It is late September and time to get serious about the upcoming 2022 mid-terms…..

My thoughts are that the Dems are in for a shellacking in the mid-terms…..the House may well go GOP as well as the Senate….then 2024 may well complete the takeover of the government by the far-right….

Some others thought on the elections…..

Last month, Newt Gingrich made a bold (and seemingly wild) prediction about the midterm elections. 

“I think we’ll pick up between 25 and 70 seats in the House,” the former Republican House speaker said in an interview with Fox.

Seventy seats! That would not only eclipse the 63-seat gain Republicans made in the 2010 midterm elections, but would also be the largest seat switch in the House since 1948.

Gingrich, as he often does, was likely just riffing — going for an outlandishly high ceiling on Republican gains to draw headlines and attention.

 

Which, well, mission accomplished.

Gingrich’s ceiling of 70 seats is well in excess of where nonpartisan political handicappers are — at least at the moment. David Wasserman, the House editor at the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, is projecting Republicans gain between 20 and 35 seats. Nathan Gonzales of Inside Elections hasn’t released his range just yet — it’s coming next week — but says, “Republicans are well positioned to win the majority.”

New data from Gallup suggests that the national political environment is arguably worse for Democrats than it was in 2010 — raising at least the possibility that the party suffers even larger losses than currently predicted.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/17/politics/midterm-election-house-gains-republican-democrat/index.html

Why are people making life miserable for Dems…..there is a shift quietly taking shape that should scare the crap out of us mere mortals…..

A political shift is beginning to take hold across the US as tens of thousands of suburban swing voters who helped fuel the Democratic Party’s gains in recent years are becoming Republicans. More than 1 million voters across 43 states have switched to the Republican Party over the last year, according to voter registration data analyzed by the AP. The previously unreported number reflects a phenomenon that is playing out in virtually every region of the country in the period since President Biden replaced former President Trump.

But nowhere is the shift more pronounced—and dangerous for Democrats—than in the suburbs, where well-educated swing voters who turned against Trump’s Republican Party in recent years appear to be swinging back. Over the last year, far more people are switching to the GOP across suburban counties from Denver to Atlanta and Pittsburgh and Cleveland. Republicans also gained ground in counties around medium-size cities such as Harrisburg, Pennsylvania; Raleigh, North Carolina; Augusta, Georgia; and Des Moines, Iowa. One Colorado voter who switched said he blamed Democrats’ support for mandatory COVID vaccines, what he sees as the party’s inability to quell violent crime, and its frequent focus on racial justice.

The AP examined nearly 1.7 million voters who had likely switched affiliations across 42 states for which there is data over the last 12 months, according to L2, a political data firm. L2 uses a combination of state voter records and statistical modeling to determine party affiliation. While party switching is not uncommon, the data shows a definite reversal from the period while Trump was in office, when Democrats enjoyed a slight edge in the number of party switchers nationwide. Over the last year, roughly two-thirds of the 1.7 million voters who changed their party affiliation shifted to the Republican Party. In all, more than 1 million people became Republicans compared to about 630,000 who became Democrats.

Like I said….the dice are being rolled and it appears that the country is about to get ‘snake eyes’…..

Weep for this country.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”