Peace In Our Time

For a year now the US has made damn sure that Ukraine and Russia do not negotiate for a ceasefire…..but all of a sudden it seems to be a good idea.

US and European officials are finally broaching the possibility of peace talks with Russia in conversations with the Ukrainian government, NBC News reported on Friday.

The position marks a notable shift in US policy toward the war as the US and its closest allies have discouraged the idea of peace talks since Russia invaded in February 2022. Before the invasion, the US refused to engage with Russia on its key security concern: the possibility of Ukraine joining NATO.

The NBC report, which cited unnamed US officials, said the conversations “have included very broad outlines of what Ukraine might need to give up to reach a deal.” Some of the talks took place last month at a meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, a grouping that’s held meetings since the Russian invasion and includes military representatives from about 50 countries.

The talks about negotiations with Russia started due to Western concerns about the situation on the battlefield and the fact that it’s becoming more difficult to keep funding the war.

Recent reports have revealed that Ukrainian officials don’t believe they can win the war, except for President Volodymyr Zelensky. Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Gen. Valery Zaluzhny described the war as a “stalemate” in comments to The Economist and said there will likely be no “beautiful breakthrough.”

A close aide to Zelensky told Time Magazine that Zelensky was “deluding himself” into believing Ukraine could win, adding, “We’re out of options. We’re not winning. But try telling him that.”

The Time report also quoted a Ukrainian official who said even if the West provides all the weapons Ukraine needs, they don’t have the soldiers to use them. A source told NBC that one of the Biden administration’s top concerns is the lack of “manpower,” saying that the West could provide Ukraine with the weaponry, “but if they don’t have competent forces to use them, it doesn’t do a lot of good.”

The Biden administration has failed so far to get new funding to continue the proxy war. The Pentagon has about $5 billion left made available by an “accounting error” to ship weapons, but other types of aid have dried up. The administration wants another $61 billion to fund the war for another entire year, but Republicans are prioritizing military aid to Israel.

(antiwar.com)

I guess we can only fund one major conflict at a time…..and with Israel that leaves Ukraine struggling for support.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

2024 GOP Early Update

Time is closing in on the election and the voter needs to read the news…..

Trump’s closest competitor, DeSantis, has been losing ground to his opponent recently but this news may give him a shot in the arm….

DeSantis is channeling most of his effort and resources into winning the Iowa caucuses, making campaign trips to 87 of the state’s 99 counties so far, and now he has something to show for it. At a rally Monday in Des Moines, Gov. Kim Reynolds plans to endorse DeSantis for the Republican presidential nomination, the Des Moines Register reports. It’s a major victory for the Florida governor in his attempt to slow front-runner Donald Trump at the beginning of Republican voting in the race: Reynolds’ 81% favorable rating in the state, as an August poll found, far exceeds that of any of the GOP candidates for president.

“I think what she’s been able to do in Iowa has really been a model for how people should govern,” DeSantis told reporters last month. They’ve been like-minded in their governing, with both signing laws to prohibit abortion after six weeks of pregnancy, prohibit instruction in LGBTQ topics in schools, and make available state-funded private school scholarships to all families. Their praise for each other and chumminess—they sat together at a football game while Trump watched from above—has irked the former president, and he didn’t take the endorsement well. “Kim Reynolds apparently has begun her retirement tour early as she clearly does not have any ambition for higher office,” his campaign said in a statement.

DeSantis is running 27 points behind Trump in Iowa, the most recent NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll shows. That has DeSantis tied for second with Nikki Haley, who’s on the ascent, per NBC News. Reynolds had said she’d stay neutral in the race, saying she wanted all of the GOP candidates to feel welcome in Iowa, then suggested in August and in October that she might change her mind. “It’s just too important,” Reynolds said last month, per the Register. “This next election is too important.”

Then there is Biden’s dismal policies on the economy is costing his valuable ‘good’ news as we approach the election….

Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in five of the six swing states that figure to be critical to winning the 2024 presidential election, a new poll shows, with voters expressing concern or unhappiness over the president’s age and job performance. At the same time, the New York Times reports, they’re less bothered by Trump’s bluster than in the past and trust him more to manage the economy. Biden’s deficit among registered voters ranges from 3 to 10 percentage points in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. The president has a 2-point lead in Wisconsin in the potential matchup. All are states that Biden won in the 2020 election.

A majority of those included in the poll, conducted by the Times and Siena College, said they’ve been hurt by Biden’s policies. Among the worrisome indicators for Biden is the nearly unprecedented support among Black voters for a Republican; 22% of voters polled in the six states overall prefer Trump. Overall, over every demographic and geographic category, 71% said Biden, 80, is too old to be president, including 54% of the president’s supporters. The poll reports a sampling error of plus or minus 1.8 percentage points overall and 4.4 to 4.8 percentage points for each state’s results. It was conducted from Oct. 22 to Nov. 3.

The Times quotes disappointed voters who are switching this time. “I actually had high hopes for Biden,” said Jahmerry Henry, 25, of Georgia. “You can’t be worse than Trump. But then as the years go by, things happen with inflation, the war going on in Ukraine, recently Israel and I guess our borders are not secure at all.” A Biden campaign spokesperson told Axios it’s too early for concern; the Trump campaign did not immediately comment. “Gallup predicted an eight-point loss for President Obama only for him to win handedly a year later,” said Kevin Munoz of Biden’s staff. But CNN reports White House polls are just as bleak for Biden.

Yes I know this is a momentary snapshot but unless the economic trends do not get better then Biden will be looking at Trump in the lead as we approach the vote.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”