Should He Go Or Should He Stay?

Since the debate a few days ago there has been a wealth of ink passed around on whether Biden should step aside or should he stay the course for November.

I have made my thoughts known….I think he should step aside but then I have never been a supporter of Biden so my thoughts are my own and in no way is acceptable to most people.

Biden has made it clear that no one is pushing him out….win or lose.

A flurry of new developments on the President Biden front:

  • New poll: A well-regarded poll has bad news for the president in the wake of last week’s debate, reports the Hill. The New York Times/Sienna College poll has Donald Trump up 49% to 43% among likely voters, up 3 percentage points from a week ago, before the debate. Among registered voters, his lead is even bigger, 8 points.
  • Defiant: In a call with all staffers on his campaign team, Biden sounded a defiant note Wednesday. “Let me say this as clearly as I possibly can and as simply and straightforward as I can: I am running,” he said, per CNN. “I’m the nominee of the Democratic Party. No one’s pushing me out.” Press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said Wednesday that Biden is “absolutely not” considering bowing out, adding that he “understands that it is fair for people to ask that question.”
  • Acknowledgment: Despite the show of bravado, both the New York Times and CNN report that Biden confided to an unnamed ally that the next week or so is critical in determining whether he can stay in the race. It’s seen as the first acknowledgement by Biden to surface publicly that he might not be the nominee. Biden has an interview with ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on Friday, in addition to campaign stops in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
  • High-profile lunch: Biden ate lunch with Vice President Kamala Harris on Wednesday, who is seen as the top contender to replace him as nominee should he drop out. Jean-Pierre cautioned against reading too much into that, reports the BBC, saying they regularly have lunch.
  • Another dent: The editorial page of the Boston Globe called on Biden to leave the race, notes Politico. It’s the latest big newspaper to do so, with the New York Times also on that list.

He does not care what would be best for the country he just wants to keep the spot on the throne room.

Nate Silver, a person that looks at the numbers and trends thinks it is time to go….

“You don’t need another pundit telling you that [President] Biden should quit the race,” writes stats guru Nate Silver in the New York Times. Instead, Silver suggests Democrats listen to what the polls are saying—and they are saying Biden should quit the race, he writes. Silver isn’t talking about post-debate polls. He cites “remarkably consistent” data from polls showing that Democratic candidates for Congress in swing states outperform Biden, and Silver sees this as a “silver lining” for the party. “Voters in these polls like Democratic candidates for Congress just fine. More than fine, actually: It’s Mr. Biden who is the problem.” In short, Biden was in trouble before the debate—Silver had him with a 35% chance of winning—and now he’s in even deeper trouble.

What to do? Silver suggests Democrats stage a truncated nomination process, maybe with two or three debates coupled with straw polls across the country to give delegates at the convention enough information to pick a plausible substitute. (Silver personally would lean toward a swing-state winner such as Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer or Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro.) But above all, Democrats must do something, he writes. “Poker players like me … understand the importance of working with incomplete information,” he writes. “And they understand that sometimes doing nothing is the riskiest plan of all.”

Read the full column.

Some good ideas but time is draw nigh and it will be too late to make any changes and still have any hope of winning in November.

Keep in mind that Silver projected Trump win in 2016 and Biden win in 2020….so he has a track record.

Something needs to change for Biden is looking weaker and weaker both in the polls and physically.  (One report says Biden’s lapses appear to have gotten worse in recent weeks.) 

Now there is a growing number of Dems that are looking at VP Harris in case Biden takes a powder….

President Biden’s bid to prove he should not withdraw from the 2024 race gets a major test Friday night when his interview with George Stephanopoulos airs on ABC. Simply put, it’s “the biggest interview of Joe Biden’s life,” as laid out by the Politico Playbook. Even if the president nails it, however, the talk of VP Kamala Harris replacing him as the nominee is in full throttle.

  • On Harris: A “widening group of leading party officials” already has moved beyond the question of whether Harris should replace Biden to who her running mate should be, reports CNN. For the record, the story mentions North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper and Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear as in the top tier, with others including Govs. Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania, JB Pritzker of Illinois, and Tim Walz of Minnesota.
  • The Shift: At New York magazine, Gabriel Debenedetti writes that “among Harris’s longtime donors, supportive professional Democrats, and friends, there is a growing sense of nervous anticipation alongside a hardening belief that her elevation to the top of the ticket is increasingly probable.” The story tracks how this shift occurred in the days after the debate. Harris herself and her closest aides have been careful to stay mum, even in an off-the-record sense, offering not “even any teeny, implicit hint of receptiveness.”
  • Trump: Axios (which previously laid out why Harris would be the near-certain replacement to Biden should he withdraw) looks ahead to how Donald Trump would go after her. “He’d argue Harris is too liberal, too hostile to business and secure borders, and too inexperienced, weak and phony to be president,” per the analysis. On the other hand, her relatively young age of 59 would flip the narrative of which party has a president too old to assume office.
  • Blunder? In the Atlantic, Elaina Plott Calabro takes Biden and the White House to task for a broken promise. What’s happening now “is precisely the sort of moment that the 81-year-old Biden had once professed to anticipate, or at the very least to be ready for: when, after assessing soberly the diminishing returns of his leadership, he would stand aside for a new generation,” she writes. “But if you believe Biden ever took seriously that it could come to this, that he would be pressured to cede his party’s leadership to her, then I have a bridge to sell you in Wilmington.” In the end, Biden’s best promotion of Harris was an “inadvertent” one—his disastrous debate performance.
  • Donors: In a story not explicitly pegged to Harris, the New York Times reports that “many wealthy Democratic donors” have begun waging their own efforts to pressure Biden to withdraw. Some are threatening to withhold future contributions unless Biden steps down—including a Disney heir—and others are planning to direct their money to down-ballot candidates should he remain in the race. The moves “expose a remarkable and growing rift between the party’s contributor class and its standard-bearer,” per the Times.

I am not a fan of Harris so my thought is that it would be a mistake to run Harris….might as well stick with Biden.

The clock is ticking on a decision….one way or the other.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

 

Your Vote–Something To Think About

This is a re-post from my friend John and his points are valid and should be considered before you vote in November.

Read it!

Why I Believe Former President Trump Will Win in 2024, and the Consequences if He Doesn’t (Opinion Editorial)

It is time for Americans to start thinking about the nation and stop all this stupidity of personalities.

If you want this nation to return to the days of glory then for god sake think before you cast that vote.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

An Excuse Has Been Given

Israel is trying (not very effectively) to end its carnage of Gaza and in doing so all eyes turn to Lebanon….

Does Israel plan to invade in the same fashion as it did with Gaza?

What do you think?

The German newspaper Bild reported on Monday that Israel is planning to invade Lebanon in the second half of July as Israeli forces and Hezbollah continue to trade fire across the border.

The report, which cited diplomatic sources, said Israel would launch the assault unless Hezbollah stopped firing on northern Israel. But Israeli officials have made clear that’s not enough for them as they are demanding Hezbollah withdraw from the border to areas beyond the Litani River.

The Litani River is about 18 miles north of the Israel-Lebanon border, and Israel has said a Hezbollah withdrawal from the area is necessary for Israelis who have evacuated from northern Israel to return to their homes.

Hezbollah’s position is that it won’t stop firing on northern Israel unless there is a ceasefire in Gaza, while Israeli officials have threatened to escalate in Lebanon if they reach a truce with Hamas.

The US claims it’s working hard to prevent an escalation in Lebanon but has conveyed it would support Israel in the event of an invasion. The US deployed an amphibious assault ship to the region last week to show support for Israel in the stand-off and prepare for potential evacuations of Americans from Lebanon.

Israeli media has reported that the Israeli military likely couldn’t handle opening a second front in Lebanon while maintaining military operations in Gaza, which suggests Israel could be looking for strong support from the US for the war in the north.

(antiwar.com)

When this goes about becoming reality will the US stand by for more carnage?

Of course they will for they are paid to CYA for Israel.

While meeting with top Lebanese officials last week, President Biden’s envoy warned Beirut that Washington could not stop Tel Aviv from ramping up its military operations in southern Lebanon. The White House is concerned that the tit-for-tat exchanges across the Israel-Lebanon border will soon escalate to a full-scale war.

During a trip to the Middle East last week, President Biden’s deputy Amos Hochstein told Lebanese leaders that Washington would be unable to constrain Tel Aviv. According to Axios, Hochstein warned, “The US won’t be able to hold Israel back if the situation on the border continues to escalate and that Hezbollah needs to indirectly negotiate with Israel instead of ratcheting up tensions.”

Hezbollah responded to the message by informing the US that it was prepared for a fight with Israel.

During a trip to Washington this week, Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant met with Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin and Secretary of State Antony Blinken. Both American officials attempted to push Tel Aviv to avoid escalation along its northern border.

On Monday, Blinken met with Gallant and promised that the US would aid Israel’s military. “He also underscored the importance of avoiding further escalation of the conflict and reaching a diplomatic resolution that allows both Israeli and Lebanese families to return to their homes,” a State Department press release said. “Secretary Blinken reaffirmed the United States’ ironclad commitment to Israel’s security.”

(antiwar.com)

And there is the excuse for all Israel’s carnage….security.

Now they have an excuse to work with to justify another invasion of Lebanon….

Yesterday, an Israeli attack on the southern Lebanese city of Tyre killed a Hezbollah commander named Mohammed Naameh Nasser. Nasser was reportedly the head of the Aziz Unit, one of three units of Hezbollah forces along the southern border with Israel.

Hezbollah responded by firing over 200 rockets against northern Israel, targeting military sites, including the occupied Golan Heights. Israel reported that a number of the rockets, and an estimated 10 drones, were intercepted.

According to Israeli officials, one IDF reservist was killed.   The strikes set several fires, which Israeli forces are still trying to get under control.

Both Israel and Hezbollah have been exchanging fire at increasing rates since October, fueling concerns that the situation will erupt into a full-scale Israeli invasion of southern Lebanon.

Reports are now circulating that Israel is planning to start an invasion in the latter half of July. This should be taken with a grain of salt, as previous reports appeared warning of a Lebanese war starting in mid-June as well as in the early spring.

What is clear is that both sides are escalating, and the danger of launching a serious war remains substantial. The international community continues to try to engage in talks to prevent the war, warning Israel that it is ill-prepared to fight a war on a second front while the Gaza War continues to rage.

(antiwar.com)

Here we go again.

Israel has about 2 weeks to clean up operations in Gaza and ready for the trip into Southern Lebanon.

The clock is ticking.

Ain’t war grand?

But let us not forget the silent invasion of the West Bank….silent because not much of it makes it to the MSM….

The issue of Israel’s creeping annexation of the West Bank has resurfaced in recent days after a leaked recording of Israel’s finance minister Bezalel Smotrich revealed a “dramatic” plan to impose permanent Israeli control over the West Bank “without the government being accused of annexing it,” as Smotrich was recorded saying.

Smotrich’s statements, recorded by the Peace Now Israeli NGO and published by CNN and the New York Times, were made during a speech he gave to settler leaders earlier in June. Smotrich was recorded saying that he had elaborated a plan in the past year and a half and exposed it to Israel’s Prime Minister Netanyahu, who was “fully onboard.”

The plan centers around transferring administrative authorities in the West Bank from the Israeli army to the civil authorities of the Israeli government. Smotrich said that he oversaw the creation of an entire administrative body directly linked to the government and that members of this body were already embedded in the Israeli army’s Civil Administration.

Israel’s leaked plan for annexing the West Bank, explained

Armed thugs affectionately called ‘settlers’ have been terrorizing the farmers and land owners of the West Bank for decades, destroying crops and houses, intimating the population and no one cares….especially the Israeli authorities that look the other way and even assist these barbarous douche bags in the crime spree.

I would say the Israeli bribes of our government officials has done their job well.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”