Inkwell Institute
Putin is a dick! China cheats! Arabs hate us! Chavez wants a war! Iran wants to nuke New York! You have heard it all, right? All this posturing among the politicos…..especially among conservs who seem to want a war with Iran or maybe it is ALL Arabs…….war hawks are beating their chests like sex crazed baboons over the protests in the Middle East….but with all this colorful speech….what is the chance of another world war?
Here is a summary of where the world stands:
- Unable to reach a compromise over the weekend, South Africa is now in an all out labor strike, with the police again firing rubber bullets at miners with lethal escalation guaranteed
- Back from vacation, the once again penniless citizens of Spain, Greece, and Portugal have resumed protesting austerity
- US embassies attacked, in many cases with numerous casualties, in Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, Morocco, Sudan, Lebanon, India, Balgadesh, Indonesia, and others.
- Japan “appropriating” China-contested islands provoking a firestorm of retaliation including demands for “war with Japan“
- The Japanese ambassador to China dying mysteriously
- Netanyahu telling Meet the Press Iran will have a nuke in six-seven months and must be stopped beforehand
- Warships from more than 25 countries, including the United States, Britain, France, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, launching a military exercise in the Straits of Hormuz
- A third US aircraft – the CVN-74 Stennis – carrier is en route to Iran with an ETA of about 10 days
- And finally, a potential catalyst to light this whole mess on fire, Iran’s Revolutionary Guard announcing that its troops are now on the ground in Syria.
The economic crash and the Arab Spring have pushed the world hard…..all the frustrations are coming to the surface and with outrageous politics it could push the whole global into another war. I do not think the world wants this….but it seems they are doing little to avoid it.
As bad as they things are I doubt the major powers will go to war based on the policy of MAD – Mutual Assured Destruction
Larry, there is a math model that says all it takes for a war to begin is the right domino to be pushed over….since the whole world is interactive that domino may be in play as we speak.