A few weeks back one of the big stories was that the birth rate in the US is declining for yet another year.
And right on cue all the speculation for this was put into action.
But really what is the reason for this decline.
Personally I think it is nothing but fear on the part of potential parents.
There has been a lot of buzz in the media over the last few years around declining population growth — people aren’t having as many babies as they used to, especially in the United States. The birth rate in the U.S. has indeed been in steady decline since around 2007. Spurred by the Great Recession of 2008-2010, the birth dropped to 1.71 in 2019, the lowest since the 1970s. And although it’s gone up since then, the birth rate has remained relatively low.
Alongside the decline in birth rate has come widespread speculation that a population collapse is looming on the horizon, which could result in economic upheaval — and, if you’re prone to flights of whimsy, a Mad Max meets the Wild West-style dystopian future.
According to a new study, however, the plummeting U.S. birth rate is not because people want to have fewer children than their parents and grandparents did; it’s likely that they’re scared to have any kids at all. In case you haven’t been paying attention, things aren’t great for parents in the U.S., and many people of child-bearing age are playing it safe and waiting to see if conditions improve before having a baby.
“It’s hard to have children in the United States right now,” said study co-author Sarah Hayford, director of Ohio State University’s Institute for Population Research. “People feel more worried about the future than they might have been several decades ago. They worry about the economy, child care, and whether they can afford to have children.”
Hayford’s team asked 13 cohorts of women and ten cohorts of men born between the 1960s and 2000s about the number of children they would like to have. The average number they reported was not dramatically different compared to the number of children people in previous generations wanted. Hayford’s study groups reported wanting 2.1 children, compared to 2.2 children in the early 1960s.
Good points but I feel it is deeper than that….how about you?
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6 thoughts on “Closing Thought–30Jan23”
Given your mainly private healthcare system, it is no surprise to me that the birthrate is falling there. I cannot even imagine the cost of a normal hospital birth in America. Make it free of charge, and you will see an immediate increase, I’m sure.
Best wishes, Pete.
The average is so they say is $5000 under normal circumstances…..it should be free, IMO chuq
If they charged £5,000 for a baby here, our population would be under 50 million, and falling. (Abortions would increase 100% too.)
Yet our population continues to grow.
do you really blame people for not wanting to bring a kid into this mess?
These days I can agree….chuq