And The Survey Says………..

The news dump ends!  I now return to my normal posting day.

Since 2008 I have been telling anyone who will listen or read that I think this daily poll crap is a waste of time.  all it does is generate something for the lazy MSM to use to make up the reports that we get daily.

Look at the most recent election in England…..all the polls were telling the media that it was going to be a very close election….too close to even attempt a prediction….and in the end it was a massive win for the Tories.

2012 was a similar story…..the media, after reading their pol;ling, were telling us that it was a close election and that Mitt would give Obama a run for his money…..it was CRAP!  Obama won outright.

The media needs polls!  How else can they make up the story that they want told?  Polls drive the dialog especially this far out of the real election.

Polls are CRAP!  Stop listening to the bullsh*t!

Polls predicted a close election in the UK, and the polls were dead wrong. What happened? “The World May Have a Polling Problem,” asserts the headline of a post by poll-assessing whiz Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight.com. His site’s forecast, based on those lousy polls, was way off, and Silver writes that it’s not an isolated incident. Polls ahead of the 2014 midterms, Scotland’s referendum on independence, the Israeli elections, and even the 2012 presidential race were considerably skewed as well. On the latter, President Obama beat the polling averages by 3 points, which may not sound like much, but if it had gone the other way, we might be addressing President Romney today.

Silver cites a number of possible factors, including vanishing landlines that make voters harder to contact, along with more wonky problems such as pollsters ditching “probability sampling” or holding back results that differ with other surveys. All in all, “there may be more difficult times ahead for the polling industry,” writes Silver. (And, consequently, for poll readers such as Silver, points out Dylan Byers at Politico.) Click to read Silver’s full post.

Polls are CRAP!

Do I need to say it again?

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