The US has finally released their super duper peace plan….and it sucked!
The Middle East is being contested as it was in the early days of the Cold War……
Trump’s mindless edicts on the Middle East is driving the region into the open arms of China and Russia…..
By the series of actions in recent months in Iraq and across the Middle East, Washington has forced a strategic shift towards China and to an extent Russia and away from the United States. If events continue on the present trajectory it can well be that a main reason that Washington backed the destabilization of Assad in Syria, to block a planned Iran-Iraq-Syria gas pipeline, will now happen, short of Washington initiating a full scorched earth politics in the region. This is what we can call unintended consequences.
I see a vacuum forming in the region……a vacuum that the US cn ill afford….
As the world has learned in recent weeks, events in the Middle East are notoriously hard to read. On the surface, it seems that the U.S., after a period of withdrawal, is recommitting to the region, with a robust military response to events triggered by Iran. A more assertive U.S. has successfully defended its Baghdad Embassy, and audaciously took out Iran’s Quds Force leader Qassem Soleimani in a drone strike at the Baghdad Airport.
Beneath the surface, I see a different U.S. policy taking shape. In the midst of these military responses, I am witnessing what seems to be a fighting retreat. Expect a strong U.S. response only when U.S. lives are lost or under imminent threat. As the President’s National Security Advisor said on the Sunday talk shows: “The President said we want to be out of the Middle East. But what we need to do is leave on our terms….”
As the U.S. recedes, Russia advances. In the wake of the Suleimani drone strike, Russian President Vladimir Putin is crisscrossing the Middle East, meeting with Syrian strongman Bashar al-Assad, and stopping in Ankara to broker a cease-fire in Libya.
What was old is new again….and again……
In 1958, U.S. leaders stood at the threshold of an American era in the Middle East, conflicted about whether it was worth the trouble to usher in.
A year earlier, in the context of the emergent Cold War and fading British and French power in the region, Dwight Eisenhower had articulated and received congressional approval for what became known as the Eisenhower doctrine. The United States had for the first time staked out national interests in the Middle East—oil, U.S. bases and allies, Soviet containment—and declared that it was prepared to defend them with military force.
Sixty-two years before President Donald Trump dispatched a drone to Baghdad to kill Iranian General Qassem Soleimani, this is how American combat missions in the post–World War II Middle East began.
We use to have a clear path for the region and its neighbors…..but years of wealth and gluttony has turned the region into a a piece of crap that no one person can predict…..take the Arab League…..
The foreign ministers of the member state of the Arab League unanimously adopted a resolution on Saturday rejecting the Trump Israeli-Palestinian peace plan, and said that “it does not satisfy the minimum of the rights and aspirations of the Palestinian people.”
Why it matters: The Trump administration was counting on a coalition of Arab countries it has built over the last several years to prevent such a resolution and press the Palestinians to go back to the table. Those efforts did not materialize.
The Middle East will be the location of the start of the downfall of American exceptionalism in the region….to avoid this decline the US needs to cut loses and leave the Middle East….
What we very much need to do, however, is to acknowledge the futility of our failed policies in the region over the past two decades, recognize that military power is never going to produce a positive outcome for our country, and withdraw our troops from both Syria and Iraq. Failing to do so guarantees continued failure and may lead to an all-out war with Iran. We dare not wait for such a catastrophic and entirely predictable outcome.
Withdraw our troops now.
Do it now and avoid any embarrassments.
I Read, I Write, You Know
“lego ergo scribo”