Iran?

They were the subject of much lip service a few months ago and now we have  little that the MSM will use on air…..until Dear Leader takes to Twitter using all Caps……

After we pulled out of the nuke deal the Iran situation has taken backseat to North Korea and Helsinki……but FYI  Iran is still there and still going to become a problem eventually……

Our Dear Leader full expects Iran to come crawling to hum for a new deal…..

 In comments on Thursday, President Trump revealed that he believes that having withdrawn from the P5+1 nuclear deal and started imposing new sanctions means Iranians are “feeling a lot of pain right now.” He predicted they would have to call him and ask for a deal.

Trump withdrew from the deal in May, and claims now Iranians are “treating the US with a lot more respect.” Iran has mostly focused public efforts on continuing to keep its commerce flowing worldwide, since the US wasn’t honoring much of the deal in the first place. Iranian officials say the priority is to sell as much oil as possible.

Despite Trump making much of the moves being about forcing Iran to renegotiate the deal, he has been very vague on what he actually wants out of Iran that is different from the existing P5+1 deal.

https://theantimedia.com/trump-iran-call-new-deal/

Now that Trump has met with his better half could Iran be in the cross hairs now?

They were right to be worried. Within hours of arriving in Europe, Donald Trump was busy insulting America’s closest friends and threatening to dismember Nato. He publicly humiliated Theresa May and did his importunate best to force regime change in Westminster, before halfheartedly apologising. Now he takes his ugly brand of rogue-male politics to Helsinki for a meeting with his best buddy, prominent campaign supporter and fellow narcissist, Russia’s Vladimir Putin. This is an ominous, possibly watershed moment for Europe, full of fear and loathing.

All of which invites the question: how far will Trump be allowed to go before leaders of the western democracies finally draw the line? How long until they recognise him as an antagonist, not an ally, contemptuous of their countries’ values and interests – and act accordingly? Germany’s Angela Merkel tried firmness. May tried flattery. The EU has tried fulmination and retaliatory trade tariffs. Others, wishfully, dismiss Trumpism as an aberration, not a strategic shift. But nothing stops him as he rampages on, malignly flattening all in his path.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/jul/15/trump-and-putin-unholy-alliance-could-lead-to-war-with-iran

In response to some of the sanctions that is being applied Iran has hit back…

Iran has threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz if its oil sales are blocked because of the pressure from the US.

“The most transparent, complete and prompt response was given by Mr [Hassan] Rouhani, the Iranian president, in his last trip to Europe. The response was clear: if Iran cannot export oil through the Persian Gulf, no-one will do this,” Iranian Supreme Leader’s senior adviser for international affairs Ali Akbar Velayati said, speaking at the Valdai discussion club in Russia. “Either everyone will export, or no-one.”

Velayati’s remarks are a clear response to the repeated US attempts to cut off Iran’s oil exports after Washington had pulled out of the landmark nuclear agreement between Teheran and other powers.

The Strait of Hormuz is a vital artery for oil coming from the Middle East. Most of oil export from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait and Iraq passes through the strait

https://southfront.org/iran-threatens-to-close-strait-of-hormuz-if-its-oil-sales-are-blocked/

More info……

https://www.thecipherbrief.com/column/cipher-brief-expert-view/irans-dire-straits

There are some dire predictions about what effect the sanctions will have on the Iranian economy……

Turbulent developments in the past few months on the foreign exchange and gold markets in Iran and the government’s failure to manage runaway prices has compelled some economists to start using the term “bubble economy.”

The interrelationship among various markets within the country’s economy was explained in a June 14 Al-Monitor piece. In this article, however, we will focus on the root causes and complexities of behaviors by economic players. Regardless of whether these acts are driven by economic, psychological or political factors, they are damaging to the economy as a whole and compound the government’s challenges in managing the economy. At the same time, it is clear that a continuation of the current conditions will increase the likelihood of an economic crisis with unprecedented social and political consequences. The current wave of strikes and demonstrations by traders and other economic actors is an example of how the problem will be amplified if the authorities do not develop proper responses.

America may be trying hard to put the squeeze on Iran but its economy has a bit of a lifeline thanx to some of the EU members…..

Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said that international parties remaining in the Iran nuclear deal have kickstarted practical measures ensuring banking relations and the resumption of Iranian oil sales, two weeks ahead of the first phase of US sanctions.

The three European countries (Germany, Britain and France) may restore banking activities of the Central Bank of Iran in European banks to find a channel to preserve financial ties before the return of US sanctions, the Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday.

In a meeting with foreign diplomats and economic activists, Zarif said that the three European countries, China and Russia pledged to compensate Iran’s losses resulting from the US’ unilateral exit from the agreement.

https://aawsat.com/english/home/article/1335366/iran-announces-eu-banking-oil-sale-arrangements

After that bit of info…..does Dear Leader still think that Iran will come crawling?

And do not forget Iraq…that is Iraq with a “Q”…..why?

The aftermath of the Iraqi elections on 12 May confirmed the country’s troubled political cycle. Although the polls reflected the Iraqis’ desire for political change, the dire realities of Iraqi politics provided the usual set of obstacles to the fulfillment of this choice. On 3 July, a manual recounting of the votes began, while acts of sabotage toward the ballot boxes and the electoral machinery.

https://theantimedia.com/iran-will-continue-most-powerful-iraq/

But what of Iran in Syria?

There is so far no sign that Russia has begun to use its influence to restrain Iran from occupying certain areas of Syria close to Israel. Quite the contrary, Iranian and Russian forces are currently fighting side-by-side in southern Syria on al-Assad’s behalf. Nevertheless, Russia has called for foreign troops to leave Syria, and there have been recorded (though not in the Russian press) cases of friction between Russian and Iranian forces (Mid.ru, July 14). Russia’s demand that Iranian troops leave Syria after the war ends, together with rumors of a deal between Israel and the Sunni forces represented by Saudi Arabia and the UAE, has clearly rattled Iran, whose media has published numerous stories either decrying Russian infidelity or denying that there is a problem (PressTV, July 1314). At the same time, Russia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has walked back the call for non-Syrian forces to leave Syria, although that is the ultimate objective (Mid.ru, July 4).

A lot of info but well worth reading if one would like to know what could be the future of this situation.

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2 thoughts on “Iran?

  1. Our lunchtime news reported Mr Trump has been making Twitter threats to Iran this morning. Apparently, they were all in capital letters too. If it wasn’t so serious, it would be laughable.
    Best wishes, Pete.

    1. Yep….he is trying like Hell to get the news to change from his hooker stories…..he would start a war to change the tune…..chuq

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