The Coming Syrian Civil War

One of Donny’s clueless sycophants, Rubio made a bold statement the other day….predicting there would soon be a Syrian civil war.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio told Congress on Tuesday that the US assesses the new al-Qaeda-linked Syrian government could collapse within weeks and that the country could descend into “full-scale civil war.”

Rubio made the comments at a Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing, where he explained the administration’s rationale for engaging with Syria’s new de facto leaders, who the US helped put in power, despite their al-Qaeda roots.

“The bad news is that the transitional authority figures, they didn’t pass their background check with the FBI. They’ve got a tough history and one that we understand,” Rubio said.

“If we engage them, it may work out, it may not work out. If we did not engage them, it was guaranteed that it would not work out,” he added. “In fact, it was our assessment that, frankly, the transitional authority, given the challenges they’re facing, are maybe weeks, not many months, away from potential collapse.”

Rubio said that a collapse would lead to “a full-scale civil war of epic proportions. Basically, the country splitting up.”

(antiwar.com)

Two points….first there has been a civil war going on in Syria since about 2011….p0resent day is just a momentary lull in the fighting….second….the country has been split up for years with the Assad government holding the Coast  and the extremists holding most of the east and central parts of the country.

To illustrate my point….just very recently….

While the cooperation between the Islamist Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) government in Syria and the Kurdish SDF originally made it seem like the violence in northern Syria was on the decline, a new round of fighting between those groups has led to increased tensions and concern that the situation is about to blow up all over again.

Syrian media accused the SDF of trying to infiltrate a pair of army bases in Tal Syriatel, close to the Tishreen Dam. This led to what is being called a “limited” military confrontation between the two sides, though the HTS followed by increasing the number of troops deployed in the area around Tishreen Dam in the name of maintaining security.

This couldn’t have come at a worse time for the two sides, as they are conducting joint operations in neighboring Raqqa Governorate, which is mostly under SDF control. The raids are said to be targeting remnants of the Assad government and “drug dealers,” though locals are bristling at the summary detentions of people on accusations of disloyalty.

(antiwar.com)

Just one incident of the on-going war for dominance in Syria.

Rubio broad statement was clueless and not very accurate….but that is what I expect from someone serving on a cabinet of the least qualified.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

11 thoughts on “The Coming Syrian Civil War

  1. I am hopeful that the $ deals just negotiated by Trump with rich nations in region will set an atmosphere wherein these nations will exert effective influence in Syria so they can manage the situation positively so that it become less of a US problem and a matter for the regional $ nations to manage the turmoil in Syria. It appears that Russian influence in Syria will evaporate due to the cohesian of Arab states to promote the inclusion of the Abraham Accords with Syria. However the $ states haven’t seemed to engage with Syria’s transitions in last several decades. I am hopeful that now the presence of Russia and Iran will diminish to level 0.

    1. A great sentiment but if the past is any indication those states are more interested in fleecing the US than any real influence in the region….chuq

  2. There is not one member of the Trump cabinet I would trust to clean my shoes without intense training.mind you yi would never trust Trump to do it alone.

  3. I agree with you. The present situation in Syria is merely a pause in an ongoing conflict that may never be resolved.
    Best wishes, Pete.

  4. I have absolutely no faith in this government being able to do anything to quell unrest anywhere. Over and over again it has proved itself to be utterly ignorant and completely incompetent.

    Sidenote; What the hell happened to Rubio? I never liked the fellow but he was never like this before. The Rubio of eight, ten years ago would have utterly condemned and been horrified by some of the stuff he’s spouting today.

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