Time To Look At 2022 Vote

It is late September and time to get serious about the upcoming 2022 mid-terms…..

My thoughts are that the Dems are in for a shellacking in the mid-terms…..the House may well go GOP as well as the Senate….then 2024 may well complete the takeover of the government by the far-right….

Some others thought on the elections…..

Last month, Newt Gingrich made a bold (and seemingly wild) prediction about the midterm elections

“I think we’ll pick up between 25 and 70 seats in the House,” the former Republican House speaker said in an interview with Fox.
Seventy seats! That would not only eclipse the 63-seat gain Republicans made in the 2010 midterm elections, but would also be the largest seat switch in the House since 1948.
Gingrich, as he often does, was likely just riffing — going for an outlandishly high ceiling on Republican gains to draw headlines and attention.
 
Which, well, mission accomplished.
Gingrich’s ceiling of 70 seats is well in excess of where nonpartisan political handicappers are — at least at the moment. David Wasserman, the House editor at the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, is projecting Republicans gain between 20 and 35 seats. Nathan Gonzales of Inside Elections hasn’t released his range just yet — it’s coming next week — but says, “Republicans are well positioned to win the majority.”
New data from Gallup suggests that the national political environment is arguably worse for Democrats than it was in 2010 — raising at least the possibility that the party suffers even larger losses than currently predicted.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/17/politics/midterm-election-house-gains-republican-democrat/index.html

Why are people making life miserable for Dems…..there is a shift quietly taking shape that should scare the crap out of us mere mortals…..

A political shift is beginning to take hold across the US as tens of thousands of suburban swing voters who helped fuel the Democratic Party’s gains in recent years are becoming Republicans. More than 1 million voters across 43 states have switched to the Republican Party over the last year, according to voter registration data analyzed by the AP. The previously unreported number reflects a phenomenon that is playing out in virtually every region of the country in the period since President Biden replaced former President Trump.

But nowhere is the shift more pronounced—and dangerous for Democrats—than in the suburbs, where well-educated swing voters who turned against Trump’s Republican Party in recent years appear to be swinging back. Over the last year, far more people are switching to the GOP across suburban counties from Denver to Atlanta and Pittsburgh and Cleveland. Republicans also gained ground in counties around medium-size cities such as Harrisburg, Pennsylvania; Raleigh, North Carolina; Augusta, Georgia; and Des Moines, Iowa. One Colorado voter who switched said he blamed Democrats’ support for mandatory COVID vaccines, what he sees as the party’s inability to quell violent crime, and its frequent focus on racial justice.

The AP examined nearly 1.7 million voters who had likely switched affiliations across 42 states for which there is data over the last 12 months, according to L2, a political data firm. L2 uses a combination of state voter records and statistical modeling to determine party affiliation. While party switching is not uncommon, the data shows a definite reversal from the period while Trump was in office, when Democrats enjoyed a slight edge in the number of party switchers nationwide. Over the last year, roughly two-thirds of the 1.7 million voters who changed their party affiliation shifted to the Republican Party. In all, more than 1 million people became Republicans compared to about 630,000 who became Democrats.

Like I said….the dice are being rolled and it appears that the country is about to get ‘snake eyes’…..

Weep for this country.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

8 thoughts on “Time To Look At 2022 Vote

  1. Weep for this country is absolutely the right thing to say –This mid-term is going to take months to complete because of all the right-wing interference in the process and all the radical right-wing manipulations, gerrymanders, contesting of the outcomes and so on and so forth …and Trump and company already have completed the formation of their shadow government, standing in the wings, just waiting to hit the ground running when they take over …and they have all the local elections covered with their saboteurs and 174 lower court judges to contest adversarial decisions against them and the Trump-Packed Supreme Court ready, willing, able and waiting to hand it all over to him …only a miracle can save America now.

  2. I have always thought that Biden was a bad choice as presidential candidate. He does not seem to inspire anyone, even those that openly supported him. He has also made little impact on the ‘world stage’, and the fact that Trump seems to be as popular as ever should be galvanising voters to get out and stop Trump.
    But they don’t seem to have the strong desire to do that.
    Best wishes, Pete.

  3. Interesting polls you are highlighting, because I have also seen several that are showing a huge increase in voting registration among young women, who see the Roe v. Wade decision as a call to action to keep their rights from being further eroded…sadly, it seems we live in times when the “fear of the right vs. the fear of the left” is the only reason people vote, and the very large “middle” has a “Sophie’s Choice” to make, as both extremes are outrageous in their stated goals for our country.

    1. I have seen those reports….but registration does not equate to votes….seldom does. Polls have been wrong for the last 25 years I see nothing to say any different these days. chuq

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.