First of all let us take a good look at what land speculation can do.
During each period of industrial activity, land values rose steadily, culminating in speculation that drove them up in great jumps. This was invariably followed by a partial cessation of production, reducing effective demand as a correlative. A commercial crash generally accompanied this. A period of comparative stagnation followed, during which equilibrium was slowly reestablished. Then the same cycle began again.
By now most everyone should realize that the president got his stimulus plan passed by Congress and it awaits his signature later this week. There has been a lot of back and forth on what this plan will do or not do…time will tell who is right. But something that has been overlooked in this plan.
I read a piece written by Deam Baker of the Center For Economic & Policy Research.
The reporters covering the stimulus have been so busy editorializing against it that they haven’t had time to pay attention to what Congress is doing. Tonight Congress approved the Isakson amendment which gives $15,000 (or 10 percent of the purchase price, whichever is lower) to every person who buys a home in 2009.
Somehow, Isakson has this thing costing just $19 billion. Let’s break the Washington rules and try a little arithmetic. Even with weakness in the housing market, it is still virtually certain that we will sell close to 5 million homes in 2009. The overwhelming majority would qualify for the full credit. So, we get 5 million times $15,000. That sounds a
lot like $75 billion.
And this is before we get to any gaming. It’s hard to see why tens of millions of people wouldn’t figure out a way to buy a house from a friend or relative and get their $15k. If we can get one-third of the country’s homes to change hands (lots of jobs for realtors) that would be good for $375 billion.
It would have been helpful if reporters had talked to an analyst who could have explained these points for readers.
Now we have this plan that will do more for land speculators than for the average person…so where do the loyalties lie…who on Main Street will this amendment help?…..you tell me.