Here We Go Again

The midterms proved to be not so important to Trump…all his chest thumping really did not help the candidates.

Donald Trump is expected to launch his 2024 reelection campaign Tuesday night, and conventional wisdom has him battling political headwinds. The former president is being blamed for the GOP’s lackluster showing in the midterms, and rival Ron DeSantis is on the ascent. But in a New York Times essay, Kevin D. Williams writes that Trump “is not as weak a candidate as many people might expect—or hope—him to be.” Williams, for the record, is not a Trump fan and thinks another presidency would be bad for the nation. But he also thinks that Trump remains the favorite to win the GOP nomination and thus has a decent chance of becoming president again.

“It will not be easy to dislodge Mr. Trump,” writes Williams. “His bond with his supporters is personal—it is based on the promise of humiliating the right’s cultural enemies, not on policy, and it is not limited by transitory events like a disappointing midterm showing.” And if the Republican party is a “mess” at the moment, that actually helps Trump instead of hurting him. It “is when Republicans are at their lowest political ebb—when they are feeling the most vulnerable, victimized, and marginalized—that Mr. Trump is at his political best,” he writes.

AS expected the Orange man has made it official….he will run again…..

He’s in. Former President Trump launched his 2024 reelection campaign Tuesday night during a speech at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida. “In order to make America great and glorious again, I am tonight announcing my candidacy for president of the United States,” Trump told his supporters. (See the moment via the National Review.) If Trump manages to get reelected, he would become only the second president to win non-consecutive terms, after Grover Cleveland in 1884 and 1892, per the AP. He also becomes only the fifth president to run for reelection after a loss, notes Politico. Just before the rally began Tuesday night, CNN reported that Trump had filed his paperwork with the Federal Election Commission to run.

  • “I am running because I believe the world has not yet seen the true glory of what this nation can be,” Trump said. “We will again put America first.”
  • “There has never been anything like it, this great movement of ours. … And perhaps there will never be anything like it again,” Trump said. “America’s comeback starts right now.”
  • He faulted President Biden for the “decline of America” and accused Biden of “leading us to the brink of nuclear war” with Russia, per Axios.
  • “The citizens of our country haven’t realized the full gravity of the pain our nation is going through, and the total effect of the suffering is just starting to take hold,” he said, addressing the results of the midterm elections, in which Republicans fared worse than expected.

The assessment at Politico: “It is an extraordinary—although long anticipated—move for Trump, one certain to reshape his party’s trajectory, raise complicated legal questions and alter the presidency for the man who defeated him, Joe Biden.” The move comes with Trump’s critics blaming him for the GOP’s underwhelming performance in the midterms and amid several investigations of both Trump personally and his business empire, notes the AP. Still, he is widely seen as the automatic frontrunner over potential rivals such as Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin.

With that announcement how do people react?

As expected, Donald Trump announced Tuesday night that he is mounting a 2024 presidential campaign. The word “lies” could be found in multiple articles about his announcement speech, with Mark Z. Barabak at the Los Angeles Times referring to the “yeasty mix of hyperbole, lies and grievance” permeating it. He notes that Trump suggested that the Chinese government meddled in the last election, causing his defeat. A fact-checking article at CNN finds a number of “false and misleading claims” on subjects including the border wall, gas prices, sea level rise, the strategic petroleum reserve, and the US withdrawal from Afghanistan. See its full list here. More reaction and follow-up pieces around Trump’s announcement:

Fox News host Sean Hannity “welcomed” the 2024 announcement, while others in the Murdoch media empire had a more measured response or pushed back entirely, Reuters reports. On Monday, for example, the Wall Street Journal editorial board opposed another Trump bid for the presidency. See Reuters’ roundup here, a CNN video roundup of conservative pundits who have urged Trump not to run here, or a CNN piece from before Trump’s speech about skeptical House and Senate Republicans here.

  • But there were plenty praising Trump’s speech, Fox News reports. From Lindsey Graham: “If President Trump continues this tone and delivers this message on a consistent basis, he will be hard to beat.” Mike Huckabee echoed that: “Trump got his mojo back tonight. He focused on the American people and the future, not the past. If he stays on this path, he’s unbeatable.” Ted Cruz and Ronny Jackson were among others supporting him after the speech.
  • Reuters also rounds up reactions to Trump’s announcement from others, including a number of analysts, here. More than one of them point to the poor showing by Trump-endorsed candidates in the midterm elections as a concern for Republicans.
  • Not surprisingly, Democrats were quickly painting Trump as unfit for office, the Hill reports; President Biden released a video while Trump was still making his speech accusing Trump of “failing America.” More on Dem reaction at the Hill.
  • Prior to the speech, Politico ran a piece calling Kari Lake’s loss in the Arizona gubernatorial race a “bad omen” for Trump. “Lake—the closest approximation to Trump running anywhere this cycle—became proof of the limitations of his grievance politics,” writes David Siders. Full article here.
  • Does Trump have a new slogan? He said he wanted to “make America great and glorious again” in his speech, leading many to make MAGAGA jokes on Twitter.

With that announcement of his return to the campaign trail the media will have all the fodder they need for the next two years.

And that includes me.

Thoughts?

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

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Oh Crap! Article 5!

First what the Hell is Article 5?

Article 5 is the cornerstone of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)  and states that an attack on one member of NATO is an attack on all of its members.

Now that missile that hit inside Poland.

Poland said early Wednesday that a Russian-made missile fell in the country’s east, killing two people, though U.S. President Joe Biden said it was “unlikely” it was fired from Russia.

The blast, which Ukrainian President Volodymr Zelenskyy decried as “a very significant escalation,” prompted Biden to call an emergency meeting of G-7 and NATO leaders. A deliberate, hostile attack on NATO member Poland could trigger a collective military response by the alliance.

(apnews.com)

Now my questions are…..

Who is provoking who?

Is this truly an escalation by Russia?  Trying to draw NATO into this conflict.

It is a Russian made missile then was it fired by some other entity to draw NATO into the conflict?

Shortly after the accusations Biden made a statement…..

President Biden told reporters in Indonesia on Wednesday that it’s “unlikely” the missile that hit a village in Poland Tuesday near the Ukrainian border was fired by Russia and that “preliminary” information indicates otherwise.

“There is preliminary information that contests that,” Biden said when asked by reporters if the missile was fired by Russia. “I don’t want to say until we completely investigate. It’s unlikely in the minds of the trajectory that it was fired from Russia.”

After Biden’s comments, three US Officials told The Associated Press that “preliminary assessments” suggest the missile that hit Poland was fired by Ukrainian forces and was meant to intercept a Russian missile.

Biden is in Indonesia for the G20 summit and held an emergency meeting of NATO and G7 leaders over the news that a missile fell in Poland, killing two people. He said that the allies agreed to find out exactly what happened and make a decision together from there.

“Then we’re going to collectively determine our next step as we investigate and proceed. There was total unanimity among folks at the table,” Biden said.

Over in Poland, President Andrzej Duda told reporters that there’s no clear evidence of who fired the missile. “We do not for the moment have unequivocal evidence of who fired the missile. An investigation is ongoing,” he said.

Poland is considering holding consultations with NATO members under Article 4 of the alliance’s treaty. NATO’s Article 4 states: “The parties will consult together whenever any of them have the opinion that the territorial integrity, political independence or security of any party is threatened.”

Since Poland is a NATO member, there has been concern that the country may ask to invoke Article 5, which states that “an armed attack on any party is an attack on them all.” But so far, there is no sign that Poland is looking to escalate the situation, and there’s no evidence that Russia launched the missile.

When news of the missile landing in Poland first broke, a US official told The Associated Press that Russian missiles hit Polish territory. But when asked about the situation, the Pentagon said it could not corroborate the claim, and Russia issued a strong denial.

The lack of evidence has not stopped Ukrainian officials from accusing Russia of hitting Poland. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky wrote on Twitter that he spoke with Duda and expressed “condolences over the death of Polish citizens from Russian missile terror.”

(antiwar.com)

I will wait to see if the news actually reflects the facts as they are known….or will the warmongers get their way?

Which question is the more accurate?

Final thought…..US is planning yet another $37 billion in aid to Ukraine.

The White House on Tuesday asked Congress to approve $37.7 billion in new aid for Ukraine, which would bring total US spending on the war to about $105 billion.

According to The Hill, the request includes $21.7 billion in military aid for Ukraine and to replenish US military stockpiles that have been sent to the country.

A total of $14.5 billion in budgetary aid to directly fund the Ukrainian government is included, as Kyiv is expecting the US and its allies to pay its budget deficit for 2023.

The request also includes $626 million for the US Strategic Oil Reserve and for nuclear safety for Ukraine and $900 million for healthcare and other services for Ukrainians.

It’s possible Congress will increase the White House requests as media reports said lawmakers in both parties were looking to pass a Ukraine aid bill of about $50 billion before January.

(antiwar.com)

I know no on cares how much we spend on Ukraine but let children get a free lunch and all Hell breaks lose.

How disgusting is that?

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”