this kind are always prone to raising prices.

Prices will most likely rise and so will inflation….so just how does he plan to end our ‘inflation nightmare’?

Former President Donald Trump is campaigning on a pledge to end the “inflation nightmare,” vowing that if he wins a second term, he’ll bring down prices “very quickly.” And if that scenario came to pass, it would be cheered by the millions of Americans who say higher costs remain a major problem.

There’s only one problem: Key policies that undergird so-called Trumponomics — a combination of tariffs, tax cuts and a crackdown on immigration — are likely to cause a flare-up in inflation, according to many Wall Street economists. That would be a painful outcome for consumers and businesses sapped by more than two years of surging prices. More broadly, renewed inflationary pressures would also come as inflation is finally inching closer to the Federal Reserve’s goal of 2% per year. 

But experts warn that Trump’s economic policies could cause such progress to stall, and even reverse. They note that tariffs effectively act as a consumption tax, increasing the cost of goods imported into the U.S. — costs that businesses typically pass on to consumers. 

(cbsnews.com)

If one would just look at these plans and stop kissing Trump’s ass they would see that his proposals will only hurt them in the long run…..a vote for Trumponomics is shooting oneself in the foot….and there has been too much of that in the last decade.

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Kamala Harris: A Cheat Sheet

We have a presumptive Dem nominee and voters need to look at her from all angles….I can help.

Not much is known a Harris by the average voter….she was from California, was a lawyer and then vice president…..beyond that not much is known….I decided to try and educate the readers about her life and skills and since I am having limited time to research this I found a good summation of her life and skills in the Guardian…..

Let us start with her name….

After Kamala Harris was named as Joe Biden’s running mate in August 2020, Donald Trump said she was “totally unlikable” and a communist; he twice called her “this monster”. While “monster” is a dehumanising term, the pronoun flags what seems to me to be a racist subtext: not “amonster, but “this” thing we have all agreed is a monster.

But he also strategically mispronounced her name, elongating the middle “A” to make it sound more foreign. It’s important, therefore, not to get it wrong by accident. It doesn’t rhyme with Pamela; it doesn’t sound like Tony Soprano’s wife. For Americans, it’s “comma” with a “la” at the end and the stress on the first syllable. In Britain, it depends on your accent, but it sounds like “kaw-ma-la” or “karma-la”. The video below from Harris’s 2016 Senate campaign shows children demonstrating the correct pronunciation.

(there is more…..read and learn)

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/jul/22/kamala-harris-cheat-sheet-19-things-to-know-woman-might-be-president

Since one of the pressing topics during this election will be climate change….I thought a look at Harris and her stance….

As vice president, Harris argued for the allocation of $20 billion for the Environmental Protection Agency’s Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund, aimed at aiding disadvantaged communities facing climate impacts, and frequently promoted the IRA at events, touting the bill’s investments in clean energy jobs, including installation of energy-efficient lighting, and replacing gas furnaces with electric heat pumps. She was also the highest-ranking US official to attend the international climate talks at COP28 in Dubai last year, where she announced a US commitment to double energy efficiency and triple renewable energy capacity by 2030. At that same conference, Harris announced a $3 billion commitment to the Green Climate Fund to help developing nations adapt to climate challenges, although Politico reported that the sum was “subject to the availability of funds,” according to the Treasury Department.

As a presidential candidate in 2019, Harris proposed a $10 trillion climate plan to achieve carbon neutrality by 2045 on the campaign trail, including 100-percent carbon-neutral electricity by 2030. Under the plan, 50 percent of new vehicles sold would be zero-emission by 2030; and 100 percent of cars by 2035. But that proposal, like similarly ambitious climate change proposals released by other Democrats during that election cycle, was nothing more than a campaign wishlist. A better indicator of what her plans for climate change as president would look like — better, even, than her record as vice president, as much of her agenda was set by the Biden administration — could be buried in her record as San Francisco’s district attorney from 2004 to 2011 and as California’s attorney general from 2011 to 2017.

(vox.com)

Will she still be a staunch supporter of green energy?  After election will tell the tale.

There is more on her stands….

Harris’s career in public life is well-documented, beginning as San Francisco District Attorney in 2004. She has long been a centrist, though she veered into more progressive territory during the 2020 campaign, endorsing Medicare for All and the Green New Deal, a comprehensive policy measure devised by progressive leaders aimed at tackling the climate crisis. Biden’s campaign wouldn’t align with the progressive movement on those issues, but offered robust climate proposals as part of his marquee policy agenda, the Inflation Reduction Act, which was passed by Congress in 2022. 

On health care, Biden often speaks proudly of the Affordable Care Act, passed when he was Vice President under Barack Obama. Throughout his first term as President, Biden has talked about improving access to Medicare, but stopped well short of endorsing anything close to a single-payer health care system. 

On foreign policy, Biden is an adherent of 20th century America’s often self-imposed role of global mediator. Since October 7, 2023, he’s been unflinching in his support for Israel’s military operations in Gaza, despite widespread outcry over the death toll of Palestinian civilians in the region. Biden has often reinforced the importance of strengthening international alliances, namely the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, which Trump disparages as a so-called globalist money-pit. Harris is pro-NATO, like the vast majority of mainstream politicians.

(inc.com)

She appears to be a bit progressive but that could all change once the nomination is hers and the donors start calling the shots.

But so far so good in my book…..she will be in my process.

The big story is the speculation who she will pick to be her running mate…..my prediction is….some generic white guy with no baggage.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”