Recently I wrote a post about 2 independents in the 2024 election, West and RFK,Jr, and most of the comments were about spoilers that would hand the election to Trump for they would take away from Biden’s small lead….
I replied that since RFK is an anti-vaxxer among other silliness that he might draw votes away from Trump….and now the news is in…..
When Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced last week that he was dropping out of the Democratic race to run for president as an independent, some analysts said his run could be more of a problem for President Biden than former President Trump. The latest NPR/PBS Newshour/Marist poll, however, suggests that Kennedy could take enough votes away from Trump to ensure a Biden victory. The poll put Biden at 49% and Trump at 46% in a hypothetical head-to-head. But when pollsters put Kennedy in the mix, Biden’s lead grew to 7 points, with the president at 44%, Trump at 37%, and Kennedy at 16%.
Pollsters found that independent voters split almost evenly among the three candidates, while Kennedy’s inclusion caused Biden’s support to dip by 5% among Democrats and Trump’s by 10% among Republicans. “Although it’s always tricky to assess the impact of a third-party candidate, right now Kennedy alters the equation in Biden’s favor,” says Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “What this does speak to, however, is that about one in six voters are looking for another option, especially independents.” Multiple other polls have found that Kennedy has a higher approval rating among Republicans than Democrats, Axios reports.
If this occurs then both parties will have something to whine about when the voter exercises their freedom of choice.
Will independents really make a difference?
I hope everyone has a great weekend….and as always….be well and be safe.
I Read, I Write, You Know
“lego ergo scribo”