I do a lot of research in the field of international relations most specifically in the field of conflict, causes and resolutions…..I have read many papers that deal with the transitional state of Iraq and Syria…..I have even covered some of it here on IST…….
With all the violence and destruction in the Middle east I have read some papers that talking about a transitional phase for the two countries….. There are always plans within plans….th…
Source: Is Iraq/Syria In Transition? – In Saner Thought
But the most prominent solution that is becoming ever more popular is the possibility of some sort of federal system for the countries…..the argument is that it would provide each of the “entities” within the birders some form autonomy and security….basically a similar plan as that of Iraq in the early days of the occupation….thus were quickly abandoned with the hope of saving Iraq as a whole nation not isolated city states of the Greek past.
At first I was down with the idea for Iraq……but after watching the events unfold I quickly let go of that delusion.
For five years a civil war, a bloody civil war, has been raging in Syria and now there seems to be a few academics that are liking the idea of a federal system for Syria as a way to stop all the violence…..
I will admit that anything to achieve peace for the people of Syria would be welcomed….but a federal system is not that solution……
I recently read an excellent piece written by Ramzy Baroud…….
It is safe to say that after five years of war in Syria, the conflict is entering a new phase. Not a political resolution, but a grand political game that could divide the country into several entities, along sectarian lines.
If that takes place, it will bode badly, not only for Syria, but also the whole region. Division would become the buzzword according to which all current conflicts could expect to be settled.
This will lead to a relative quiet time in the Middle East….but after that it will explode again and possibly worse than today……and yes that is possible.
There is an answer to this problem….but I do not believe that a federal system is that answer.
The current conflicts that beset the beleagured region of the world will go on and on indefinitely to one degree or another until the end of time and if they are ever tamped down they will only smoulder to rise again because that is the tribal mentality that dominates the region … has dominated it since the 1st century and will dominate it until the last century … There is never going to be lasting peace between the war lords or the warring tribes so the political experts and analyists had just better get “Peace” for those regions out of their heads and begin to face the real world for a change.
And there is NO limit to our interventionism….could the two go hand in hand?
SIGH…. Y’all are looking in the wrong area for the cause of these conflicts. They have nothing to do with either politics, or religion, at all. “It’s just business….”
As long as it is profitable to sell weapons, conflict will continue, anywhere there is a political or religious form of delusional belief to manipulate into said conflict. The Asininnies who sell weapons don’t give a shit whether anyone ever has peace, and won’t allow any sustained time of peace, anyway. If they did, people would begin to see just what they have been doing, and continue to do, to keep humanity on the verge of war; moreover, the KNOW they wouldn’t last five minutes in the ensuing uprising of rage.They cannot afford peace, for they would lose everything if it ever occurs for a long enough time for people to find them, and rip them to pieces, leaving their bloody carcasses lying in the sun to rot….
gigoid, the dubious
True as always war is good business….I also read piece that claims that the hostilities by the people stem from a 5 year drought with no crops to speak of and the quality of life declined and people got pissed…chuq