South China Sea And The World Of Tomorrow

Our new leader has a wealth of situations that could turn ugly at any moment……the Middle East, probably but the one that needs a close watch is that of China and the South China Sea situation……

A good analysis of this comes from the Cipher Brief……

Few security challenges are as vexing as the South China Sea. With multiple claimants and murky claims, the contours of the conflict can be difficult to grasp. In recent years, China has used ambiguity, asymmetry, and incrementalism to assert control over parts of the South China Sea. Meanwhile, the Obama administration attempted to draw red lines against “reclamation, construction, and militarization.” Yet, Beijing nevertheless reclaimed, constructed, and militarized all seven of the features it controls in the Spratly Islands.

Incoming Trump administration officials have indicated that they will adopt a more forceful approach to Chinese activities in the South China Sea. As the administration develops this new strategy, U.S. leaders must decide which Chinese actions they can deter at an acceptable level of risk. In so doing, they should evaluate eight potential South China Sea crisis scenarios:

Source: Red Lines and Red Carpets in the South China Sea | The Cipher Brief

But another reason this bears scrutiny is something that was reported recently……

In the harshest warning yet that China is actively contemplating a worst case scenario for its diplomatic relations with the US, a senior Chinese military official said that “a war within the president’s term’ or ‘war breaking out tonight’ are not just slogans, they are becoming a practical reality.The remarks, first reported by the SCMP, were published on the People’s Liberation Army website in response to the escalating rhetoric towards China from America’s new administration, and as Beijing braces itself for a possible deterioration in Sino-US ties, with a particular emphasis on maritime security.

The commentary written by an official at the national defence mobilisation department in the Central Military Commission – which has overall authority of China’s armed forces – also called for a US rebalancing of its strategy in Asia, military deployments in the East and South China Seas and the instillation of a missile defence system in South Korea were hot spots getting closer to ignition.

Source: War With US Becoming A “Practical Reality” Chinese Military Warns

Asia is looking like a new “hot spot”……North Korea and China seem to be the most threatening…..at least at this time……

Trump needs to take that damn ego and put it in a desk drawer and get down to work…Twitter will not solve this growing problem.

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5 thoughts on “South China Sea And The World Of Tomorrow

  1. Everyone is watching the obvious situations in Syria, Israel, and other middle east hot spots. The Asian incidents are going on with little attention, but are potentially far more serious. I can’t see trump Twittering his way out of that!
    Regards, Pete.

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