For months we have been told of the coming Ukrainian counteroffensive in Eastern part of the country….there been a few delays like weather, waiting for more and better weapons, etc.
It is being reported that the Biden posse expects nothing out if the proposed counteroffensive….instead a long drawn out frozen conflict.
The Biden administration is preparing for the war in Ukraine to turn into a frozen conflict for years or possibly even decades, similar to the situation on the Korean peninsula, POLITICO reported on Thursday.
US officials have been discussing the possibility, including potential options for where to draw the lines for a frozen conflict that either side would agree not to cross. The report said the idea of freezing the fighting could be a “politically palatable long-term result.”
The administration is considering the possibility because they don’t expect Ukraine to regain much territory in its long-awaited counteroffensive. According to POLITICO, the US is expecting that the assault “won’t deal a mortal blow to Russia.”
A US official said the administration is preparing to support Ukraine for the long term, whether the conflict is frozen or not. “We are planning for the long term, whether it looks frozen or thawed,” the official told POLITICO.
Since one of Russia’s main motives for invading Ukraine was its alignment with NATO, and its main demand during short-lived negotiations in the early days of the war was Ukrainian neutrality, a frozen conflict that involves NATO continuing to arm Kyiv would likely not be acceptable to Moscow. While Russian officials have expressed an openness to negotiations, the Kremlin has said it believes Russia’s goals can only be achieved through military means.
If the conflict is frozen along the current battle lines, Ukraine would lose significantly more territory than if it negotiated a deal with Moscow shortly after the invasion. But the peace talks were discouraged by the US and its allies, and the Biden administration still shows no interest in pushing for a lasting diplomatic solution.
Does that sound at all familiar to anyone but me?
But wait…..are those F-16s going to be a game change?
Mostly likely not.
Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall said Monday that the provision of F-16 fighter jets to Kyiv will give Ukraine’s military an “incremental” boost but said it wouldn’t be a “game-changer” in the conflict.
“The F-16 is a reasonable option for them for a whole bunch of reasons,” Kendall said. “It will give Ukrainians an increment of capabilities that they don’t have right now. But it’s not going to be a dramatic game-changer, as far as I’m concerned, for their total military capabilities.”
The US announced on Friday that it would sign off on European deliveries of F-16s for Ukraine, but there’s still a long way to go before the planes reach Kyiv. No countries have officially committed to sending their F-16s, and the current focus is on supporting training for Ukrainian pilots.
We do this all the time….that is why I say we are addicted to endless war.
The only winners in this conflict are the arms industries….they will continue to make their profit (a post to come) until the last Ukrainian.
I Read, I Write, You Know
“lego ergo scribo”
7 thoughts on “Counteroffensive–Not So Fast”
Let me address this — “US officials have been discussing the possibility, including potential options for where to draw the lines for a frozen conflict that either side would agree not to cross.”
Even if there is such an agreement Putin will never keep it for long unless he sees it as an opportunity to regroup his resources for more attacks in the future.
He could regroup all he wants….his army sucks and will continue to d0o so……chuq
In all the endless media discussion, little is mentioned about what happens if Russia just stays where it is, and doesn’t try to conquer the rest of Ukraine. Zelensky could have a very difficult job ‘evicting’ the enemy troops from what they already hold, and Putin could claim it as a ‘victorious liberation’, also having secured a land route to Crimea.
Best wishes Pete.
I agree….Zelensky had better come to the decision that he may have to learn to live with Russia in East Ukraine. chuq
Reblogged this on https:/BOOKS.ESLARN-NET.DE.
Your administration is actually acting a little as it was mocked by an Austrian band in the 1990s. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XpWnh5ETW2w ;-/ xx Michael
Thanx for the link Michael…..chuq