That Mail-In Vote

There has been lots of lip service among our elected officials about the proposal to allow mail-in voting…..especially from the bullshitter-in-charge…..Donald the Orange…..

As always the GOP is worried about voter fraud…..they are always worried about voter fraud whenever there is a proposal for the expansion of voting to make it more available to more people…..so their opposition is absolutely nothing new.

Donald the Orange has issued threats for these mail-in votes….

President Trump threatened to withdraw federal funds Wedneday after apparently misinterpreting a move from Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson. The president, who has repeatedly criticized Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, claimed the state had sent absentee ballots to 7.7 million voters. “This was done illegally and without authorization by a rogue Secretary of State,” he tweeted. “I will ask to hold up funding to Michigan if they want to go down this Voter Fraud path!” Benson, however, had sent applications for mail-in ballots, not the ballots themselves. “I also have a name, it’s Jocelyn Benson,” she tweeted. “And we sent applications, not ballots. Just like my GOP colleagues in Iowa, Georgia, Nebraska, and West Virginia.”

In another tweet, Trump said the military had been sent to deal with flooding in Michigan, but Whitmer “must now ‘set you free’ to help.” Trump is strongly opposed to expanding mail-in voting amid the pandemic, but it’s not clear who he believes needed to authorize Michigan’s decision; Republicans have long “resisted efforts to inject federal oversight” into state elections, Politico notes. In another tweet Wednesday, the president threatened to cut off funding to Nevada for sending out “illegal vote by mail ballots, creating a great Voter Fraud scenario.” Rep. Dina Titus slammed Trump for “threatening to harm Nevadans” and said that the decision to make June 9 congressional primaries all-mail was made by Nevada’s Republican secretary of state, the Nevada Independent reports.

Is there any evidence that there would be an increase in voter fraud if there is mail-in voting?

In short: voting by mail is more convenient for some voters but more difficult for others, and these conflicting factors appear to cancel each other out, dampening any partisan advantage. Moreover, the vast majority of nonvoters don’t participate not because it’s too inconvenient to vote, but because voting isn’t a habit for them. Maybe they don’t care about politics, maybe they don’t think their vote matters, maybe they don’t like any of the candidates, or maybe it’s some combination of all of the above. But the bottom line is that these voters’ decision to vote depends more on whether somebody around them can motivate them to vote, not whether they are able to vote by mail or in person.

There are three main ways states vote by mail. First, there are “universal” vote-by-mail states, which is when all registered voters automatically receive a ballot, but this is fairly rare. Just five states currently conduct all-mail elections by default: Colorado, Hawaii, Oregon, Utah and Washington (although a handful of states allow certain elections to be conducted by mail or some of their counties to vote by mail). Next, there are “no-excuse” vote-by-mail states, which is the most common method of voting by mail in the U.S. — 29 states currently use it in federal elections. Under this system, any registered voter can vote by mail, but must first request a ballot. And finally, there are 16 states that are “excuse-only” vote by mail, which means voters must provide a reason as to why they can’t show up at the polls in order to get their ballot. Although some states might expand the types of excuses accepted in 2020 — the coronavirus is already a valid excuse for general election voters in New Hampshire, and in Texas there’s a lawsuit over whether the coronavirus should be considered a valid excuse for the state’s July primary runoff elections.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/there-is-no-evidence-that-voting-by-mail-gives-one-party-an-advantage/amp/

Just the GOP trying hard to limit the people that can vote….same as it ever was…..

Just a side thought….most voter fraud convictions have been from the GOP…..something to think about.

I Read, I Write, You Know

“lego ergo scribo”

13 thoughts on “That Mail-In Vote

  1. It’s clear that Trump wants to suppress voting turnout. He knows the more people that vote the less significant his base becomes. And yes, since Clinton, Republicans have been very aggressive with their voter suppression tactics. The two time election of Obama put them in a frenzy of it. But, we can’t forget one of the biggest dirty trick elections perpetrated in the United States–perhaps the biggest–was on the behalf of John F. Kennedy. That’s something that Democrats (I am one of those, by the way) never want to talk about. The harm of that rigged election has a lot to do with Trumps rhetoric about fraudulent voting.

    1. I will be writing on the election and why I think it will go the way I believe…please watch for it I would like your thoughts chuq

  2. Postal voting has had issues here too. The postal vote during the last election was ‘leaked’ to the BBC, with them subsequently reporting that the Conservatives had ‘won’ the postal vote before the polling stations closed. It turned out to be a ‘tactic’, but it worked.
    Best wishes, Pete.

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